FREE 06/20 MLB Cheat Sheet: Top DFS Plays

Tonight’s 13-game slate is packed with high-scoring potential, led by the Rockies-Diamondbacks showdown at Coors Field (11.5 total) in Denver’s hitter-friendly conditions. The wind is blowing out at 16 MPH, and with temperatures nearing 100°F, the ball should carry well. Elsewhere, the Yankees-Orioles game (9.0 total) also gets a boost with 11 MPH winds blowing out in New York, while the Mets-Phillies (8.5 total) and Reds-Cardinals (9.0 total) games feature similar wind-aided conditions. The Tigers-Rays matchup is the biggest weather concern, with a 53% chance of rain likely causing delays or a postponement.

Pitching is thin tonight, but Zack Wheeler stands out in a solid spot against the Mets, while Coors Field stacks (ARI/COL) are obvious targets. The late slate offers some sneaky value, with the Dodgers-Nationals game (8.5 total) getting a slight wind boost in LA. Pay close attention to lineup confirmations, especially in Tampa, where rain could scramble the slate. Focus on the high-total games with favorable weather, and don’t overthink Coors—it’s the clear priority.

Top Stacks

ARI 5-Man ($26,700)

Ketel Marte, Geraldo Perdomo, Lourdes Gurriel Jr., Eugenio Suarez, Josh Naylor

The Diamondbacks stack offers strong value at 2.05 pts/$1000, making them a cost-effective way to attack Coors Field’s 11.5-run total despite their mid-tier ownership (12.0%). Their 9.8% optimal rate suggests they’re slightly overlooked in a game environment where the heat (99°F) and light wind (16 MPH left to right) should keep the ball flying. Marte and Gurriel bring reliable power against a below-average Rockies pitching staff, while Perdomo and Suarez provide salary relief with multi-hit upside. At just $26.7K, this stack lets you pay up for premium arms while still capitalizing on Coors’ inflated run-scoring potential.

LAD 5-Man ($26,400)

Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts, Will Smith, Freddie Freeman, Teoscar Hernandez

The Dodgers stack (Ohtani, Betts, Smith, Freeman, Hernandez) offers strong value at 1.77 pts/$1K, outperforming the typical 1.5x benchmark for elite stacks. With just 4.4% average ownership and a 7.7% optimal rate, this group is quietly underappreciated in a game environment that leans in their favor—an 8.5-run total with a light 9 MPH wind blowing out at pitcher-friendly Dodger Stadium. The matchup against a mid-tier RHP (career 4.12 xFIP vs. lefties, 4.35 vs. righties) plays into the handedness balance of this stack, particularly Ohtani and Freeman’s power from the left side. At sub-5% ownership, this is a sharp pivot from chalkier teams while still delivering top-tier upside.

NYY 5-Man ($23,200)

Trent Grisham, Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger, Giancarlo Stanton, Paul Goldschmidt

The Yankees stack offers strong value at 2.09 pts/$1K, slightly above the typical 2.0 benchmark, making it a cost-efficient play despite the star power. With just 7.4% average ownership and a 7.5% optimal rate, this group is under the radar in a slate where higher-priced stacks like LAD or ATL will dominate chalk. The 9.0-run game total and 11 MPH wind blowing out at Yankee Stadium are clear positives, especially for power bats like Judge and Stanton, who thrive in these conditions. Grisham and Goldschmidt provide salary relief while still benefiting from the hitter-friendly environment. The weather is a non-issue—partly cloudy with minimal rain risk—so the stack gets a full green light. This is a high-upside, low-ownership leverage play in a prime scoring spot.

SP Plays

Top Play: Tanner Bibee ($7,000)

Tanner Bibee faces an Athletics lineup that strikes out 25.8% of the time against right-handed pitching, the third-highest rate in baseball. His 2.28x value at $7,000 pairs elite strikeout upside with a salary that leaves room for premium bats, and his 14.7% optimal lineup rate reflects this perfect balance of floor and ceiling. His recent 8-strikeout, 7-inning shutout against Detroit shows the dominant upside he brings to a pitcher-friendly Oakland Coliseum.

Bibee has logged at least 6 strikeouts in four of his last five starts, including a 6-K performance against Houston’s potent lineup. The Athletics rank 29th in wRC+ against righties (83), and their 3.7-run implied total creates a low-scoring environment that favors Bibee’s pitch-to-contact strengths. With a tournament rank of 1 and ownership concentrated among sharp players (16.9%), he’s the clear top SP target tonight.

Honorable Mentions

• Jack Flaherty ($8,500)
• Clayton Kershaw ($7,200)

C Plays

Top Play: J.T. Realmuto ($3,500)

J.T. Realmuto faces a Mets pitching staff that has allowed the 5th-most fantasy points to catchers over the last month. His $3,500 salary delivers strong 2.2x value potential, and his 6th spot in the Phillies’ lineup puts him in prime position to capitalize on RBI opportunities behind Harper and Castellanos. Realmuto’s recent 10-point DraftKings performance against Toronto shows his ability to spike even without home runs, and his moderate ownership (7.3%) keeps him under the radar in tournaments.

The Mets’ right-handed starter struggles with hard contact (42% hard-hit rate vs RHBs), and Realmuto’s .780 OPS against righties this season aligns perfectly with the matchup. Philadelphia’s implied run total ranks among the top five tonight, and Realmuto’s combination of lineup context, positional scarcity, and salary efficiency makes him the top catcher play. His tournament-leading optimal lineup rate (7.68%) reflects this rare blend of floor and ceiling at the position.

Honorable Mentions

• David Fry ($3,400)
• Hunter Goodman ($4,500)

1B Plays

Top Play: Michael Toglia ($3,200)

Michael Toglia has been on a power surge with two homers and a 33-point DraftKings performance in his last three games, showing elite upside at a bargain salary. He faces an Arizona pitching staff that ranks bottom-10 in ERA against left-handed bats, and his 6th spot in Colorado’s lineup puts him in prime position for RBI opportunities at Coors Field. At just $3,200 with a 2.4x value multiplier, he delivers tournament-winning potential at minimal ownership.

Toglia’s 10.2% optimal lineup appearance rate reflects his ideal combination of recent form and matchup upside. Arizona’s starter has struggled with hard contact (40% hard-hit rate vs. LHH), and Toglia’s 14.0 and 33.0-point explosions prove he can capitalize on mistake pitches. With Coors Field boosting offensive production and his ownership hovering near 6%, he’s the perfect high-leverage tournament play.

Honorable Mentions

• Alec Bohm ($3,700)
• Spencer Steer ($3,000)

2B Plays

Top Play: Ketel Marte ($6,200)

Ketel Marte continues to deliver consistent production as Arizona’s leadoff hitter, with a 17-point DraftKings performance just two games ago highlighting his upside. He faces a Rockies pitching staff that ranks among the league’s worst in ERA and WHIP, and the hitter-friendly environment at Coors Field amplifies his already strong 2.1x value. Batting first guarantees him maximum plate appearances in a game with one of the highest implied run totals on the slate.

Marte’s left-handed bat plays perfectly against Colorado’s right-handed starters, who have struggled to contain opposing lineups all season. His .285 average and .830 OPS on the road this year translate well to Coors Field’s expansive gaps, and his 10.1% optimal lineup rate reflects his high-floor, high-ceiling combo. At just 18.6% ownership in a premium matchup, he’s a core building block for both cash games and tournaments.

Honorable Mentions

• Jazz Chisholm Jr. ($5,100)
• Thairo Estrada ($3,600)

3B Plays

Top Play: Eugenio Suarez ($5,300)

Eugenio Suarez has been crushing the ball with three home runs and nine RBI over his last five games, including a 28-point DraftKings explosion just two days ago. He bats cleanup for an Arizona team facing Colorado in Coors Field, where the park factor massively boosts power numbers, and his $5,300 salary delivers strong 2.1x value in this elite hitting environment. The opposing pitcher’s struggles against right-handed power align perfectly with Suarez’s recent hot streak, and his 16% optimal lineup rate reflects this upside.

Suarez faces a Rockies staff that ranks among the league’s worst in ERA and home runs allowed, and his 15.2% ownership is justified given the combination of matchup and recent production. With Arizona’s lineup projected for high run totals in Coors, his fourth spot ensures RBI opportunities, and his 28-point ceiling from Tuesday proves he can single-handedly win tournaments. The price remains manageable for a player with this combination of power and situational advantage.

Honorable Mentions

• Alec Bohm ($3,700)
• Ryan McMahon ($3,900)

SS Plays

Top Play: Bo Bichette ($4,100)

Bo Bichette has been heating up with back-to-back explosive performances, including a 24-point DraftKings outing just two days ago with a homer and 2 RBI. He’s now homered twice in his last three games, and his leadoff spot for the Blue Jays guarantees him premium at-bats against a weak White Sox pitching staff. His $4,100 salary is a steal for a player with his combination of power and lineup positioning, especially in a matchup ripe for runs.

Bichette’s 2.01x value multiplier ranks among the best at shortstop today, and his 7.04% optimal lineup rate reflects his high ceiling. The White Sox have struggled against right-handed bats all season, and Bichette’s recent surge suggests he’s locked in at the plate. Even with elevated ownership (10.2%), his upside in this spot makes him a must-play in tournaments—his ability to deliver a multi-hit, multi-RBI game at this price is too good to ignore.

Honorable Mentions

• Mookie Betts ($4,800)
• Trevor Story ($3,500)

OF Plays

Top Play: Aaron Judge ($6,600)

Aaron Judge continues to deliver elite power potential batting second for the Yankees, despite a recent cold stretch. He faces a Baltimore pitching staff that ranks bottom-10 in HRs allowed to right-handed bats, and his $6,600 salary carries a strong 1.92x value multiplier in a hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. Judge’s 13.7% optimal lineup rate reflects his high ceiling in this spot, and his 10.2% ownership is justified given his ability to erupt for multiple extra-base hits in any game.

The Orioles’ starter has struggled with command against righties, posting a 5.10 FIP over his last three outings, and Judge’s 95th-percentile barrel rate (18.9%) makes him a prime candidate to capitalize. Batting ahead of Stanton and Rizzo ensures he’ll see quality pitches in a lineup with a top-5 implied run total. Even with recent quiet games, Judge’s season-long .580 SLG against right-handed pitching and the short porch in right field create a perfect storm for a breakout performance tonight.

Honorable Mentions

• Lane Thomas ($3,300)
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($4,600)

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