FREE 06/30 MLB Cheat Sheet: Top DFS Plays

Tonight’s 6-game slate has a few key matchups to target, with weather playing a role in Tampa. The Yankees-Blue Jays game in Toronto’s dome features an 8.5-run total and a solid pitching duel between Carlos Rodón and Max Scherzer, but the Rays-Athletics game in Tampa is the one to watch for potential delays or a wet ballgame—82° with a 57% chance of rain and a 6 MPH wind blowing out could lead to some unpredictable offense. Meanwhile, the Rangers-Orioles matchup in Arlington’s dome has an 8.5-run total and a favorable spot for bats against Patrick Corbin.

Pitching is thin tonight, but George Kirby against the Royals in Seattle’s dome stands out as a strong option given Kansas City’s strikeout tendencies. The Giants-Diamondbacks game also has an 8.5-run total, but Logan Webb’s consistency gives him a slight edge over Ryne Nelson. With four games in domes, weather won’t be a widespread concern, but keep an eye on Tampa for possible late scratches or sloppy conditions.

Top Stacks

NYY 5-Man ($22,800)

Trent Grisham, Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger, Giancarlo Stanton, Ben Rice

The Yankees stack offers strong value at 1.95 pts/$1000, comfortably above the DFS baseline, with mid-range ownership (17.1%) that doesn’t carry excessive duplication risk. Their 15% optimal lineup rate suggests this group is a viable pivot from chalkier options, particularly against a left-handed starter—a plus matchup for Judge (.426 wOBA vs LHP) and Stanton (.373), while Bellinger (.361) and Rice (.333) also fare well. The 8.5-run game total and dome environment ensure stable hitting conditions, making this a balanced tournament play with upside at reasonable ownership.

BAL 5-Man ($19,300)

Jackson Holliday, Jordan Westburg, Gunnar Henderson, Ramon Laureano, Gary Sanchez

This BAL stack offers strong value at 2.09 pts/$1K, making it a cost-efficient option in a game with a solid 8.5-run total. At just 13.8% average ownership and a 12.2% optimal lineup rate, it’s underappreciated in tournaments despite its upside. The matchup plays indoors (no weather concerns), and the group—led by Gunnar Henderson’s power and Jackson Holliday’s potential—faces a vulnerable RHP, boosting their ceiling. With balanced salaries and low chalk, this stack is a sneaky way to differentiate while capitalizing on Baltimore’s underrated offensive environment tonight.

BOS 5-Man ($19,100)

Jarren Duran, Roman Anthony, Abraham Toro, Carlos Narvaez, Wilyer Abreu

This Red Sox stack offers strong value at 2.02 pts/$1000, making it a cost-effective way to target a modest 7.5-run game total with favorable hitting conditions—81 degrees and a light 6 MPH wind blowing out at Fenway. At just 11.3% average ownership and an 11.0% optimal lineup rate, this group is overlooked despite its upside, particularly against a lefty starter who struggles with right-handed power (Duran, Abreu). The inclusion of low-salary bats like Toro and Narvaez keeps salary manageable while providing sneaky DFS upside in a slate where higher-owned stacks may crowd the field. Solid play in GPPs.

SP Plays

Top Play: Garrett Crochet ($10,700)

Garrett Crochet has been overpowering with a 1.07 ERA and 12.5 K/9 over his last three starts, including a 10-strikeout gem against the Angels. Tonight he faces a Reds lineup that ranks 26th in wRC+ against left-handed pitching and strikes out at a 25.3% clip, creating elite strikeout upside. His 2.19x value at $10,700 is among the best on the slate, especially with his recent ability to work deep into games—he’s logged at least 6 innings in five of his last six outings.

Crochet appears in nearly 25% of optimal lineups for good reason: his combination of recent dominance, matchup leverage, and workload security is unmatched. The Reds’ .294 team wOBA against lefties plays right into his strengths, and his 56.7% ownership reflects the near-consensus belief in his floor and ceiling. With three straight starts of 27+ DraftKings points, he’s proven capable of tournament-winning performances at this salary.

Honorable Mentions

• George Kirby ($7,700)
• Drew Rasmussen ($7,500)

C Plays

Top Play: Ben Rice ($4,200)

Ben Rice faces a vulnerable Toronto pitching staff with dual-position eligibility at a discounted $4,200 salary. His fifth spot in the Yankees’ lineup provides prime RBI opportunities in a powerful offense averaging 5.1 runs per game, and his left-handed bat plays well against right-handed pitching (.350 wOBA projected). The 1.9x value multiplier is among the highest at first base, and his 19.8% optimal lineup rate reflects elite upside for his price.

Rice homered just five games ago and has consistently scored runs even in quieter outings, showing the floor-ceiling combo ideal for tournaments. Toronto’s bullpen ranks bottom-10 in ERA against lefties, and Yankee Stadium’s short porch amplifies his power potential. With moderate ownership (12.9%) below his optimal lineup appearance rate, he’s a leveraged play in a plus matchup.

Honorable Mentions

• Gary Sanchez ($3,000)
• Salvador Perez ($3,400)

1B Plays

Top Play: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($5,400)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. continues to mash with a .317/.440/.683 slash line and four homers in his last 12 games, including a towering shot over the Green Monster in his most recent outing. Hitting third for the Blue Jays, he’s locked into premium run-producing opportunities, and tonight’s matchup against a Yankees staff that’s been vulnerable to right-handed power only amplifies his upside. His 1.8x value at $5,400 is one of the strongest among first basemen, and he appears in 15% of optimal lineups for a reason.

Guerrero’s recent power surge pairs perfectly with his career-high 12.0% barrel rate, and he’s facing a pitcher who’s struggled to keep righties in the park this season. With 14.0+ DraftKings points in three of his last five games—including a 20-point explosion just five days ago—he brings both consistency and ceiling in a lineup projected for runs. The moderate 15.6% ownership keeps him in play for tournaments, making him a core building block in all formats.

Honorable Mentions

• Salvador Perez ($3,400)
• Abraham Toro ($2,900)

2B Plays

Top Play: Jazz Chisholm Jr. ($5,000)

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been delivering explosive performances with three home runs and seven RBI over his last five games, including a 32-point DraftKings explosion just two days ago. He faces a Blue Jays pitching staff that ranks middle of the pack against left-handed hitters, and his 6th spot in the Yankees lineup puts him in prime position to drive in runs in a high-scoring environment. His 1.7x value at $5,000 is one of the strongest on the slate, and his 22.2% optimal lineup rate reflects his upside in this matchup.

Chisholm’s power-speed combo always gives him multi-category upside, and his recent surge at the plate makes him especially dangerous tonight. The Blue Jays’ starter has struggled with consistency, and Chisholm’s left-handed bat can take advantage of a pitcher-friendly park factor that slightly favors hitters. With moderate ownership at 11.8%, he’s a standout tournament play in a slate where his ceiling far outweighs the risk at this salary.

Honorable Mentions

• Jordan Westburg ($4,000)
• Marcus Semien ($3,600)

3B Plays

Top Play: Jordan Westburg ($4,000)

Jordan Westburg has been delivering strong value at $4,000 with a 2.2x multiplier, making him one of the top tournament plays at second or third base. He’s batting second for the Orioles, who have one of the highest implied run totals on the slate, and his lineup spot ensures ample opportunities in a potent offense. Facing a Rangers pitching staff that has struggled against right-handed bats, Westburg’s power-speed combo gives him double-digit fantasy point upside in a hitter-friendly park.

Westburg appears in 15.9% of optimal lineups, yet his ownership remains manageable at 16.9% in a field where the average is just 8.1%. His recent form includes consistent contact, and while the raw stats don’t jump off the page, the underlying metrics and lineup context make him a prime candidate for a breakout game. At this salary, he provides both floor and ceiling in a high-leverage spot.

Honorable Mentions

• Rafael Devers ($5,200)
• Curtis Mead ($2,700)

SS Plays

Top Play: Gunnar Henderson ($4,300)

Gunnar Henderson remains one of the most dynamic fantasy assets at shortstop with his power-speed combo and premium lineup spot. He homered just three games ago with a 32-point DraftKings explosion, showcasing the upside that makes him the top tournament play tonight. Hitting third for an Orioles team facing a vulnerable Rangers pitching staff, he’s in prime position to capitalize on Texas’ bullpen struggles (4.98 ERA vs. LHB). His 2.01x value at $4,300 is exceptional for a player with 25-HR, 10-SB potential in this hitter-friendly park.

The lefty slugger has dominated right-handed pitching all season (.850+ OPS) and now gets a Rangers staff allowing the fifth-most homers to lefties. Globe Life Field’s short porches play perfectly to his pull-side power, and his 15.9% optimal lineup rate confirms the model love for this spot. With moderate ownership (14.3%) in a slate where many will chase recent results, Henderson’s combination of ceiling, context, and salary efficiency makes him the clearest top-tier play at shortstop.

Honorable Mentions

• Corey Seager ($4,000)
• Bobby Witt Jr. ($5,500)

OF Plays

Top Play: Aaron Judge ($6,500)

Aaron Judge continues to crush the ball with a 36-point DraftKings explosion in his last game, launching two homers and driving in four runs against the Athletics. His power surge comes at the perfect time as he faces a Blue Jays pitching staff that ranks in the bottom third of the league in HR/9 allowed to right-handed bats. Hitting second in a Yankees lineup with a top-tier implied run total, Judge benefits from both premium scoring opportunities and protection from Soto behind him, creating a high-ceiling combo of run production and RBI upside.

His 1.78x value at $6,500 is a steal given his recent form and matchup, especially with an 18.7% optimal lineup appearance rate. Despite the elevated ownership (27.1%), Judge’s ability to single-handedly win tournaments with multi-homer games justifies the popularity. The Rogers Centre boosts right-handed power, and his .600+ SLG over the past week aligns perfectly with this environment. Lock him in as a core play with elite floor and ceiling in all formats.

Honorable Mentions

• Giancarlo Stanton ($3,500)
• Trent Grisham ($4,100)

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