FREE 05/31 UFC Cheat Sheet: Top DFS Plays

UFC Vegas 107 features 20 fighters with an average salary just over $8,000, presenting a balanced pricing landscape that challenges DFS players to navigate several chalky spots—nine fighters are projected at 30% ownership or higher. Key contests like Erin Blanchfield versus Maycee Barber offer interesting contrasts in scoring potential and pricing; Blanchfield carries a premium salary but may be overvalued compared to Barber’s underappreciated upside, especially given her ability to control pace and extend fights. Meanwhile, the Gamrot-Klein matchup provides a classic grappling-versus-defense dynamic with both fighters priced closely, requiring careful consideration of upside and floor in roster construction.

Value candidates stand out on this slate, with four fighters boasting 8x-plus upside projections, making them essential for building balanced lineups that can differentiate from the field. Tight salary spreads across multiple weight classes allow for flexible stacking strategies without sacrificing upside. Other verified matchups like Reese-Todorovic and Gustafsson-Giles also present intriguing DFS angles rooted in volume striking and control time potential. Let’s break down our top plays for this slate.

Premium Tier ($9,000-$10,000)

Top Play: Erin Blanchfield (-200) ($9,100)

Erin Blanchfield’s well-rounded skill set and measured pace make her a strong DFS option at $9,100. She consistently racks up significant control time and ground strikes, leveraging her grappling to build a reliable floor. Her recent win over Rose Namajunas showcased her ability to outlast elite opponents while maintaining pressure, suggesting she can accumulate points steadily even if the fight goes the distance. The catchweight bout against Maycee Barber adds intrigue; Barber’s weight miss and potential stamina issues could favor Blanchfield’s grinding style.

While ownership is elevated at just over 53%, that reflects her clear path to scoring across multiple categories—striking volume, takedowns, and control time all contribute. At -200 odds, she’s a solid favorite with upside from both decision wins and potential finishes. This combination of dependable scoring avenues and matchup advantages places Blanchfield near the top of tournament builds this week.

Other Premium Options

• Zachary Reese ($9,200, Own: 53.4%, Odds: -225)
• Rayanne dos Santos ($9,300, Own: 21.0%, Odds: -255)

Mid-Range Tier ($8,000-$8,999)

Top Play 1: Billy Ray Goff (-500) ($8,300)

Billy Ray Goff’s well-rounded approach and durability make him a solid DFS option at $8,300. He combines steady striking volume with effective takedown defense, allowing him to accumulate points through control time and significant strikes. His ability to push pace without being overly risky gives him a reliable floor, especially against an opponent like Ramiz Brahimaj, who can be pressured into mistakes. Goff’s recent wins show improved composure and cardio, which should translate to consistent scoring across all three rounds.

Despite the high projected ownership (68.5%), Goff’s position as the tournament rank leader and strong favorite (-500 odds) justifies his popularity. The matchup favors his wrestling-heavy style, as Brahimaj’s aggressive but sometimes reckless approach opens opportunities for control and counterstrikes. At this price point, Goff offers both scoring versatility and finishing upside that fits well in core lineups looking for stability with potential bonus points.

Top Play 2: Bolaji Oki (-150) ($8,900)

Bolaji Oki’s well-rounded skill set and recent UFC experience make him a strong DFS target at $8,900. He blends effective striking with solid grappling, allowing multiple scoring avenues through both significant strikes and control time. While still early in his UFC tenure at 1-1, Oki’s ability to adapt and pressure opponents creates a reliable floor, especially against an opponent like Michael Aswell who is moving up in weight and may struggle with Oki’s pace and physicality.

Despite moderate ownership hovering near 47.5%, Oki offers upside given his balanced approach and finishing potential. His matchup sets up well for volume striking combined with takedown opportunities, which could generate key fantasy points across formats. With odds favoring him at -150, Oki presents a dependable play that fits nicely into lineups seeking consistent production without extreme risk.

Other Mid-Range Options

• Dustin Jacoby ($8,800, Own: 33.7%, Odds: -180)
• Jordan Leavitt ($8,700, Own: 40.6%, Odds: -120)

Value Tier ($7,000-$7,999)

Top Play: Jafel Filho (+185) ($7,600)

Jafel Filho’s well-rounded skill set and recent form make him an intriguing DFS option at $7,600. He combines steady volume striking with solid control on the mat, which should lead to consistent scoring across multiple categories. Filho’s ability to grind out decisions, as seen in his last win over Amir Abazi, provides a reliable floor—especially in a matchup where both fighters share similar records and momentum. Despite giving up slight height and reach, his pressure-oriented style can neutralize Nascimento’s advantages and open paths for takedowns and ground control points.

The catchweight nature of this fight adds an interesting wrinkle, but Filho’s composure and experience fighting at flyweight give him an edge in pacing the contest. His moderate ownership around 31% aligns closely with projections, meaning he offers balanced leverage without being overly popular. At favorable +185 odds, he presents upside if he can capitalize on his wrestling and maintain volume striking throughout. Overall, Filho is a strong mid-tier play who blends safety with enough finishing potential to stand out in tournament formats.

Other Value Options

• Kurt Holobaugh ($7,500, Own: 20.3%, Odds: -120)
• Ludovit Klein ($7,700, Own: 23.8%, Odds: +150)

Good luck! Make sure to check the Lineup Optimizer for latest updates before lock. Visit DFS Hero for our full suite of DFS tools including the Lineup Optimizer, Contest Simulator, Fighter Projections, and Ownership Projections. Use code HEROPLAY15 to get 15% off your first month!