FREE 10/20 NFL Cheat Sheet: Top MNF DFS Plays

Week 7 ends with a Monday Night Football doubleheader. Two games, double the action. The Buccaneers-Lions matchup in Detroit’s dome stands out with a 53.0 total and a 6-point spread favoring the home team, setting up a prime spot for offensive stacks without weather interference. That high number should drive ownership toward key players on both sides.

Over in Seattle, the Texans-Seahawks game has a lower 41.0 total and a tight 3-point spread, but keep an eye on the 26% chance of rain at 57 degrees with light 3 mph winds from the south. The elements could limit big plays and create value in low-ownership defenses or steady targets who handle wet conditions well.

Top Stacks

DET vs TB ($20,600)

Players: Jared Goff, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Rachaad White

The DET-TB stack projects 59.3 points with 62.6% ownership, 49.6% optimal rate, and 17.6% boom rate, offering 2.88 pts/$1K value. Goff and St. Brown exhibit strong correlation as teammates, with St. Brown serving as Goff’s top target in recent outings—Goff completed 19 of 23 passes for 258 yards and three TDs against Cincinnati, while St. Brown drew 10 targets for 45 yards (albeit limited) in the Chiefs loss, positioning them for a bounce-back in a high-scoring affair against TB’s secondary. White provides TB bring-back upside in favorable game scripts, as evidenced by his 17 carries for 65 yards and a TD plus three catches for 21 yards in the win over San Francisco while starting for the injured Irving; if TB controls the clock or leads, White’s goal-line role could yield 15+ touches and multi-score potential against DET’s run defense.

TB vs DET ($21,300)

Players: Baker Mayfield, Mike Evans, Amon-Ra St. Brown

This TB-DET stack projects 57.5 points with 45.5% ownership, 44.8% optimal rate, and 14.7% boom rate, offering 2.70 pts/$1K value. Mayfield’s recent efficiency—139.0 passer rating with 256 yards and 2 TDs vs. SF despite missing Evans and Godwin, plus 379 yards and 2 TDs vs. SEA—pairs well with Evans’ expected return from hamstring after full Saturday practice, boosting TB’s passing correlation in a game where Mayfield has hit multi-TD outputs in 5 of 6 starts. As a DET bring-back, St. Brown’s upside ties to game script favoring a high-scoring affair between potent offenses, where his 10-target role persists despite a 45-yard dud vs. KC (9/10 catches, all short), positioning him for a rebound with full wrist practice and historical bounce-backs after sub-70-yard games.

QB Plays

Jared Goff ($6,000)

Jared Goff enters with strong momentum after delivering multiple touchdowns in each of his last three games, including 23-of-29 for 203 yards and two scores against Kansas City despite the loss, and an efficient 19-of-23 for 258 yards with three touchdowns in the prior win over Cincinnati. His form trend shows a clear uptick at 20.5 DK points per game over the last two outings compared to 16.8 across the previous four, highlighting consistent passing volume and red-zone efficiency that aligns with his role as Detroit’s primary signal-caller in a high-powered offense.

Facing Tampa Bay in a dome matchup with a lofty 53.0 game total and Detroit favored by six points, Goff’s projection of 20.4 DK points offers 3.84x value at his $6,000 salary, ranking him second in tournament appeal with a 12.6% boom rate. Market props validate this upside, setting the over at 266.5 passing yards and +1600 for touchdowns, while his moderate 49.6% ownership provides leverage against the field average, especially in game scripts where Detroit’s -6.0% PROE run-heavy tendency still leaves ample passing windows given the spread and total dynamics.

Honorable Mentions

• Baker Mayfield ($6,600)

RB Plays

Jahmyr Gibbs ($7,500)

Jahmyr Gibbs maintains a commanding role in Detroit’s backfield, out-touching David Montgomery 18-6 in his last outing while averaging 18.0 DK points over his previous four games. His dual-threat profile shines with 12-17 combined touches per contest, including a receiving touchdown in his matchup against Cincinnati, and he enters this high-scoring affair against Tampa Bay with a 53.0 game total and Lions favored by six points. Prop lines reflect strong market expectations at -195 odds for a touchdown, 60.5 rushing yards, 26.5 receiving yards, and 3.5 receptions, underscoring his consistent red zone involvement and pass-catching upside that delivers multi-dimensional production.

Gibbs projects for 19.01 DK points at a 2.98x value on his $7,500 salary, ranking third in tournament scoring with a 17.73% boom rate that pairs a reliable floor with explosive ceiling potential. The dome environment and game script favor Detroit’s efficient offense pushing the pace, amplifying Gibbs’ opportunities for 300+ all-purpose yards and scores as a featured back. His 55.73% optimal lineup rate positions him as a core build for cash and GPPs alike, where his high-volume usage translates to leveraged outcomes in a slate ripe for Lions dominance.

Honorable Mentions

• Rachaad White ($6,400)

WR Plays

Amon-Ra St. Brown ($8,200)

Amon-Ra St. Brown maintains his status as Jared Goff’s go-to target with 10 targets in his most recent outing, aligning with his consistent volume that has delivered 20.4 DK points per game over the last four contests. His prop lines reflect strong market confidence, including a -125 odds for a touchdown and over 80.5 receiving yards paired with 7.5 receptions, underscoring his reliable floor in high-volume role. At $8,200, St. Brown’s 3.03x value and 21.5 projected points position him as a cornerstone for cash games, where his 61.1% optimal lineup rate highlights the security of stacking him in Lions builds.

Facing Tampa Bay in a dome showdown with a 53-point total and Detroit favored by six, St. Brown steps into a matchup ripe for offensive fireworks between two dynamic attacks. The Lions’ -6.0% PROE signals a controlled script that keeps Goff distributing to his top receiver, amplifying St. Brown’s red zone opportunities and boom potential at a 20.8% rate. Ranking third in tournaments with 67.7% ownership, he offers proven ceiling in large-field formats, blending everyday consistency with explosive upside that maximizes salary efficiency.

Honorable Mentions

• Jaxon Smith-Njigba ($7,900)

TE Plays

Sam LaPorta ($4,300)

Sam LaPorta has been scorching with back-to-back standout performances, averaging 19.9 DK points over his last two games where he hauled in 10 receptions for 147 yards and two touchdowns, including an impressive one-handed grab against the Chiefs. His target volume remains steady at six per game in that stretch, aligning with prop lines of 4.5 receptions and 48.5 receiving yards that underscore market confidence in his role as Detroit’s go-to tight end. The Lions’ offense, projected to lean pass-heavy in a game script with a -6.0% PROE indicating run-heavy tendencies that could open underneath routes, positions LaPorta for continued volume in a high-total matchup against Tampa Bay with a 53.0 over/under.

As the tournament rank-one tight end at just $4,300, LaPorta delivers elite 3.57x value with a 12.8-point projection and 15.3% boom rate, offering a rock-solid floor from his dual-threat usage combined with red-zone upside evidenced by +165 TD odds. His moderate 43.9% ownership provides solid leverage in large-field GPPs without chasing the field average, while the optimal 52.2% lineup inclusion rate highlights his appeal as a cornerstone build for cash and tournaments alike. Facing a dome environment that favors consistent production, LaPorta’s trending form and salary efficiency make him a must-lock for stacking with Detroit’s passing attack.

Honorable Mentions

• Cade Otton ($3,700)

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