FREE 11/28 NFL Thanksgiving: Top DFS Plays
November 27, 2024
I hope you all have a Happy Thanksgiving and will enjoy some good food, family, and football. We have a small three-game slate which makes every player that much more important. These slates are difficult to win because you must be perfect in both single-entry and multiple-entry GPP tournaments. I could include many more players, but these are the plays I like the most.
Quarterback Plays
Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins (DK: $6,000 | FD: $8,000)
The Dolphins are averaging 29 points over their last five games, and Tua has had 7 touchdown passes over his last two games. The Packers are a step up in competition, and the weather is going to be cold, elements Tua has consistently struggled with. But the DFS Hero Optimizer projects that his ownership will be less than 10% and that is just too low considering he has excellent weapons at all the skilled positions. Remember, good offensive teams like Minnesota and Detroit had no problems moving the football against the Packer defense. If he gets time, he can throw for over 250 yards and two touchdowns, which can take down a small slate.
Caleb Williams, Bears (DK: $5,300 | FD: $7,200)
The Bear’s offense has been much better since they changed offensive coordinators, and the passing game has a better rhythm. I expect Williams to throw the ball a ton, as they will most likely be playing from behind. Plus, the game plan should be to attack the Lions secondary as they have very good Lion run defense. Also, his top two receivers, DJ Moore and Keenan Allen, look rejuvenated, and both could have good games here. Look for Williams to break 20 fantasy points.
Cooper Rush, Cowboys (DK: $4,800 | FD: $6,900)
Rush has averaged 19.2 points over his last two starts. He could easily pass that and win a slate at his price point.
Running Back Plays
De’Von Achane, Dolphins (DK: $7,700 | FD: $9,000)
Achane has scored 20-plus fantasy points in four of his last five games. I think he is going to have 5 plus catches and some big gains here. An anytime touchdown should easily get him over 20 points.
Jahmyr Gibbs, Lions (DK: $7,500 | FD: $8,400)
I expect Gibbs to get most of the work as fellow RB David Montgomery is dealing with a shoulder injury. I do expect Montgomery to play, but with a short week, I think it is best to use your healthy weapon. The Bears give up big chunks on the ground, and I expect Gibbs to have over 100 combined yards and at least two touchdowns.
Josh Jacobs, Packers (DK: $7,000 | FD: $7,800)
As mentioned, the weather is going to be cold in Green Bay and I expect the Packers to try and bulldoze the Dolphin’s run defense and try to keep the Dolphin offense off the field. Look for 20-plus carries and a TD on his way to 20 points. Note, I will not be playing many lineups with both Jacobs and Tua in them because if Jacobs is having a good game, then I expect the Dolphins to have less time of possession.
Tyrone Tracy Jr. Giants (DK: $5,800 | FD: $6,500)
Tracy must be the focus against a porous Cowboy-run defense. Last week, Tracy didn’t get the touches because they were trailing by multiple scores early. This week, Dallas is only favored by 3.5 points, meaning that Vegas thinks this game will be close, and for that to happen, Tracy will have to reach the endzone.
Rico Dowdle, Cowboys (DK: $5,500 | FD: $6,100)
The DFS Hero Optimizer projects Dowdle to be the most valued running back on the slate. He should pass 80 combined yards and must score a touchdown to be viable. I think he gets it done.
Wide Receiver Plays
CeeDee Lamb Cowboys (DK: $7,300 | FD: $8,600)
Lamb has double-digit targets in six straight games. He has averaged 17.5 fantasy points over his last two games and if he scores a TD, he should make the winning lineups.
Jameson Williams, Lions ($6,100 | FD: $5,700)
I am pivoting from WR Amon-Ra St. Brown as the Bears have been limiting the opposing teams’ number one receiver. They have been torched by the second receiver as both Christian Watson and Jordan Addison had huge games against the Bears in back-to-back weeks.
DJ Moore, Bears (DK: $5,600 | FD: $6,700) Keenan Allen, Bears (DK: $5,100 | FD: $6,500)
I prefer Allen a little bit more over Moore because he is slightly cheaper and is getting a few more targets. Regardless, I think one of these guys shows up in the winning lineups and I will have one or the other in most of my lineups. You can play them both in Caleb Williams lineups for leverage.
Christian Watson, Packer (DK: $4,900 | FD: $6,000)
There aren’t many receivers with Watson’s abilities who are more inconsistent. Nonetheless, his big play ability makes him a slate-breaker, and I can see him getting behind the Dolphin’s secondary for a long touchdown.
Tight End Plays
Jonnu Smith, Dolphins (DK: $4,300 | FD: $6,300)
Smith is going to be the highest-owned tight end on the slate, but I can’t ignore his productivity. He has been in the winning lineups two weeks in a row and is underpriced. The DFS Hero Optimizer projects him to be not only the highest-scoring tight end on the slate but also the most valued.
Tucker Kraft, Packers (DK: $3,700 | FD: $5,500)
The Dolphin’s pass defense is very good, but not against tight ends. Packer’s coach, Matt LaFleur is excellent at scheming, and I think Kraft will get 5 plus catches and could find the end zone.
Cole Kmet, Bears (DK: $3,600 | FD: $5,200)
Kmet feels sneaky to me, and the DFS Hero Optimizer agrees, projecting that he will be the second most valued tight end on the slate. He will make many of my lineups that do not have the Bear receivers.
Please note: The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.