FREE 12/22 NFL Cheat Sheet: Top DFS Plays

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Maximize your lineups with top picks and value plays for Week 16. From slate-breaking stars to sneaky sleepers, these recommendations, backed by the DFS Hero Lineup Optimizer, will give you the edge in GPP contests. Let’s dive in!

Week 16 DraftKings DFS GPP Plays

Quarterback Plays

I am not paying up at quarterback because I think Josh Allen’s price point is inflated due to his last two games. The Bills most likely won’t push to score like they did in previous weeks.

Kyler Murray, Cardinals $6,100

Murray hasn’t been very good as of late but this against a very bad Panther defense. I feel the Cardinals are going to push for a Trey McBride touchdown catch plus Murray can add with his legs. He should score over 20 points.

Geno Smith, Seahawks $5,700

I expect the Seahawks to bounce back this week and it starts with Smith. The Vikings are excellent against the run, but they can’t cover worth a lick when they don’t have pressure. If Smith gets time, he will torch the Vikes.

Caleb Williams, Bears $5,500

Williams scored 26 points against the Lions on Turkey Day and the Bear’s offense started slow. Stack him with the receivers against a bad decimated Lion’s defense.

Anthony Richardson, Colts $5,400

Richardson hasn’t been an accurate passer, but he has been running a bit more. Plus, he has 4 rushing touchdowns in his last 4 games. If he has a solid passing day, he can break the slate at his price.

Dorian, Thompson-Robinson, Browns $4,800

I expect the Browns to be playing from behind and needing to pass pass pass. The Bengal’s pass defense stinks bad. WR Cedric Tillman and TE David Njoku are questionable but if the play Thompson-Robinson will be in most of my lineups at less than 4% projected ownership.

Michael Penix Jr., Falcons $4,500

I worry that the Falcons will run the football down the Giant’s throats but there is a chance they let the kid air it out. He could throw for 200 and 2 touchdowns and at his price point you can win with that because you can afford big time players at other positions.

DFS Hero Top Two Valued QB Plays

• Michael Penix Jr., Falcons $4,500
• Anthony Richardson, Colts $5,400

Running Back Plays

Bijan Robinson, Falcons $8,100

Bijan is in a smash spot against a bad Giant’s defense. He should score and break 20 points.

Jahmyr Gibbs, Lions $7,500

We get Gibbs at a discount now that RB David Montgomery is out. He should also score and have over 100 total yards.

James Conner, Cardinals $7,100

Conner turns it up this time of year and the Panthers are terrible vs. the run. Look for 100 yards and a touchdown.

Chuba Hubbard, Panthers $6,800

Hubbard should bounce back this week against the Cardinals. If the Panthers can keep it close, he should get over 20 touches.

Jerome Ford, Browns $5,600

Ford will get all the volume, and he catches passes. A TD and he could be in the winning lineups.

DFS Hero Optimizer Top Two Valued RB Plays

• Jahmyr Gibbs, Lions $7,500
• James Conner, Cardinals $7,100

Wide Receiver Plays

Ja’Marr Chase, Bengals $8,500

Chase is in a smash spot, and he should get back into the end zone this week. Should be a lock to score.

Malik Nabers, Giants $6,100

Nabers gets double digit targets every week and the Falcon pass defense isn’t very good. Look for Nabers to have 7 plus catches.

Jaxson Smith-Njigba, Seahawks $6,000

Too low of a price in this matchup. As mentioned, I think the Viking secondary gets torched if Geno gets time. I also like D.K. Metcalf, $5,500 for the same reasons.

Adam Thielen, Panthers $5,600

I expect the Panthers to play much better and Thielen should lead the team in targets.

D.J. Moore, Bears $5,700, Keenan Allen, Bears $5,300

They are both in great spots against a depleted Lions defense

DFS Hero Optimizer Top Two Valued WR Plays

• Malik Nabers, Giants $6,100
• Ja’Marr Chase, Bengals $8,500

Tight End Plays

Brock Bowers, Raiders $6,500

QB Aidan O’Connell is back, and Bowers should score over 20 fantasy points in a soft matchup vs. the soft Jaguar defense.

Trey McBride, Cardinals $6,200

McBride is going to be in almost all my lineups. He is close to a lock button play and I think the QB Kyler Murray does all he can to get McBride his first receiving TD against a Panther defense that doesn’t cover the tight end.

Sam Laporta, Lions $4,700

Tight ends do very well vs the Bears and I expect LaPorta to score.

DFS Hero Optimizer Top Two Valued TE Plays

• Trey McBride, Cardinals $6,200
• Sam LaPorta, Lions $4,700

DFS Hero Top Valued Defenses

• Cincinnati Bengals $3,300
• Indianapolis Colts $3,000
• New York Jets $2,500