FREE 12/30 NFL MNF Cheat Sheet: Top DFS Plays
December 30, 2024
It’s Week 17, and the stakes are high as the Detroit Lions (-3) visit the San Francisco 49ers, with a game total set at 50.5 points. The Lions’ offense has been red-hot, while the 49ers are battling injuries to key players. Here’s a breakdown of the best captain and flex options, contrarian picks, and bargain bin plays to optimize your lineup. Plus, we’ve got some bonus PrizePicks props and a game prediction to seal the deal.
Detroit Lions -3 at San Francisco 49ers – 50.5
Captain: Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Detroit ($17,400)
The Lions offense has been on another planet over the last three weeks. With David Montgomery still out, Gibbs is in line for another massive workload. You love that his floor/ceiling is boosted by his passing game work, but the 49ers have been giving up chunk yards on the ground all year, especially this month. 25+ touches in a solid game environment is going to be hard to fade in the “Captain” spot.
Contrarian Captain Consideration: Brock Purdy, QB, San Francisco ($14,100)
Flex: Deebo Samuel, WR, San Francisco ($7,600)
Only Samuel and Kittle remain of the core weapons that were supposed to be one of the top offenses in the league. Samuel is $1400 cheaper than Kittle and is coming off a resurgent performance against Miami. With the running back room decimated, Samuel is going to continue getting carries to go along with a large target share. On volume alone, Deebo is a must-play, especially if the Lions continue to rack up points on the other side.
Flex: Sam LaPorta, TE, Detroit ($5,800)
Those who were patient with tight ends after a rocky start to the year have been rewarded down the stretch. LaPorta has cleared double-digit fantasy points in four straight, and its clear the Lions are ramping up his volume down the stretch. San Francisco has shut down the position for much of the year, but the price tag and role are too hard to ignore.
Other Flex Considerations
Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, Detroit ($10,600)
Jared Goff, QB, Detroit ($9,800)
Brock Purdy, QB, San Francisco ($9,400)
George Kittle, TE, San Francisco ($9,000)
Isaac Guerendo, RB, San Francisco ($8,400)
Jameson Williams, WR, Detroit ($8,000)
Jauan Jennings, WR, San Francisco ($7,800)
Bargain Bin Flex: Ricky Pearsall, WR, San Francisco ($3,600)
San Francisco doesn’t have much to play for, but getting their young guys like Pearsall additional reps has to be on the list. I’d expect him to build on the season-high snaps from last week. Love the price and potential second-half pass-heavy game script in the second half.
Bargain Bin Flex Considerations
Jake Bates, K, Detroit ($5,000)
Jake Moody, K, San Francisco ($4,800)
Detroit DST ($4,400)
Tim Patrick, WR, Detroit ($4,000)
Eric Saubert, TE, San Francisco ($1,200)
Best Bets for MNF Week 17
Final Score: Detroit 27, San Francisco 17
The Lions are just scoring at will, and I expect that to continue against a beat-up Niners squad. Detroit covers behind a big game from Gibbs. There isn’t enough juice from the San Francisco offense to cover the total.
PrizePicks (Week 16: 2-2, Overall: 40-24)
Ricky Pearsall OVER 23.5 Receiving Yards
Sam LaPorta OVER 45.5 Receiving Yards
Jared Goff OVER 224.5 Passing Yards (Goblin)
Deebo Samuel OVER 9.5 Rushing Yards
Please note: The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.