Wake Forest–SMU carries the highest total on the slate at 60.5. SMU is a 1.5-point favorite, and Wake Forest, 8-1, sits at a 29.5 implied total. Cincinnati–Iowa State is second at 59.0 and Duke–Miami third at 54.5, with Miami's 34.0 the highest team total on the board. The Main slate runs 12 games and locks Saturday, November 14 at 12:00 PM ET.
Alabama's 33.8 against Vanderbilt and Georgia's 32.0 against Missouri are the next two team totals. Michigan–Oregon sits lowest at 38.5. Injuries reshape two offenses. Luke Fahey (DK $6,400) is next up at quarterback for Ohio State with Julian Sayin out. Lee Beebe Jr. (DK $5,100) is next up at running back for Indiana with Turbo Richard out, and his 3.97 value is the best at running back. Statuses can still move before lock.
Injury Watch
- Malachi Toney (Miami, out)
- Keelon Russell (DK $8,300) (Alabama, day-to-day)
- Aidan Chiles (Northwestern, out): Nicco Marchiol (DK $7,500) is next up at quarterback.
- Julian Sayin (Ohio State, out): Luke Fahey (DK $6,400) is next up at quarterback.
- Duke Watson (UCF, out): Landen Chambers (DK $5,300) is next up at running back.
- Turbo Richard (Indiana, out): Lee Beebe Jr. (DK $5,100) is next up at running back.
- JV Gibson (Cincinnati, out)
- Jordon Davison (Oregon, out): Dierre Hill Jr. (DK $6,700) is next up at running back.
Top Stacks
WAKE vs SMU (DK $22,600)
Players: Gio Lopez (DK $7,500); Carlos Hernandez (DK $8,200); Yamir Knight (DK $6,900)
The Wake Forest stack projects 64.2 points with 20.5% average ownership, a 14.4% optimal rate and 2.83 value. This is Stack IQ's top stack. Lopez and Hernandez pair on a 263.5-yard passing line and a 93.5-yard receiving line on 6.5 catches, with Wake Forest at a 29.5 implied total. Knight brings it back from a 60.5-point game total, with a 21.3 DK average over his last three and a 57.5-yard receiving line.
BYU vs BAY (DK $20,900)
Players: Bear Bachmeier (DK $8,100); Kyler Kasper (DK $5,000); Gavin Freeman (DK $7,800)
The BYU stack projects 55.7 points with 7.8% average ownership, a 5.9% optimal rate and 2.69 value. Bachmeier carries a 233.5-yard passing line, and Kasper averages 16.6 DK points over his last three with a 51.5-yard receiving line, behind a BYU implied total of 28.5. Freeman is Baylor's lead receiver in a 49.5-point game. He averages 20.6 DK points over his last three and carries a 77.5-yard line and a leverage of 3.9.
OSU vs NW (DK $23,400)
Players: Luke Fahey (DK $6,400); Jeremiah Smith (DK $9,300); Griffin Wilde (DK $7,700)
The Ohio State stack projects 60.3 points with 16.0% average ownership, an 11.2% optimal rate and 2.59 value. Fahey carries a 233.5-yard passing line, and Smith's line sits at 107.5 yards on 7 catches, both tied to Ohio State's 29.0 implied total. Wilde is Northwestern's lead receiver in a 44.5-point game. He has a 23.4 DK average over his last three, 1.1% ownership and a leverage of 2.3.
Quarterback
John Mateer (DK $6,600)
Mateer runs and throws for Oklahoma against Ole Miss, a near pick'em with Oklahoma at a 25.3 implied total. He averages 21.9 DK points over his last three, above his 17.0 season mark.
Mateer adds rushing to his passing at a 3.26 value, the best at quarterback, with a 12.5% optimal rate. He is one of the field's go-to quarterbacks, with a 29.5-yard rushing line beside a 224.5-yard passing line.
Gio Lopez (DK $7,500)
Lopez carried a probable tag for a lower-body injury on November 11, and he leads Wake Forest into the slate's highest total, 60.5, against SMU. His 263.5-yard passing line comes with a 12.1% optimal rate. He averaged 28.5 DK points over his last three before missing Wake Forest's last game, and he is a popular pairing with Carlos Hernandez (DK $8,200).
Bear Bachmeier (DK $8,100)
BYU leans on Bachmeier's legs against Baylor, and his rushing line sits at 44.5 yards. He carries the top projection at quarterback, 23.3. He is 9.0% owned with a 10.8% optimal rate, a leverage play for Build & Sim to size.
Running Back
Aiden Flora (DK $8,500)
Iowa State runs through Flora against Cincinnati in the slate's second-highest total, 59.0, and Iowa State's 31.0 implied total makes it the favorite. His rushing line sits at 126 yards with an 82% anytime touchdown chance.
Flora's recent games carry the same weight. He scored 37.1 on October 31, then 34.2 on November 7 with 182 rushing yards, and he averages 26.5 DK points over his last three. He is a crowd favorite with a 21.5% optimal rate, the top mark at running back.
DeSean Bishop (DK $8,700)
Bishop is Tennessee's workhorse against Texas A&M, with 25 carries against Kentucky on November 7 and a 20.9% optimal rate. His last five bottom out at 22.8 DK points. His 130.5-yard rushing line backs the top projection at running back.
Cardae Mack (DK $7,500)
Mack is Arizona State's lead back against UCF, with a 19.2% optimal rate. His 28.6 DK average over his last three comes with a 96.5-yard rushing line. His 3.46 value is second at running back, and he is a popular mid-priced back.
Wide Receiver
Jeremiah Smith (DK $9,300)
Ohio State gets Northwestern at a 29.0 implied total, and Smith is its top target. He caught 7 passes for 133 yards and a touchdown against Oregon on November 7. Tight end Maxence LeBlanc is out for Ohio State.
His touchdown odds carry the second read, with a 67% anytime touchdown chance. He projects for 25.8 points with a 59.1 ceiling. A popular top-dollar receiver, he also owns the top optimal rate at the position, 18.6%.
Carlos Hernandez (DK $8,200)
Hernandez is Wake Forest's top target in the slate's highest total against SMU, with a 17.0% optimal rate. He scored twice against Merrimack on November 7 with 89 receiving yards, and he averages 29.4 DK points over his last three. He is one of the field's favorite receivers.
Charlie Becker (DK $8,300)
Becker is Indiana's lead receiver against USC, with a 13.5% optimal rate. He caught 8 passes for 149 yards and a touchdown against Minnesota on October 31. His 88.5-yard receiving line backs the third projection at receiver, 21.6, and he sits in a large share of the field's builds.
What The Market Is Saying
The market builds around Aiden Flora (DK $8,500), Jeremiah Smith (DK $9,300) and Charlie Becker (DK $8,300). It stacks Wake Forest–SMU through Gio Lopez (DK $7,500) and Carlos Hernandez (DK $8,200), and it watches reports that Lopez is expected back from a lower-body injury. The market splits on which side of that game to build from, and on Smith's ceiling. DFS Hero has Lopez at a 12.1% optimal rate, and Smith at an 18.6% optimal rate, the top mark at receiver. The crowd also splits on Nate Sheppard (DK $9,200), and DFS Hero gives him a leverage of 4.5.
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The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.
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