FREE 1/30 PGA Cheat Sheet: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am DFS Plays

The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am brings a unique DFS challenge this week with its two-course rotation between Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill. This limited 80-player field, featuring eight of the top-10 in the world rankings, offers no-cut security but also makes roster construction tricky, given the lack of standout value plays. With an average salary of $7,445 and three players projected for 20%+ ownership, finding differentiation will be key. Accurate iron play and scrambling are critical on these small poa annua greens, so targeting golfers with strong approach stats and short-game prowess should be a priority.

Weather could also play a factor, as cooler temperatures and light rain are expected throughout the tournament. While there’s no clear advantage in course rotation this year, experience at Pebble Beach has historically mattered—nine of the past 12 winners had played this event at least four times. With big names like Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jordan Spieth making their 2025 debuts alongside defending champion Wyndham Clark, this loaded field demands careful lineup construction to balance upside and ownership leverage. Let’s dive into our top plays for this slate.

Premium Plays ($10,000+)

Top Play: Scottie Scheffler ($11,900)

Scottie Scheffler comes with a hefty $11,900 price tag this week, and while his 29.6% projected ownership makes him one of the chalkiest plays on the slate, there’s a strong case to justify it. His baseline metrics are elite—he’s projected for over 100 DraftKings points with an optimal lineup percentage of 20.6%, one of the highest in the field. Even with questions surrounding his recent hand injury and potential rust from a six-week layoff, this is a no-cut event, meaning Scheffler gets four guaranteed rounds to find his rhythm. Given his consistency in gaining strokes tee-to-green and his ability to post high-end scoring performances, he offers both a high floor and significant upside.

That said, there are reasons to tread carefully at this ownership level. The injury adds some uncertainty, especially since he’s just resumed full swings. If you’re playing tournaments, fading Scheffler could provide leverage against nearly one-third of the field rostering him. However, in cash games or balanced builds, he remains a cornerstone option given his consistent scoring ability and cut equity (77.9% make-cut rate). Ultimately, whether you play or fade him depends on your risk tolerance and roster construction strategy—but there’s no denying that when healthy, Scheffler is one of the most reliable DFS options available.

Other Premium Options

• Collin Morikawa ($10,200, MakeCut: 72.2%, Own: 21.7%)
• Rory McIlroy ($10,700, MakeCut: 68.9%, Own: 11.5%)

Mid-Range Plays ($8,000-$9,999)

Top Play: Ludvig Aberg ($9,900)

Ludvig Aberg ($9,900) presents an intriguing option this week, though there are some factors to weigh carefully. While his projected 94.2 DK points and strong 9.51x value indicate solid upside, his recent struggles at Torrey Pines—where he battled flu-like symptoms—raise concerns about his current form and health. That said, Aberg’s ability to rebound with strong performances is well-documented, as evidenced by his surge at The Sentry earlier this year. His make-cut percentage of 69.7% is respectable for this price range, though not elite, so there’s some inherent risk here compared to other players in his salary tier.

At a projected ownership of 20.3%, Aberg is firmly in chalk territory, which limits his appeal in large-field tournaments unless you’re confident in a bounce-back performance. However, the high rostership isn’t entirely unjustified given his ability to score in bunches when healthy and dialed in. His optimal lineup percentage of 15.4% suggests he has legitimate upside if things click, but the combination of elevated salary and ownership makes him a better fit for cash games or single-entry formats rather than GPPs where differentiation is key. Keep an eye on any updates regarding his health before locking him into lineups.

Other Mid-Range Options

• Patrick Cantlay ($9,400, MakeCut: 65.8%, Own: 19.6%)
• Justin Thomas ($9,800, MakeCut: 64.2%, Own: 17.2%)
• Hideki Matsuyama ($9,600, MakeCut: 63.5%, Own: 16.4%)

Value Plays ($7,000-$7,999)

Top Play: Max Greyserman ($7,800)

Max Greyserman offers an intriguing blend of recent form and value at $7,800. With five top-10s and eight top-25s in his last ten starts, he’s consistently putting himself in contention. His seventh-place finish at The American Express highlighted elite approach play, leading the field in Strokes Gained: Approach over two measured rounds. While his 55.7% make-cut rate isn’t stellar, his combination of strong ball-striking and recent results suggests a higher floor than that number might imply. Additionally, his 13.4% optimal lineup percentage underscores his upside relative to this price range.

At 13.2% projected ownership, Greyserman is moderately chalky but not prohibitively so. Given his solid scoring potential (86.9 DK points projected) and strong value (11.14x), he’s worth considering in both cash games and tournaments. While you won’t gain significant leverage by rostering him, the ownership seems justified given his current form and potential to outperform others in this salary tier. If you’re looking for a mid-range play with upside and a reasonable path to success, Greyserman fits the bill nicely this week.

Other Value Options

• Harry Hall ($7,300, MakeCut: 53.3%, Own: 14.2%)
• Adam Scott ($7,600, MakeCut: 52.3%, Own: 12.6%)
• Russell Henley ($7,900, MakeCut: 51.7%, Own: 11.4%)

Bargain Plays (Under $7,000)

Top Play: Ben Griffin ($6,600)

Ben Griffin offers intriguing value this week at just $6,600. His recent T7 finish at The American Express highlights his strong form, with five top-25 finishes in his last six starts. Griffin’s ability to co-lead the field in GIRs at The AmEx suggests his ball-striking is dialed in, which could translate well to another strong showing. While his 45.9% make-cut rate isn’t elite, his projection of 82.2 DK points and a solid 12.45x value rank him fourth in tournament value and third in cash game appeal. At this price point, he provides both salary relief and upside, making him a viable option for balanced roster construction.

Griffin’s projected ownership (9.2%) is slightly above the field average but not prohibitive, especially given his recent form and optimal lineup percentage of 11.5%. He’s unlikely to be a major differentiator, but he doesn’t need to be at this salary if he continues to deliver consistent results. His GIR consistency and improving finishes signal that he has the tools to contend again this week, particularly on courses where approach play is critical. While there’s some risk tied to his middling cut equity, the combination of value and upside makes Griffin a strong consideration in both GPPs and cash formats.

Other Bargain Options

• Sam Stevens ($6,800, MakeCut: 45.6%, Own: 7.0%)
• Mark Hubbard ($6,700, MakeCut: 43.9%, Own: 7.2%)
• Lucas Glover ($6,100, MakeCut: 41.6%, Own: 5.4%)

Good luck! Make sure to check the Lineup Optimizer for latest updates before lock. Visit DFS Hero for our full suite of DFS tools including the Lineup Optimizer, Contest Simulator, Player Projections, and Ownership Projections. Use code HEROPLAY15 to get 15% off your first month!