FREE 06/13 MLB Cheat Sheet: Top DFS Plays

We’ve got a solid 12-game slate on tap tonight, but we need to keep a close eye on the weather. The LAA @ BAL and COL @ ATL games both carry a significant risk of delay or even a rainout, so plan accordingly. Beyond that, CIN @ DET has the wind blowing in, which could suppress offense slightly, while SF @ LAD has the wind blowing out, which could boost offense slightly.

The highest total on the board belongs to LAA @ BAL at 10.5, though the weather is a concern. SD @ ARI is next at 9.5 in a dome, making that a prime target. The lowest total sits at 7.0 in CLE @ SEA in a dome.

Top Stacks

ATL 5-Man ($24,000)

Ronald Acuna Jr., Drake Baldwin, Austin Riley, Matt Olson, Marcell Ozuna

Atlanta presents a viable contrarian stack tonight, offering 1.96 points per $1000 spent. While their optimal lineup appearance rate sits at 7.9%, the stack’s average ownership is only 10.6%, suggesting they are underutilized relative to their potential. The projected 8.5-run total and the wind blowing out create a favorable hitting environment, but the rain delay possibility could suppress ownership even further, making them an intriguing leverage play if the game plays without interruption.

TEX 5-Man ($20,400)

Josh Smith, Wyatt Langford, Corey Seager, Marcus Semien, Jake Burger

The Rangers stack, featuring Smith, Langford, Seager, Semien, and Burger, presents solid value at 2.02 points per thousand, especially considering the 8.5 game total. This stack is currently projected for moderate ownership, averaging 6.5%, which aligns nicely with its 6.4% optimal rate. Given the controlled environment of the domed stadium, we can confidently project their offensive output without weather concerns. This stack is a strong option for tournaments, offering leverage on the field with a good shot at being optimal.

MIN 5-Man ($19,300)

Byron Buxton, Ryan Jeffers, Carlos Correa, Ty France, Royce Lewis

The Twins stack presents intriguing contrarian upside, carrying a modest 8.3% projected ownership despite its solid 2.14 value. While their 6.2% optimal rate suggests some inefficiency, the domed stadium eliminates weather concerns, and this stack should get a good number of at-bats. Targeting a team total of 8 runs with low ownership, this stack offers a unique combination of production and leverage for tournaments.

SP Plays

Top Play: Gavin Williams ($8,000)

Gavin Williams is in a prime spot to deliver a strong performance tonight against the Mariners. He’s coming off a dominant outing against the Angels where he threw 6.2 innings, allowing only 1 hit and racking up 6 strikeouts, resulting in 28.6 DraftKings points. His ability to limit hits and generate strikeouts makes him a high-upside option at his $8000 price point.

Williams offers significant value at 2.09x and appears in a healthy percentage (18.6%) of optimal lineups. He’s clearly the top tournament play at SP, and even with high projected ownership (18.7%), his upside is worth targeting in GPPs. Seattle’s offense can be inconsistent, and Williams’ recent form suggests he can exploit that vulnerability.

Honorable Mentions

• Garrett Crochet ($10,800)
• Bryce Elder ($7,800)

C Plays

Top Play: Ryan Jeffers ($3,700)

Ryan Jeffers bats second for the Twins, putting him in a prime position to score runs. His $3700 salary provides strong value, projecting at 2.2x, and he appears in 9.1% of optimal lineups, highlighting his potential for a big night.

Jeffers faces Houston tonight, and his right-handed bat gives him an advantage. He is a top-ranked tournament play and well worth the investment.

Honorable Mentions

• Salvador Perez ($3,100)
• Adley Rutschman ($3,900)

1B Plays

Top Play: Shohei Ohtani ($6,400)

Ohtani bats leadoff for the Dodgers and is in a prime position to score runs against San Francisco. His $6400 salary offers strong value at 1.7x, and he’s projected to be in nearly 15% of optimal lineups. He consistently sees good pitches hitting atop a potent Dodgers lineup, translating to steady fantasy production.

He faces a favorable matchup against a San Francisco pitching staff that struggles to contain left-handed power. Ohtani’s ability to contribute in multiple categories makes him a high-upside play, and his moderate 7.9% ownership presents a leverage opportunity in tournaments.

Honorable Mentions

• Salvador Perez ($3,100)
• Miguel Vargas ($2,900)

2B Plays

Top Play: Jackson Holliday ($4,100)

Jackson Holliday is hitting leadoff tonight against the Angels, guaranteeing maximum plate appearances in a potent Orioles offense. He’s shown flashes of his potential with two stolen bases and multi-hit games in his last three starts, demonstrating his ability to contribute in multiple categories. At $4100, he provides strong value, especially considering his 2.16x value rating and the fact that he’s appearing in 6.4% of optimal lineups.

Holliday faces a favorable matchup against a pitcher that he can exploit from the left side of the plate. His ability to get on base consistently, as evidenced by his recent performances, creates ample opportunities to score runs. While his ownership is high at 14.9%, his upside outweighs the risk, making him a top tournament option at second base.

Honorable Mentions

• Willi Castro ($3,400)
• Marcus Semien ($3,400)

3B Plays

Top Play: Royce Lewis ($2,700)

Royce Lewis is in an excellent spot hitting 5th for the Twins at a very affordable $2700. He provides strong value at nearly 3x, and his power potential always makes him a threat to exceed expectations. He’s showing up in 6.4% of optimal lineups, indicating his upside relative to his salary.

Lewis faces the Astros in a favorable matchup where he can take advantage of his right-handed hitting. His recent games demonstrate his ability to contribute runs and RBIs, and his placement in the middle of the lineup ensures he’ll have opportunities to drive in runners. Despite the high 11.6% ownership, his value is too good to pass up in GPP formats.

Honorable Mentions

• Miguel Vargas ($2,900)
• Austin Riley ($4,700)

SS Plays

Top Play: Corey Seager ($4,400)

Corey Seager bats third for Texas and offers significant offensive upside at this price point. He projects for strong value at 2.1x and appears in over 10% of optimal lineups, indicating his potential to be a slate-breaker. As a left-handed batter, he’s positioned well in the heart of the order to capitalize on run-scoring opportunities.

Seager faces a favorable matchup that he can exploit, and his lineup spot guarantees maximum plate appearances in a premium run-producing environment. While recent game logs don’t fully reflect his capabilities, his overall profile and potential for a high-scoring game make him a top tournament option at shortstop.

Honorable Mentions

• Carlos Correa ($3,500)
• Gunnar Henderson ($4,700)

OF Plays

Top Play: Fernando Tatis Jr. ($4,700)

Honorable Mentions

• Ronald Acuna Jr. ($6,100)
• Mike Trout ($5,000)

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