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NBA DraftKings Picks: Sunday Early Slate (October 25)

By DFS Hero Team

Lakers–Jazz carries a 237.5 total, and the Lakers are 6.5-point favorites with a 122.0 implied total against the Jazz's 115.5. Pacers–Nets sits at 231.5, with the Pacers favored by 7 and implied for 119.5 against the Nets' 112.0. The two-game slate locks Sunday at 5:00 PM ET with Lakers–Jazz, and Pacers–Nets tips an hour later.

The injury report touches all four rotations. Jusuf Nurkic is out for the Jazz, Mikel Brown Jr. is out for the Nets, and T.J. McConnell and Ben Sheppard are out for the Pacers. Aaron Nesmith (DK $4,900) is probable. Tyler Bilodeau (DK $3,000) is questionable for a Nets game that starts after lock, which makes him a late-swap check.

Injury Watch

  • Jusuf Nurkic (Jazz, out)
  • Mikel Brown Jr. (Nets, out)
  • T.J. McConnell (Pacers, out)
  • Aaron Nesmith (DK $4,900) (Pacers, day-to-day, probable)
  • Cameron Carr (Lakers, out)
  • Ben Sheppard (Pacers, out)
  • Tyler Bilodeau (DK $3,000) (Nets, day-to-day, questionable)
  • Trey Alexander (Jazz, out)

Point Guard

Luka Doncic (DK $11,200)

Doncic runs the Lakers' offense against the Jazz over 35 projected minutes, with a 46.1% optimal rate, the top mark at point guard. His props line sits at 31.4 points and 7.9 assists.

Doncic scored 54.0 against the Warriors on October 21, then 38.5 against the Clippers on October 23. His 85.5 ceiling is the top mark at point guard, and the field lines up behind him.

Tyrese Haliburton (DK $8,300)

T.J. McConnell is out, and Haliburton runs the Pacers' offense against the Nets with a 9.2-assist props line and a 40.6% optimal rate. He scored 46.5 against the Pelicans on October 21, then 40.5 against the Mavericks on October 23, and he is a crowd favorite.

Austin Reaves (DK $7,900)

Reaves gets 35 projected minutes in the Lakers' backcourt against the Jazz with a 39.2% optimal rate. He averages 44.0 over his two games this season, with 46.5 against the Clippers on October 23, and the field piles in on him.

Small Forward

Michael Porter Jr. (DK $7,200)

Porter Jr. carries a 21.6-point props line with 3.3 threes against the Pacers, and Mikel Brown Jr. is out for the Nets. He projects for 34 minutes and a 57.2 ceiling, the second-best ceiling at small forward.

He scored 50.3 against the Cavaliers on October 24. He is 27.9% owned with a 34.1% optimal rate, a hair above Lauri Markkanen (DK $7,700) at 33.8%.

Lauri Markkanen (DK $7,700)

Jusuf Nurkic is out for the Jazz, and Markkanen draws the Lakers with a 33.8% optimal rate. His 38.1 projection is the top mark at small forward, over 34 projected minutes with a 22.6-point props line. The field loads up on him.

Power Forward

Julius Randle (DK $7,300)

Randle scored 55.0 against the Hornets on October 21, then 36.5 against the Cavaliers on October 24, a 45.8 average over his two games with the Nets. He draws the Pacers in 35 projected minutes.

The props line has him at 21.2 points and 5 assists. He is 41.4% owned with a 41.7% optimal rate, the top optimal rate at power forward.

Jaren Jackson Jr. (DK $6,900)

Jackson Jr. starts at power forward for the Jazz against the Lakers, carries center eligibility, and posts a 35.2% optimal rate, the second-best at power forward. He scored 28.8 against the Grizzlies on October 21, then 48.0 against the Pelicans on October 23, a 38.4 average over two games. The field crowds onto him.

Pascal Siakam (DK $7,600)

The Pacers carry a 119.5 implied total against the Nets, and Siakam posts a 32.5% optimal rate. Siakam carries a 22.8-point props line in 33 projected minutes, and he is a popular forward in that game.

Center

Day'Ron Sharpe (DK $5,300)

Sharpe starts at center for the Nets against the Pacers, with 27 projected minutes and a props line of 8.8 rebounds and 2.9 assists. His ceiling sits at 49.0.

His 5.78 value is the top mark at center, and he is 23.7% owned with a 37.2% optimal rate. Build & Sim sizes his leverage of 13.5 across the lineups it simulates.

Ivica Zubac (DK $7,200)

Books set Zubac at 11 rebounds against the Nets, and he projects for 32 minutes. He is 25.6% owned with a 30.4% optimal rate.

Walker Kessler (DK $7,400)

Kessler put up 54.0 against the Clippers on October 23 and averages 47.9 over his two games for the Lakers. He draws the Jazz at 18.0% owned with a 25.0% optimal rate.

What The Market Is Saying

The market builds around Lakers–Jazz, with Walker Kessler (DK $7,400) as its chalk and Luka Doncic (DK $11,200) and Austin Reaves (DK $7,900) beside him. In Pacers–Nets it keys on Tyrese Haliburton (DK $8,300) feeding Ivica Zubac (DK $7,200), with Pascal Siakam (DK $7,600) in the mix. The market splits on the Lakers–Jazz total, on the Nets with the points, and on Kessler. DFS Hero has Kessler at a 25.0% optimal rate. A minority of the market stacks Darryn Peterson (DK $5,800) with Keyonte George (DK $7,200) on the Jazz and takes Egor Demin (DK $5,000) as cheap Nets value, and the market watches Jusuf Nurkic's absence and reports the Nets on the second night of a back-to-back.

Take these reads into the DFS Hero Workspace: shape the player pool, then Build & Sim builds your lineups and simulates every one against your contest's real payouts in one click. Stack IQ, late swap and Hero Chat sit in the same screen. Get Full Access for $1: $1 for 5 days, cancel anytime.

The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.

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