The Hawks and the Cavaliers share the slate's top implied total at 122.5. Hawks–Pelicans carries a 240.5 game total, with the Hawks favored by 4. Five games lock Saturday at 7:00 PM ET. Hawks–Pelicans tips at lock, and the other four start at 8:00 or 8:30. The Cavaliers are 9.5-point favorites over the Bucks, and the 5-0 Grizzlies give 8.5 points to the 0-5 Kings. The Spurs are 12.5-point favorites over the Timberwolves, whose 106.5 implied points are the slate's lowest. Thunder–Rockets sits at 218.5, with the Thunder's 108.0 the second lowest and the Rockets' 110.5 the third lowest.
Absences reshape three rotations. The Thunder play without Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso and Cason Wallace. The Timberwolves play without Anthony Edwards, and the Kings without Maxime Raynaud and Keegan Murray. Alperen Sengun (DK $8,600) and Ty Jerome (DK $8,400) are questionable, and both play in games that tip after lock.
Injury Watch
- Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves, out)
- Chet Holmgren (Thunder, out)
- Jalen Williams (Thunder, out)
- Maxime Raynaud (Kings, out)
- Keegan Murray (Kings, out)
- Alex Caruso (Thunder, out)
- Alperen Sengun (DK $8,600) (Rockets, questionable)
- Ty Jerome (DK $8,400) (Grizzlies, questionable)
Point Guard
Darius Acuff Jr. (DK $7,500)
Acuff runs the Kings' offense against the Grizzlies, with a 33.0% usage rate across a 35-minute projection. He carries the top value at point guard at 5.41.
He scored 64.5 DK points against the Pelicans on October 29, and his last-three average is 44.5. His points prop sits at 22.6 with a 23.0% optimal rate, and he is the chalk at guard.
James Harden (DK $7,600)
The Cavaliers tie the Hawks for the slate's top implied total against the Bucks, and Harden runs their offense with a 15.2% optimal rate. He averaged 36.2 DK points over his last three games. He carries a 6.8-assist prop and a 34-minute projection.
CJ McCollum (DK $5,700)
McCollum starts for the Hawks against the Pelicans, with a 16.1-point prop and a 15.0% optimal rate. He holds the second-best value at point guard at 5.11. He projects for 27 minutes, and he is a common pick in the field.
Shooting Guard
Zach LaVine (DK $6,800)
LaVine projects for 35 minutes for the Kings against the Grizzlies, with a 26.4% usage rate. His props sit at 21.0 points and 2.7 threes.
He posted 38.3 DK points against the Pelicans on October 29, and his last-three average is 40.0. His 21.6% optimal rate ranks second at shooting guard, and he is a heavy field play.
Tyler Herro (DK $7,000)
Herro scored 29.8 DK points against the Rockets on October 28 and carries a 20.7% optimal rate. He faces the Cavaliers with a 27.8% usage rate and 32 projected minutes.
Ajay Mitchell (DK $6,400)
Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso and Chet Holmgren are out, opening minutes for Mitchell against the Rockets, and he carries a 13.6% optimal rate. He averaged 41.2 DK points over his last three games on a 27.9% usage rate. His points prop sits at 18.4.
Small Forward
Jaden McDaniels (DK $6,200)
McDaniels holds the second-best value at small forward, 5.11, for the Timberwolves against the Spurs. Anthony Edwards is out, and McDaniels carries a 16.9-point prop over a 34-minute projection.
He put up 44.5 DK points against the Clippers on October 30, and his last-three average is 35.4. His low over his last five games is 28.5. His 14.9% optimal rate ranks second at small forward.
Kevin Durant (DK $7,900)
Durant's last-three average is 38.9 DK points, and he carries a 13.5% optimal rate. He takes a 25.0% usage rate and a 22.6-point prop into the Rockets' game against the Thunder.
Terrence Shannon Jr. (DK $4,500)
Shannon carries a 12.6-point prop for the Timberwolves against the Spurs. He is 7.0% owned with a 12.3% optimal rate, a leverage of 5.3.
Power Forward
Jalen Johnson (DK $9,700)
The Hawks are 4-point favorites over the Pelicans, and Johnson runs their offense with a 26.1% usage rate. His props sit at 21.8 points and 7.9 assists, and he carries the top projection at power forward.
His last-three average is 40.2 DK points, the newest of those games a 36.5 against the Cavaliers on October 29. He pairs a 24.1% optimal rate with a 76.3 ceiling, and the field builds around him.
Precious Achiuwa (DK $5,700)
The Kings play without Maxime Raynaud and Keegan Murray, and Achiuwa carries a 19.0% optimal rate. Achiuwa starts against the Grizzlies with the top value at power forward, 5.45. He scored 45.8 DK points against the Pelicans on October 29, his last-three average is 29.0, and he projects for 31 minutes.
Cameron Boozer (DK $7,400)
The Grizzlies carry the third-highest implied total on the slate against the Kings, and Boozer pairs a 23.1% usage rate with a 15.8% optimal rate. His newest game was 56.5 DK points against the Trail Blazers on October 29, and his last-three average is 42.0.
Center
Onyeka Okongwu (DK $5,900)
Okongwu put up 54.0 DK points against the Cavaliers on October 29, and his last-three average is 35.9. He starts against the Pelicans with a 29-minute projection.
His props sit at 13.6 points and 6.9 rebounds. An 18.7% optimal rate ranks second at center, and he is a staple of the field's builds.
Alperen Sengun (DK $8,600)
Sengun's 18.5-point prop comes with a 27.5% usage rate for the Rockets against the Thunder. He is 14.4% owned with a 14.9% optimal rate. He is questionable with a back injury, and the Rockets tip after lock, so he is a late-swap check.
Jarrett Allen (DK $6,100)
Allen anchors the Cavaliers' frontcourt against the Bucks with a 9.0-rebound prop. He is 9.4% owned with a 13.7% optimal rate, a leverage of 4.3.
What The Market Is Saying
The market builds around Victor Wembanyama (DK $10,900) and Jalen Johnson (DK $9,700), and it treats Darius Acuff Jr. (DK $7,500) as the chalk at guard. It splits on Hawks–Pelicans over the total. It also splits on Cavaliers–Bucks, between the Bucks' pace and the 9.5-point spread, while a contrarian view points to cheap Grizzlies. The news it keys on is Alperen Sengun (DK $8,600) and his back, along with reports of a heavier load for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (DK $10,400) with the Thunder short-handed. DFS Hero backs the Wembanyama build with an 11.3% optimal rate and a leverage of 4.2, and it has Johnson at a 24.1% optimal rate. DFS Hero has Sengun at a 14.9% optimal rate.
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The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.
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