FREE 10/06 NFL Cheat Sheet: Top MNF DFS Plays

Let’s break down this Monday Night Football showdown between the Jaguars and the Chiefs. We’ve got a 45.5 total, which is decent for a Showdown slate, and the Chiefs are 3.5-point road favorites. This one has the potential to be a high-scoring affair, especially with Kansas City coming off a huge offensive performance against the Ravens. Jacksonville’s no slouch either, sitting at 3-1, and they’ve shown they can hang with good teams.

From a DFS perspective, this game offers some interesting narratives. The Chiefs’ offense finally looked like its old self in Week 4, and if that continues, stacking their key pieces will be a popular strategy. However, Jacksonville’s defense has been solid, so don’t sleep on some of their consistent performers. We’ll need to decide if the Chiefs’ offensive explosion was a one-off or a sign of things to come. With both teams having something to prove, and the Chiefs trying to get back on track after a slow start, we could see some fireworks.

Let’s dive into the top Captain and Flex plays for Monday’s showdown slate!

Top Captain Plays

Patrick Mahomes ($15,900)

Patrick Mahomes continues to deliver elite performances, highlighted by his four-touchdown effort last week against Baltimore, signaling a return to vintage form with Xavier Worthy back in the lineup. Tonight’s matchup against Jacksonville presents a prime opportunity for him to build on that momentum, and his 1.5x captain multiplier maximizes his already high ceiling, projected at an impressive 32.3 DK points. His moderate 14.2% captain ownership allows for leverage, and his consistent ability to rack up yardage and red-zone scores makes him the safest and highest-upside captain play on the slate.

Honorable Mention

• Trevor Lawrence ($13,800)

Top UTIL Plays

1. Xavier Worthy ($8,800)

Xavier Worthy has been a target hog for the Chiefs, seeing 10+ targets in three of his last four games, and tonight he faces a Jaguars defense allowing the third-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. His explosive playmaking ability gives him a high ceiling, and the Chiefs’ implied team total of 27.5 points suggests multiple scoring opportunities for their top pass-catchers. Even with a minor ankle issue, the reports indicate he is expected to play, which speaks to his importance in this offense.

Worthy’s role in the red zone has also expanded recently, making him a prime candidate for multiple touchdowns in this matchup. His elite speed creates separation against any secondary, and the Jaguars’ secondary has struggled with deep threats all season. With an optimal lineup percentage of nearly 59%, the DFS community recognizes his massive potential, and his $8800 salary still provides excellent value at 1.72x against a vulnerable opponent.

2. Dyami Brown ($2,000)

Dyami Brown returns to action this week cleared from a shoulder injury, and his $2,000 salary creates elite value against the Chiefs. He’s already shown his ability this season with 10 catches for 116 yards and a touchdown through parts of three games, demonstrating his red zone upside even in limited action. His projected 7.0 DraftKings points give him an outstanding 3.48x value at this minimum price point, making him a critical piece for rostering higher-priced studs.

Brown’s optimal lineup percentage of 46.42% highlights his importance as a salary-saving play, and his moderate ownership of 20.77% means he’s a popular, yet not overly chalky, option. The Jaguars’ offense will likely be playing from behind against Kansas City, setting up a pass-heavy game script that can funnel targets to their receivers. Brown’s ability to contribute both receiving and rushing yards (15 yards on three carries) further boosts his floor at such a low cost.

Honorable Mentions

• Travis Etienne Jr. ($9,800)

Bargain Bin

Parker Washington ($3,600)

Parker Washington has a low $3600 salary that unlocks significant roster flexibility, and his recent game showed a flash of explosiveness with an 87-yard punt return touchdown against the 49ers, demonstrating his big-play ability. He also drew an impressive 11 targets just two games ago, indicating a role in the Jaguars’ passing game that can spike at any moment, especially against a Chiefs defense that can force teams to throw.

Tonight’s matchup against Kansas City projects to be a high-scoring affair, and Washington’s sub-$4K salary allows us to roster top-tier options elsewhere. His 14.9% optimal lineup percentage further highlights his potential to outperform his low cost, providing the necessary salary relief and upside to differentiate lineups in larger field tournaments.

Honorable Mention

• Noah Gray ($2,400)

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