Hey everyone, it’s week 11! We’ve got some exciting matchups lined up, and a few games that could turn into high-scoring affairs. Plus, with 4 teams on bye this week, we’re left with an eleven-game slate to enjoy. Have fun and good luck!

At first glance, you might assume this game is going to be all about defense, especially considering historical trends. But this season, the Ravens have flipped the script. They’re actually giving up the eighth-most points per game while leading the league in both scoring and yardage. Over the past month, they’ve been averaging a whopping 61.3 points per game and running the third-most plays. With a bit of extra prep time against the Steelers’ defense, they should definitely find ways to put points on the board. I’m planning to roll with Lamar in my lineups solo, but if you’re looking to stack, Flowers could be your best bet.

The Broncos are sitting at 5-5 and just dropped two games in a row. On the bright side, Nix has been a reliable fantasy option this season, except for that one rough outing in week four. This week, Nix and the crew are up against a Falcons defense that struggles with their pass rush, which should help keep the game moving at a fast pace. Denver’s offense has picked up the speed, jumping from 16th in pace of play to seventh. Teaming up Sutton with Nix looks like the safest bet here. There are some risky options out there, but I prefer to stick with what I know will work.

Just like I mentioned with my Lamar Jackson choice, I expect this game to have some solid scoring action back and forth. The Baltimore defense is giving up the third-highest EPA per play on drop backs. On the flip side, the Steelers have picked up the pace with Wilson at quarterback, ranking as the eighth fastest in Neutral Pace Over Expected (POE) over the past month. During that time, their games have seen the fifth-highest total plays (128.3). This matchup is going to be thrilling, and I’m really looking forward to it! I feel best about pairing Wilson with Pickens.

A lot of people might see this game and assume it’ll be boring, but I see some real potential. The Browns have been performing well, sitting fifth in PROE over the past month, and they’re up against a struggling secondary with the Saints. Over the last month, Browns games have racked up the most combined plays in the league (130). I think pairing Winston with Tillman is definitely the way to go here.

CMC quickly returned to a top running back role, playing 88% of the snaps. He was targeted seven times, catching six passes for 68 yards. This matchup is way more favorable for CMC as a rusher, but he will definitely have a big role in the passing game also.

Bijan is super-efficient and should definitely be a key part of the game plan this week against the Broncos, who have a top-notch pass rush. Cousins probably won’t have much time to throw, so quick passes to Robinson will be crucial. Bijan’s current ownership is half of Kyren Williams, but he has a similar potential. I really like his chances in what should be a close matchup.

The Dolphins seem eager to focus on their running game this season, especially since the Raiders struggle to defend against it. With Tua dealing with concussion concerns, the team is making an effort to keep him safe and play it safe, which has opened up opportunities for Achane lately. Over the past three weeks, Achane has been targeted an average of 6.7 times and has two receiving touchdowns. He’s also racked up about 66 rushing yards and one rushing touchdown during that time. I’m not too confident in Miami’s passing game, and they probably won’t need to rely on it much against the Raiders this week. While Achane might attract some attention, he represents good value given his potential.

This week at RB, there aren’t many budget-friendly options to consider, but I’m a fan of Monty since he’s priced lower than some of the big names while still having a solid chance for touchdowns. The Lions focus on the run game, especially against the Jaguars, so they probably won’t need to throw the ball much. I’m into both Monty and Gibbs this week, but Monty is a great choice if you need to save some cash for your lineup.

I believe we can overlook the really pricey players this week and still uncover some solid options in the $7k to $5.5k range. Now, the Steelers tend to lean heavily on the run, but they’re up against a Ravens defense that are struggling to stop the pass. This leads us to Pickens, who is definitely going to be the top target for Wilson. He’s clearly the WR1 with an impressive 84% route participation and a 38% target share.

Nix is likely to have plenty of time to check out his options since Atlanta struggles with their pass rush. When he’s got time to throw, he usually connects with Sutton, so this could be a solid game for the Denver offense. They might focus on the run at times, but it should remain a close matchup, meaning they’ll need to pass enough to justify his salary, especially since he’s been averaging 22.2 fantasy points over the last three games.

I really like Detroit’s run game, but I’m also excited about the chances Williams might get to make some big plays. I’m skipping ARSB this week since I doubt he’ll get enough targets to make it worth the salary. Williams came back from his suspension last week and was on the field for 81% of the routes. He’s definitely the stronger option this week against the Jaguars.

New Orleans is having a tough time on defense without Marshawn Lattimore and they lack a solid pass rush. The Browns’ offensive line is strong, which should give Winston some breathing room. Since Winston stepped in as the starter, Tillman has been getting around 10 targets each game. Besides Njoku, it looks like Tillman is Winston’s go-to guy.

Kelce might not be the player he used to be in earlier seasons, but he’s still a key part of the offense. Over the past three weeks, he’s been getting around 13 targets each game. The Chiefs are likely to have a tough time with their running game against Buffalo, but they can definitely take advantage of the passing game to stay unbeaten.

Njoku is the top guy for first-read targets on the Browns. He’s definitely the most dependable player on their offense and has a solid matchup coming up. It feels like people have overlooked how talented Njoku is since his ownership numbers are pretty low everywhere I check. I’m fully backing him until everyone wakes up and realizes how great he is after he has a big game this week.

Engram is definitely the top choice for the Jags’ offense, and they’ll probably have to rely on the passing game to stay competitive. He led the team with 8 targets last week against the Vikings, so you can expect him to get plenty of action again. That kind of volume should really benefit him in this matchup.

Henry had a rough game last week, only managing to see two targets, but he was pretty much double-covered the whole time. The Rams’ defense is likely to throw some double-coverages at him too, but I think Henry will bounce back and play like the offensive star he was before last week.

The Vikings love to bring the heat and play some seriously aggressive defense. They’ve got one of the top pass rushers in the league with Jonathan Greenard, and the Titans’ offensive line is going to struggle to keep him in check.

The Patriots’ offensive line is pretty beat up, and they’ll have to deal with star rookie edge rusher Jared Verse coming at them whenever he can. When it comes to drop-back passes, the Patriots are going to struggle to let Maye get the ball out without getting sacked by either Brandon Fiske or Kobie Turner.

The Jets’ defense has been pretty inconsistent this season, showing some moments of brilliance but also times when they seem completely disengaged. They’re not exactly a top-tier pass defense, but they should hold their own against Richardson. The Colts might focus on the run, but to keep this competitive, they’ll need to air it out a bit.

Myles Garrett is likely to dominate against the Saints’ front seven. Offensive tackles Taliese Fuaga and Trevor Penning probably won’t stand a chance against him. Plus, the Browns boast a strong overall defense that’s tough on third downs, which could create some serious issues for the Saints this week.

11/17 NFL DFS Hunting Millions: Millionaire Maker Week 11 Picks

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