Maple Leafs–Flames and Red Wings–Oilers both carry 6.5 totals on Monday. The Oilers hold 3.6 implied goals and a 62% win chance against the Red Wings, and the Maple Leafs sit at 3.5 implied goals against the Flames. Kings–Rangers sits at 5.5 and drops the puck at lock: the three-game slate locks at 7:00 PM ET, and the two later games stay open to late swap.
The projected goalies are Darcy Kuemper (DK $7,200) against Dylan Garand (DK $8,200) in Kings–Rangers, Sergei Bobrovsky (DK $8,000) against Devin Cooley (DK $7,400) in Maple Leafs–Flames, and John Gibson (DK $7,000) against Tristan Jarry (DK $8,400) in Red Wings–Oilers. Bobrovsky carries the top projection at goalie at 12.8 with a 26.5% optimal rate. Kuemper made 41 saves in his newest start.
Injury Watch
- John Tavares (Maple Leafs, out)
- Quinton Byfield (DK $4,500) (Kings, day-to-day)
- Mats Zuccarello (Kings, out)
- Mattias Ekholm (Oilers, out)
- Mikael Backlund (DK $3,600) (Flames, day-to-day)
- Chris Tanev (Maple Leafs, out)
- Max Domi (Maple Leafs, out)
- Kevin Fiala (Kings, out)
Top Stacks
EDM PP1 vs DET (DK $38,000)
Players: Connor McDavid (DK $9,700); Leon Draisaitl (DK $9,200); Evan Bouchard (DK $8,200); Zach Hyman (DK $6,200); Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (DK $4,700)
The Oilers stack projects 65.2 points with 27.6% average ownership, a 40.6% optimal rate and 1.73 value. It is Stack IQ's top stack, and it carries a leverage of 13.0 with a 148.0 ceiling. All five skaters are on PP1, with McDavid, Draisaitl and Bouchard from line 1 and Hyman and Nugent-Hopkins from line 2, for a team implied for 3.6 goals. Nugent-Hopkins brings an 11.9 season average over 2 games.
TOR PP1 vs CGY (DK $30,200)
Players: Auston Matthews (DK $8,500); William Nylander (DK $6,400); Kirill Marchenko (DK $5,900); Darren Raddysh (DK $5,500); Gavin McKenna (DK $3,900)
The Maple Leafs stack projects 56.7 points with 21.6% average ownership, a 20.4% optimal rate and 1.87 value. The Maple Leafs carry 3.5 implied goals and a 57% win chance. The unit pulls Matthews and Raddysh from line 1, Nylander and Marchenko from line 2 and McKenna from line 3. Marchenko had two assists for 12.8 DK points against the Oilers on October 24 and carries a 13.8 average over his last three.
DET PP1 vs EDM (DK $32,200)
Players: Alex DeBrincat (DK $7,700); Dylan Larkin (DK $6,200); Moritz Seider (DK $6,200); Lucas Raymond (DK $5,800); Viktor Arvidsson (DK $6,300)
The Red Wings stack projects 54.6 points with 14.5% average ownership, a 16.1% optimal rate and 1.70 value. DeBrincat, Arvidsson and Seider come from line 1 and Larkin and Raymond from line 2, all on PP1, in a game with a 6.5 total. Raymond brings a 19.8 DK average over his last three, and Arvidsson averages 9.7 over the same stretch. With a leverage of 1.6 and a 125.5 ceiling, it is a stack to let Build & Sim size.
Center
Auston Matthews (DK $8,500)
Matthews skates on line 1, PP1 for a Maple Leafs team implied for 3.5 goals against the Flames. He holds the top optimal rate at center at 32.9%, with a 16.4 projection and a 35.1 ceiling.
He scored a goal for 11.5 DK points against the Oilers on October 24, his newest game. He carries a 12.3 average over his last three and a 17.1 season average. He is the chalk at center, with a projection that ranks second at the position.
Connor McDavid (DK $9,700)
McDavid had five points for 39.5 DK points against the Hurricanes on October 22, then two assists for 15.8 against the Maple Leafs on October 24. He gets the Red Wings next on line 1, PP1. He holds the top projection at center at 16.9 with a 31.1% optimal rate, and the field builds around him.
Dylan Larkin (DK $6,200)
Larkin put six shots on goal for 12.0 DK points against the Flames on October 24, his newest game, and he averages 12.8 over his last three. He skates on line 2, PP1 against the Oilers. His 18.0% optimal rate is third at center, and the field likes him at the price.
Wing
Leon Draisaitl (DK $9,200)
Draisaitl ran his goal streak to six games on October 24. He had 41.0 DK points against the Hurricanes on October 22, then two goals on seven shots for 30.5 against the Maple Leafs. He carries a 31.5 average over his last three.
He plays line 1, PP1 against the Red Wings and holds the top projection at wing at 15.3. He adds a 34.1 ceiling and a 24.3% optimal rate. He is a wing the whole field reaches for.
William Nylander (DK $6,400)
Nylander scored twice for 21.5 DK points against the Oilers on October 24, his newest game, and he averages 14.8 over his last three. He skates on line 2, PP1 against the Flames, and his 12.5 projection ranks third at wing. He pairs that with a 20.3% optimal rate as a popular wing.
Alex DeBrincat (DK $7,700)
DeBrincat skates on line 1, PP1 for the Red Wings against the Oilers and holds the second projection at wing at 13.2. He is 17.5% owned with a 19.3% optimal rate. His ceiling sits at 29.8.
Defense
Evan Bouchard (DK $8,200)
Bouchard ran his scoring streak to eight games and 13 points with two assists against the Maple Leafs on October 24, a 21.4 DK night. That game is the high of his last five, and he carries a 15.7 average over his last three.
He plays line 1, PP1 against the Red Wings and holds the top projection on defense at 13.7. He adds a 29.1 ceiling and a 21.5% optimal rate. The field agrees on him at the position.
Darren Raddysh (DK $5,500)
Raddysh holds a line 1, PP1 spot on the Maple Leafs' blue line against the Flames, and his 9.9 projection ranks third on defense. He brings a 21.6 ceiling and a 12.8% optimal rate, with 18.1 the high of his last five games. He is a popular blue-line pick.
Moritz Seider (DK $6,200)
Red Wings–Oilers carries a 6.5 total, and Seider plays line 1, PP1 for the Red Wings with the second projection on defense at 10.2. He brings a 21.9 ceiling and a 12.6% optimal rate. The field likes him on the blue line.
Goalie
Sergei Bobrovsky (DK $8,000)
Bobrovsky took the starter's net at the Maple Leafs' morning skate on October 26, and he is the projected goalie against the Flames. He holds the top projection at goalie at 12.8, with a 29.5 ceiling and a 26.5% optimal rate.
He beat the Sharks for 23.5 DK points on October 19, then beat the Rangers for 6.7 on October 22. The Maple Leafs carry a 57% win chance. He is the goalie the field builds around.
Darcy Kuemper (DK $7,200)
Kuemper is probable to start against the Rangers after he made 41 saves for 30.7 DK points in an overtime win over the Islanders on October 22. That start is the high of his last five, and he averages 14.3 over his last three with a 13.7% optimal rate. He is a popular goalie play.
What The Market Is Saying
The market builds around the Oilers against the Red Wings, with Connor McDavid (DK $9,700) as its default beside Leon Draisaitl (DK $9,200) and Evan Bouchard (DK $8,200), and Auston Matthews (DK $8,500) as its second anchor. It keys on the Red Wings' penalty kill and on the Oilers' net, where it reports Tristan Jarry (DK $8,400) as the likely starter. The market is split on Maple Leafs–Flames, and a minority eyes Dylan Larkin (DK $6,200) to score and Artemi Panarin (DK $7,000) as a pivot. DFS Hero has Sergei Bobrovsky (DK $8,000) at a 26.5% optimal rate. DFS Hero has McDavid at a 31.1% optimal rate, and Stack IQ ranks the Oilers PP1 stack first.
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The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.
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