NHLFree

NHL DraftKings Picks: Friday Main Slate (October 30)

By DFS Hero Team

The Panthers are the slate's favorite. They carry 3.5 implied goals and a 67% win chance against the Jets, in a game with a 6.0 total. Kraken–Flames has a 6.5 total, with the Kraken at 3.3 implied goals and the Flames at 3.2. Devils–Golden Knights is an even split at 3.0 implied goals per side on a 6.0 total. Three games make up the main slate, which locks Friday, October 30 at 6:00 PM ET. Devils–Golden Knights starts at lock, Jets–Panthers at 7:00 PM ET and Kraken–Flames at 8:00 PM ET.

Every goalie on the slate is projected, not confirmed. Joey Daccord (DK $8,100) projects in the Kraken net against the Flames, and his 12.4 Hero Projection is the top mark at goalie. Adin Hill (DK $7,900) projects for the Golden Knights opposite Connor Hellebuyck (DK $7,500) of the Devils, and Hill carries a 16.9% optimal rate. Akira Schmid (DK $8,300) projects for the Panthers opposite Nico Daws (DK $7,100), and his 11.1 Hero Projection ties for second at the position.

Injury Watch

  • Aleksander Barkov (Panthers, out)
  • Jared McCann (Kraken, out)
  • Josh Morrissey (Jets, out)
  • Brad Marchand (Panthers, out)
  • Victor Olofsson (Golden Knights, out)
  • Brennan Othmann (DK $2,500) (Flames, day-to-day)
  • Jonathan Huberdeau (Flames, out)
  • Ryan Lindgren (Kraken, out)

Top Stacks

FLA PP1 vs WPG (DK $33,400)

Players: Brady Tkachuk (DK $7,700); Matthew Tkachuk (DK $7,500); Sam Reinhart (DK $6,700); Carter Verhaeghe (DK $6,500); Seth Jones (DK $5,000)

The Panthers' PP1 stack projects 57.3 points with 27.5% average ownership, a 36.5% optimal rate and 1.73 value. It is Stack IQ's top stack, and it carries the Panthers' 3.5 implied goals against the Jets. Brady Tkachuk and Matthew Tkachuk are on line 1, Reinhart and Verhaeghe are on line 2, and Jones joins all four on PP1. Reinhart scored a power-play goal against the Jets on October 27 for 11.5 DK points.

VGK PP1 vs NJD (DK $30,800)

Players: Jack Eichel (DK $8,100); Mitch Marner (DK $7,100); Mark Stone (DK $7,000); Tomas Hertl (DK $4,600); Trevor Connelly (DK $4,000)

The Golden Knights' PP1 stack projects 47.5 points with 12.6% average ownership, a 14.0% optimal rate and 1.58 value. It draws the Devils with 3.0 implied goals and a 51% win chance. Eichel and Stone skate on line 1, Marner on line 2, and Hertl and Connelly on line 3. Marner averages 12.5 DK points over his last three, and Stone posted 10.8 with an assist and three shots against the Senators on October 27.

SEA PP1 vs CGY (DK $22,800)

Players: Vince Dunn (DK $4,900); Bobby McMann (DK $5,400); Jordan Eberle (DK $5,000); Matty Beniers (DK $4,000); Chandler Stephenson (DK $3,500)

The Kraken's PP1 stack projects 42.6 points with 15.7% average ownership, a 7.3% optimal rate and 1.88 value. The Kraken carry 3.3 implied goals against the Flames in the 6.5-total game. Beniers, McMann, Eberle and Dunn all play on line 1, with Stephenson on line 2. McMann posted 12.3 with an assist and four shots against the Maple Leafs on October 28, and Eberle averages 12.9 DK points over his last three.

Center

Jack Eichel (DK $8,100)

Eichel centers the Golden Knights' first line and plays PP1 against the Devils, and the Golden Knights carry a 51% win chance. His 12.4 Hero Projection is second at center, with a 28.2 ceiling and a 22.9% optimal rate.

He scored an empty-net goal in a 4-1 win over the Senators on October 27, a 10.0 DK game. He averages 12.6 DK points over his last three and 15.2 over 14 games, and the field is on him in big numbers.

Sam Reinhart (DK $6,700)

Reinhart plays line 2 and PP1 for the Panthers against the Jets, with the team's 3.5 implied goals behind him. His 11.6 Hero Projection ranks third at center, with a 28.1 ceiling and a 21.2% optimal rate. He averages 10.5 DK points over his last three and is one of the field's favorite centers.

Sam Bennett (DK $5,200)

Bennett centers the Panthers' first line and plays PP2 against the Jets, with a 16.3% optimal rate. His 9.9 Hero Projection comes with 1.90 value and a 23.8 ceiling. His $5,200 price puts a center from the slate's favorite in a lineup at a discount, and the field has found him.

Wing

Brady Tkachuk (DK $7,700)

Tkachuk scored an even-strength goal and set up two power-play goals against the Jets on October 27, a 23.0 DK game in a 5-1 win. The Jets are his opponent tonight. He averages 11.8 DK points over his last three, from line 1 and PP1.

His 13.3 Hero Projection is the top mark at wing, with a 29.7 ceiling and a 24.9% optimal rate. The Panthers carry 3.5 implied goals, and he is the field's favorite wing.

Matthew Tkachuk (DK $7,500)

Matthew Tkachuk had four assists, two on the power play, against the Jets on October 27, a 24.5 DK game. He averages 13.4 DK points over his last three on line 1 and PP1. His 12.4 Hero Projection and 20.6% optimal rate draw a crowd as well.

Carter Verhaeghe (DK $6,500)

Verhaeghe scored two power-play goals against the Jets on October 27, a 21.5 DK game, and he averages 11.7 DK points over his last three. He plays line 2 and PP1, with a 10.4 Hero Projection and a 14.8% optimal rate in a well-played spot.

Defense

Brandon Montour (DK $5,300)

Montour scored, added three hits and went plus-3 in the Kraken's 5-4 win over the Maple Leafs on October 28, an 11.3 DK game. He averages 13.2 DK points over his last three, above his 9.9 season average.

The Kraken carry 3.3 implied goals against the Flames in a 6.5-total game, and Montour plays line 2 and PP2. His 10.3 Hero Projection is the top mark on defense, with a 23.2 ceiling and a 16.5% optimal rate, and the field is with him.

Vince Dunn (DK $4,900)

Dunn plays line 1 and PP1 for the Kraken against the Flames, with a 14.9% optimal rate. He posted 10.6 DK points against the Maple Leafs on October 28 and averages 9.0 over his last three. His 9.7 Hero Projection comes with 1.98 value, and he is a crowd pick on the blue line.

Seth Jones (DK $5,000)

Jones had three assists, two on the power play, against the Jets on October 27, a 22.5 DK game, and he averages 12.1 DK points over his last three. He plays line 2 and PP1 for the Panthers with a 14.3% optimal rate, and the field likes him too.

Goalie

Joey Daccord (DK $8,100)

Daccord projects in the Kraken net against the Flames, and the Kraken carry a 51% win chance. His 12.4 Hero Projection is the top mark at goalie, with 1.53 value.

He made 31 saves against the Wild on October 24, a 7.7 DK game. His 28.9 ceiling and 20.1% optimal rate make him the field's top goalie.

Adin Hill (DK $7,900)

Hill beat the Senators on October 27 with 25 saves and a 20.0 DK game, and he averages 10.3 DK points over his last three. He projects in the Golden Knights' net against the Devils, 15.5% owned with a 16.9% optimal rate, a leverage play for Build & Sim to size.

Akira Schmid (DK $8,300)

Schmid was named the Panthers' starter against the Jets on October 30, and he carries a 14.9% optimal rate with the Panthers' 67% win chance behind him. He beat the Jets on October 27 with 24 saves for 19.3 DK points, and he averages 10.3 over his last three as a popular goalie play.

What The Market Is Saying

The market builds around Jets–Panthers, with the Panthers as heavy favorites, Seth Jones (DK $5,000) as its default defenseman and Sam Reinhart (DK $6,700) as its main forward. Stack IQ agrees, with the Panthers' PP1 as its top stack, and DFS Hero has Reinhart at a 21.2% optimal rate. The market splits on Devils–Golden Knights and on the Kraken–Flames total, and a minority of the market looks to Chandler Stephenson (DK $3,500) and Jordan Eberle (DK $5,000) as cheaper Kraken plays. The news it keys on is the nets, with Akira Schmid (DK $8,300) expected for the Panthers and Adin Hill (DK $7,900) reported as the likely Golden Knights starter. DFS Hero has Hill at a 16.9% optimal rate.

Take these reads into the DFS Hero Workspace: shape the player pool, then Build & Sim builds your lineups and simulates every one against your contest's real payouts in one click. Stack IQ, late swap and Hero Chat sit in the same screen. Get Full Access for $1: $1 for 5 days, cancel anytime.

The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.

More NHL DFS Analysis

The DFS engine that never stops working.

Build, simulate, and fill your entries in one Workspace, across every sport. $1 for 5 days.

Get Full Access for $1