The Mammoth carry 3.7 implied goals against the Sharks, the highest team total on the slate. The Oilers and the Lightning sit at 3.5 each, tied for second. Oilers–Maple Leafs carries a 6.5 game total, tied for the slate's highest with Devils–Capitals, Senators–Penguins, Sharks–Mammoth and Islanders–Ducks. The 12-game main slate locks at 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 14. Sabres–Stars, Sharks–Mammoth, Islanders–Ducks and Flames–Kings start after lock.
Every goalie is a projected starter. Jakub Dobes (DK $7,800) projects for the Canadiens against the Avalanche with a 12.1 Hero Projection and a 55% win chance. Jeremy Swayman (DK $7,400) faces the Wild with a 28.2 ceiling. Devin Cooley (DK $7,100) faces Anton Forsberg (DK $8,300) in Flames–Kings with a 27.2 ceiling. Andrei Vasilevskiy (DK $8,500) projects for the Lightning against the Red Wings, and Devon Levi (DK $8,200) projects for the Oilers against the Maple Leafs.
Injury Watch
- Nathan MacKinnon (Avalanche, out)
- Cale Makar (Avalanche, out)
- Dylan Guenther (Mammoth, out)
- Brayden Point (Lightning, out)
- Kirill Marchenko (Maple Leafs, out)
- Dylan Larkin (Red Wings, out)
- Nick Schmaltz (DK $5,600) (Mammoth, day-to-day)
- Anthony Cirelli (DK $5,400) (Lightning, day-to-day)
Top Stacks
TBL PP1 vs DET (DK $33,600)
Players: Nikita Kucherov (DK $8,000); Brandon Hagel (DK $7,100); Jake Guentzel (DK $6,900); John Carlson (DK $4,800); Charle-Edouard D'Astous (DK $3,800); Sam O'Reilly (DK $3,000)
The Lightning stack projects 66.7 points with 6.4% average ownership, a 13.1% optimal rate and 2.01 value. It is Stack IQ's top stack, and it carries a leverage of 6.7. The Lightning carry 3.5 implied goals. Hagel scored 38.3 DK against the Blue Jackets on November 12 and averages 28.9 over his last three. Carlson posted 39.9 on November 11, then 9.5 on November 12.
EDM PP1 vs TOR (DK $37,400)
Players: Connor McDavid (DK $9,600); Leon Draisaitl (DK $8,900); Evan Bouchard (DK $7,600); Zach Hyman (DK $5,800); Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (DK $5,500)
The Oilers stack projects 68.6 points with 10.6% average ownership, a 16.5% optimal rate and 1.82 value. The Oilers carry 3.5 implied goals in a game with a 6.5 total, and the stack holds a leverage of 5.9. Draisaitl averages 25.3 DK over his last three. Hyman scored twice against the Flyers on November 11 for 23.0 DK and averages 10.8 over his last three.
ANA PP1 vs NYI (DK $32,400)
Players: Cutter Gauthier (DK $8,300); Beckett Sennecke (DK $6,500); Leo Carlsson (DK $6,400); Jackson LaCombe (DK $5,800); Mikael Granlund (DK $5,400)
The Ducks stack projects 59.6 points with 6.0% average ownership, a 7.2% optimal rate and 1.83 value. The Ducks carry 3.3 implied goals in a game with a 6.5 total. Granlund scored 19.5 DK against the Predators on November 11 and averages 22.4 over his last three. LaCombe averages 16.5 over the same stretch.
Center
Connor McDavid (DK $9,600)
The Oilers carry 3.5 implied goals against the Maple Leafs, and McDavid plays on their line 1 and PP1. His 18.3 Hero Projection and 40.2 ceiling are the top marks at center.
His season scoring is the case for paying up. He averages 20.6 DK over 20 games this season and 15.9 over his last three. The field is lining up behind him, and his 13.4% optimal rate is the best at the position.
Auston Matthews (DK $8,200)
Matthews centers the Maple Leafs' line 1 and PP1 against the Oilers in a game with a 6.5 total. He scored against the Wild on November 12 for 12.8 DK. He is 7.1% owned with a 10.2% optimal rate, the second-best at center.
Macklin Celebrini (DK $9,000)
Celebrini scored a goal and added an assist against the Penguins on November 11, and he carries a 9.5% optimal rate. He plays on line 1 and PP1 against the Mammoth. He is 4.0% owned, and his leverage of 5.5 is the best at center, a leverage play for Build & Sim to size.
Wing
Clayton Keller (DK $6,600)
Keller faces the Sharks on the Mammoth's line 1 and PP1, and the Mammoth's 3.7 implied goals are the slate's highest. His 15.2 Hero Projection comes at 2.30 value.
His scoring holds steady: he averages 13.6 DK over his last three and 12.3 over 20 games this season. He is the wing the field rosters most, and his 9.8% optimal rate is the best among wings.
Cutter Gauthier (DK $8,300)
Seven shots and a goal against the Predators on November 11 gave Gauthier 22.0 DK, and he averages 28.3 over his last three. He faces the Islanders on line 2 and PP1 with a 16.1 Hero Projection and a 9.0% optimal rate.
Nikita Kucherov (DK $8,000)
Kucherov plays on the Lightning's line 1 and PP1 against the Red Wings, and the Lightning carry 3.5 implied goals. He averages 20.5 DK over his last three. He is 8.4% owned with an 8.9% optimal rate.
Defense
Matthew Schaefer (DK $7,400)
Schaefer plays on the Islanders' line 1 and PP1 against the Ducks, in a game with a 6.5 total. His 9.7% optimal rate is the best among defensemen.
He scored and blocked three shots against the Kings on November 12 for 19.9 DK, and he averages 17.4 over his last three. He is a popular play on the blue line. His 14.8 Hero Projection sits close to the 14.6 of Zach Werenski (DK $7,700).
Zach Werenski (DK $7,700)
Werenski's last three games average 16.9 DK, and he posted 17.4 against the Lightning on November 12. He plays on line 1 and PP1 against the Flyers. He is 7.7% owned with an 8.5% optimal rate.
Evan Bouchard (DK $7,600)
Bouchard scored and added a power-play assist against the Flyers on November 11 for 17.8 DK. He plays on line 1 and PP1 against the Maple Leafs with a 14.1 Hero Projection. His 7.3% optimal rate is third-best at the position.
Goalie
Jakub Dobes (DK $7,800)
The Canadiens are 55% favorites against the Avalanche, and Dobes was set to start on November 14. His 12.1 Hero Projection ties Andrei Vasilevskiy (DK $8,500) for second at the position.
His 1.56 value is the best among goalies, and his ceiling sits at 28.1. He is a goalie the field likes. His 7.4% optimal rate sits beside the 7.3% of Jeremy Swayman (DK $7,400) at the top of the position.
Jeremy Swayman (DK $7,400)
Swayman was set to start against the Wild on November 14. His 28.2 ceiling sits beside the 28.1 of Jakub Dobes (DK $7,800) at the top of the position. He averages 14.1 DK over his last three, and he is a well-backed play with a 7.3% optimal rate.
Devin Cooley (DK $7,100)
Cooley stopped 21 of 23 shots against the Rangers on November 11, and he projects as the Flames' starter against the Kings. He carries a 27.2 ceiling and a 6.1% optimal rate. Flames–Kings starts at 10:00 PM ET, so his start is a late-swap check.
What The Market Is Saying
The market builds around Oilers–Maple Leafs: it backs the Oilers and the over, anchors on Connor McDavid (DK $9,600), and points to the Oilers' reported 81 goals through 20 games. Its second build is the Lightning, with Jake Guentzel (DK $6,900) leading a stack with Brandon Hagel (DK $7,100) and Nikita Kucherov (DK $8,000). DFS Hero agrees on both: McDavid carries a 13.4% optimal rate, and Stack IQ ranks the Lightning PP1 first. The market splits on Red Wings–Lightning and Sharks–Mammoth, stacking the favorites while pairing both games with the under, and it is split on Wild–Bruins, the game in front of Jeremy Swayman (DK $7,400). DFS Hero has Swayman at a 7.3% optimal rate. A minority of the market looks to Charle-Edouard D'Astous (DK $3,800) as a cheap defenseman and to Jack Hughes (DK $8,600) for a goal.
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The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.
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