FREE 11/24 NBA Cheat Sheet: Top DFS Plays

Tonight’s 7-game NBA DFS slate kicks off at 7:00 PM ET and wraps up at 8:00 PM ET, giving us a solid window to build lineups without too much overlap chaos. With most games starting around the same time, the focus stays on stacking efficient spots rather than chasing late swaps. Pace looks mixed across the board, but a few environments stand out for their scoring potential, which could help push value in the higher salary tiers.

The top totals highlight CHI at NOP tipping at 8:00 PM ET with a 244.5, and DAL at MIA at 7:30 PM ET sitting at 241.5—both setups that favor volume plays from key contributors. These matchups should draw heavy ownership, so pairing them with under-the-radar pivots from mid-tier games might give us an edge on the edges.

Game Environment Analysis

DET @ IND (O/U: 236.5, Spread: 10.5)

• Pace: DET (14th) vs IND (8th)
• Off Eff: DET (11th) vs IND (29th)
• Def Eff: DET (2nd) vs IND (22nd)

CLE @ TOR (O/U: 231.5, Spread: -1.5)

• Pace: CLE (9th) vs TOR (13th)
• Off Eff: CLE (15th) vs TOR (5th)
• Def Eff: CLE (6th) vs TOR (11th)

DAL @ MIA (O/U: 241.5, Spread: -7.5)

• Pace: DAL (4th) vs MIA (1st)
• Off Eff: DAL (30th) vs MIA (13th)
• Def Eff: DAL (4th) vs MIA (3rd)

NYK @ BKN (O/U: 228.5, Spread: 13.5)

• Pace: NYK (17th) vs BKN (27th)
• Off Eff: NYK (4th) 🔥 vs BKN (24th)
• Def Eff: NYK (19th) vs BKN (29th) 🎯

POR @ MIL (O/U: 230.5, Spread: -1.5)

• Pace: POR (3rd) vs MIL (16th) 🏃 (Pace mismatch)
• Off Eff: POR (21st) vs MIL (17th)
• Def Eff: POR (23rd) vs MIL (20th)

CHI @ NOP (O/U: 244.5, Spread: 5.5)

• Pace: CHI (2nd) vs NOP (26th) 🏃 (Pace mismatch)
• Off Eff: CHI (18th) vs NOP (27th)
• Def Eff: CHI (21st) vs NOP (28th) 🎯

DEN @ MEM (O/U: 234.5, Spread: 8.5)

• Pace: DEN (23rd) vs MEM (10th) 🏃 (Pace mismatch)
• Off Eff: DEN (1st) 🔥 vs MEM (26th)
• Def Eff: DEN (12th) vs MEM (18th)

Legend:

🏃 = Significant pace mismatch

🔥 = Strong offense vs weak defense

🎯 = Poor defensive team

⚠️ = Blowout risk

Bold = Favored team

PG - Ryan Rollins ($8,000)

Ryan Rollins continues to elevate his game in the starting role, averaging 49.3 DK points over his last three outings while surpassing his season average of 36.3. He posts 18.6 points, 3.9 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game on efficient 50.4% field goal and 43.8% three-point shooting, with a usage rate of 24.43% that fuels his 1.32 fantasy points per minute pace.

The Milwaukee-Portland matchup favors Rollins as Portland’s backcourt defense struggles against quick guards, allowing him to exploit transition opportunities and secondary creation alongside his teammates. Projected for 33 minutes at $8,000, he offers 5.4x value with a 30% boom rate and 21% optimal lineup inclusion, making him a cornerstone for high-upside builds despite 29% ownership.

More PG Plays:

• Caleb Love ($4,500)
• Donovan Mitchell ($9,600)

SG - Jaylon Tyson ($4,100)

Jaylon Tyson delivers exceptional value at his $4,100 salary, consistently producing 26.7 DK points over his last five games and maintaining a season average of 23.2 that aligns with his 6.6x projection multiplier. His 51.5% field goal efficiency and 46.6% from three on 11.0 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 1.8 assists per game highlight his scoring reliability in 30.5 projected minutes.

Cleveland’s road game against Toronto sets up Tyson for expanded usage in a fast-paced environment where the Raptors concede open looks to wings, boosting his 37% boom potential. With a Hero Rank of 11 and 26.4% optimal lineup rate, he maximizes low-cost exposure at 26.6% ownership, anchoring value-driven lineups with steady multi-category contributions.

More SG Plays:

• Caleb Love ($4,500)
• Donovan Mitchell ($9,600)

SF - Lonzo Ball ($4,400)

Lonzo Ball faces a favorable Toronto matchup that plays to his playmaking strengths, where the Raptors rank near the bottom in defending point-forward combos and allow ample assist opportunities. He averages 5.1 assists alongside 4.1 rebounds and 5.9 points in 25 projected minutes, leveraging his vision to facilitate in a Cleveland offense that thrives on ball movement.

Even with a recent dip to 19.7 DK points over three games, Ball’s 5.5x value at $4,400 stems from his 0.98 fantasy points per minute and role in high-possession sets, projecting 24.4 total points with a 14.8% optimal inclusion rate. At 14.3% ownership, he provides balanced floor-raising production that complements boom scorers without salary strain.

More SF Plays:

• Jaime Jaquez Jr. ($7,000)
• Michael Porter Jr. ($8,200)

PF - Deni Avdija ($9,300)

Deni Avdija has averaged 44.1 DK points across his last seven games, sustaining his season-long output of 25.1 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 5.4 assists on 46.9% shooting from the field and 35.3% from deep. His 27.95% usage rate and 20.13 PER underscore his all-around impact in 35.5 projected minutes for Portland.

Traveling to face Milwaukee, Avdija exploits a Bucks defense vulnerable to versatile forwards, gaining mismatches on the perimeter and glass that elevate his 26% boom rate. Priced at $9,300 with a 5.2x value and 19.5% optimal lineup frequency, he anchors elite builds at 21.6% ownership, delivering consistent 48-point upside through scoring and facilitation.

More PF Plays:

• Evan Mobley ($8,400)
• Karl-Anthony Towns ($9,500)

C - Derik Queen ($5,800)

Derik Queen operates in a high-tempo New Orleans-Chicago clash that amplifies his rebounding and scoring prowess, with the Bulls’ interior defense yielding second-chance points to active centers. He trends upward at 47.1 DK points in his last three games, well above his 28.5 season average of 12.6 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 3.2 assists on 48.8% field goal shooting.

At $5,800 with 31.5 minutes and a 1.16 fantasy points per minute clip, Queen projects 36.6 points for 6.3x value and a slate-leading 41% boom rate among centers. His 24.8% optimal inclusion and 37.4% ownership reflect his role in a potent Pelicans frontcourt, providing explosive ceiling potential through putbacks and lobs in this environment.

More C Plays:

• Nikola Jokic ($13,500)
• Bam Adebayo ($7,800)

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