FREE 12/03 NBA Cheat Sheet: Top DFS Plays

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We broke even last night, but the Starting Five for yesterday basically went out the window as expected with all the injury news. Hopefully tonight goes better. I went with a no nonsense approach and I fully expect this to be my core for tonight so fingers crossed! With that said... Our December 3rd Starting Five is now LIVE!

PG: Vasilije Micic ($4,500)

No LaMelo Ball, Tre Mann or Miles Bridges. He is going to have to play 30+ minutes and has been scoring quite well in this same scenario the last few games. He has 23 and 37 DK points in the two games without all 3 and against Philly tonight I expect similar results. I know the Matchup Table doesn’t really favor him, but it can’t take into account pricing which is the main reason for Micic. He is far too cheap for the role he has tonight.

Honorable Mentions:

• Luka Doncic ($11,000)
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ($10,300)
• Darius Garland ($7,500)
• Jordan Poole ($6,900)
• Cason Wallace ($4,300)

SG: Brandon Miller ($8,000)

Let’s just go ahead and take the other Hornet who is going to be a usage monster. Miller without both Bridges and Ball has a usage rate average of 35%. That is absolutely insane. Yes this is a slower paced matchup against Philly, but they actually have the 11th worst SG DvP which is Miller’s primary position. He just scored 56 DK points in 39 minutes against Atlanta last game with both out and I could see it happening again for him. With Embiid out, the Sixers are a lot more vulnerable defensively and just on usage alone Miller should be able to get his buckets. As long as this game doesn’t end something like 100-90, Miller should smash.

Honorable Mentions:

• Donovan Mitchell ($9,100)
• Devin Booker ($8,900)
• Bennedict Mathurin ($7,000)
• Malcolm Brogdon ($5,900)

SF: Scottie Barnes ($8,300)

He has 45+ DK points in 5 straight games, is priced well below his ceiling and is in a great matchup against Indiana who has had a bottom 3 defensive efficiency this season. He is kind of a unicorn in the sense he plays a bunch of different positions so looking at DvP data isn’t really worth it. I just really like this game environment for him. DFS Hero is projecting him for big ownership (as does Miller and Micic), so you will need to find a low owned leverage play to pair with him, but I think he is the chalk you want to take tonight. Without Quickley, he is just on another level and the last 4 games against Indiana he has scored 48+ DK points with a ceiling of 67 DK points in their last matchup. Lock and load on Barnes tonight.

Honorable Mentions:

• RJ Barrett ($7,900)
• Kelly Oubre ($5,300)
• Quentin Grimes ($5,300)
• Cody Martin ($5,000)
• Ricky Council ($3,700)

PF: Evan Mobley ($7,800)

For starters, he gets to face off against Washington who is 2nd in pace and dead last in both overall defensive efficiency and PF DvP. This is literally the best matchup possible for Mobley. He is coming off of a poor game against Boston (that is to be expected), but prior to that had 47 and 60 DK points against Atlanta which is a similar matchup. This feels like the perfect ceiling opportunity for Mobley and with a few other value PFs + Giannis taking up ownership, I can’t envision his will get too high. I think he is a good leverage option that allows you to get a piece of the highest projected scoring total team on the slate in Cleveland.

Honorable Mentions:

• Giannis Antetokounmpo ($12,000)
• Pascal Siakam ($7,600)
• Alexander Sarr ($5,400)
• Oso Ighodaro ($3,800)
• Tidjane Salaun ($3,800)

C: Victor Wembanyama ($10,600)

My stand tonight is going to be playing Wemby as my spend up even with Luka and Giannis on the slate. First off, they are giving him massive minutes which is exactly what you need to see from Wemby. If he is out there on the court, he is going to put up numbers. He gets to face off against Phoenix which might be a slight pace down spot, but they do have the 7th worst defensive efficiency this season. Now the real kicker is Nurkic is out, so he is going to be drawing coverage from both Mason Plumlee and Oso Ighodaro. I see no reason he can’t abuse that matchup. The icing on the cake: The Suns allow the 4th most points to Cs this season. If he is going to get efficient scoring opportunities then sign me up. I have some concerns that the Bucks and Giannis blowout the Pistons and the Mavs and Luka will struggle against Memphis who is great defensively and finally has their team back to full strength (minus Edey). Wemby is in a very good scoring environment and has the ceiling plus he is coming off of an 80 DK point performance against the Kings. He is hot and you are getting a little bit of savings off of Giannis and Luka with Wemby so I am rocking with him tonight.

Honorable Mentions:

• Isaiah Hartenstein ($7,300)
• Jakob Poeltl ($7,200)
• Myles Turner ($6,700)
• Goga Bitadze ($5,300)
• Jonas Valanciunas ($5,200)