The Hawks carry the highest implied total on Saturday's slate at 117.8, as 6.5-point favorites against the Nets. The Thunder sit right behind them at 117.5 as 12-point favorites over the Wizards, whose 105.5 is the lowest implied total of the night. Five games lock at 7:30 PM ET with Nets–Hawks. The Rockets are favored by 6.5 against the Suns, the Warriors by 5.5 against the Magic, and the Knicks by 5 against the Cavaliers.
The injury report reshapes several rotations. Jalen Johnson is out for the Hawks, Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs are out for the Magic, Jarrett Allen is out for the Cavaliers, Josh Hart is out for the Knicks, and Egor Demin is out for the Nets. Chet Holmgren is out for the Thunder. The Warriors play without Jimmy Butler and Kristaps Porzingis. Anthony Davis (DK $8,600) is questionable for the Wizards, and their game tips at 8:00 PM ET, after lock, so his status is a late-swap check.
Injury Watch
- Jalen Johnson (Hawks, out)
- Paolo Banchero (Magic, out)
- Jarrett Allen (Cavaliers, out)
- Josh Hart (Knicks, out)
- Jalen Suggs (Magic, out)
- Egor Demin (Nets, out)
- Anthony Davis (DK $8,600) (Wizards, day-to-day)
- Chet Holmgren (Thunder, out)
Point Guard
Dyson Daniels (DK $6,300)
Jalen Johnson is out, and Daniels plays 30 projected minutes for the Hawks against the Nets, with the slate's highest implied total, 117.8, behind him. He put up 46.8 DK points against the Wizards on November 6, and his last-three average sits at 38.7.
Daniels fills the box score without needing his shot to fall. His props line sits at 7.4 rebounds and 5.6 assists. He is 21.2% owned with a 21.9% optimal rate, the top optimal rate at point guard.
Mikel Brown Jr. (DK $4,700)
Egor Demin is out, and Brown runs a 27.9% usage rate off the Nets' bench against the Hawks in 27 projected minutes. He scored 30.0 DK points against the Hornets on November 4, and his 16.8% optimal rate is second at point guard. He is a popular cheap guard.
Jalen Brunson (DK $8,200)
Josh Hart is out, and Brunson carries a 31.3% usage rate and a 16.3% optimal rate into the Knicks' game against the Cavaliers. His props line sits at 25.9 points, and he scored 44.0 DK points against the Bulls on November 4. The field lines up behind him.
Shooting Guard
Kyshawn George (DK $5,900)
George's scoring has climbed past his price. He put up 56.0 DK points against the Hawks on November 6, and his last-three average is 45.3. He projects for 36 minutes against the Thunder.
He handles real volume for the Wizards, with a 23.9% usage rate and a props line of 15.3 points. His 18.3% optimal rate leads shooting guards, and he is a crowd favorite at the position.
CJ McCollum (DK $5,800)
McCollum is a bench guard for the Hawks against the Nets, and the field leaves him at 8.5% owned with a 15.9% optimal rate. That leverage of 7.4 is one to let Build & Sim size. His last-three average sits at 31.6 DK points.
Anthony Black (DK $6,400)
Jalen Suggs and Paolo Banchero are both out, and Black starts in the Magic's backcourt against the Warriors in 31 projected minutes with a 15.1% optimal rate. His props line asks for 15.1 points and 4.9 assists, and his last-three average is 37.3 DK points. He is widely played.
Small Forward
Michael Porter Jr. (DK $7,300)
Porter plays 34 projected minutes on a 25.3% usage rate for the Nets against the Hawks. He scored 41.0 DK points against the Hornets on November 4, and his last-three average is 38.2.
The books set him at 21.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 3.1 made threes. He carries a 22.1% optimal rate and is the most-owned small forward on the slate.
Mario Hezonja (DK $4,300)
Jarrett Allen is out, and Hezonja starts for the Cavaliers against the Knicks in 26 projected minutes with a 19.2% optimal rate. He scored 32.0 DK points against the 76ers on November 6 with a last-three average of 29.2, and his 5.57 value is the best at small forward. The field has found him as a cheap forward.
Franz Wagner (DK $8,700)
Wagner runs the Magic's offense against the Warriors on a 28.8% usage rate, with a 16.5% optimal rate. His props line sits at 6.8 assists, and his last-three average is 43.9 DK points. He holds the top projection at small forward and is popular with the field.
Power Forward
Alperen Sengun (DK $8,900)
Sengun draws the Suns in a game where the Rockets carry the third-highest implied total on the slate, 115.0. He scored 55.0 DK points against the Timberwolves on November 4, and his last-three average sits at 52.0.
His playmaking separates him from the other bigs. His props line sits at 6.5 assists and 9.1 rebounds. His 25.1% optimal rate leads power forwards, and he is a popular play.
Karl-Anthony Towns (DK $8,500)
Towns carries a 12.6-rebound props line and a 23.8% optimal rate into the Knicks' game against the Cavaliers. His 44.7 projection is second at power forward, and his last-three average sits at 40.5. The field has made him chalk.
Julius Randle (DK $7,500)
Randle runs a 28.2% usage rate for the Nets against the Hawks and carries a 20.5% optimal rate. His props line sits at 20 points, and his last-three average is 37.4 DK points. He is a consensus play at the position.
Center
Evan Mobley (DK $7,800)
Mobley plays 35 projected minutes at center for the Cavaliers against the Knicks. He scored 41.0 DK points against the 76ers on November 6, and his last-three average sits at 38.4.
His props line covers every category: 17.3 points, 8.5 rebounds and 1.1 blocks. He is 20.7% owned with a 16.1% optimal rate.
Onyeka Okongwu (DK $6,800)
Okongwu's form carries into a game against the Nets. He scored 47.0 DK points against the Wizards on November 4, then 46.0 on November 6. He is 10.6% owned with a 14.5% optimal rate.
Alexandre Sarr (DK $4,800)
Sarr starts at center for the Wizards against the Thunder in 28 projected minutes. He scored 35.0 DK points against the Hawks on November 6. He is 9.5% owned with a 13.8% optimal rate.
What The Market Is Saying
The market builds around the Thunder, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (DK $10,400) as its default top-priced player and Alperen Sengun (DK $8,900) as its core big against the Suns. It splits on Nolan Traore (DK $4,800) as the cheap guard and on Franz Wagner (DK $8,700), while a contrarian view pivots to Miles Bridges (DK $7,100). The news it keys on is the Banchero, Hart and Allen absences, the questionable tags on Anthony Davis (DK $8,600) and Draymond Green (DK $5,700), and the market's read that more minutes go to Deandre Ayton (DK $3,200) when Davis sits. DFS Hero has Gilgeous-Alexander at a 13.3% optimal rate against 18.2% projected ownership, backs Sengun with a 25.1% optimal rate, the top mark at power forward, and gives Bridges a leverage of 3.6. DFS Hero has Wagner at a 16.5% optimal rate.
Take these reads into the DFS Hero Workspace: shape the player pool, then Build & Sim builds your lineups and simulates every one against your contest's real payouts in one click. Stack IQ, late swap and Hero Chat sit in the same screen. Get Full Access for $1: $1 for 5 days, cancel anytime.
The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.
More NBA DFS Analysis
The DFS engine that never stops working.
Build, simulate, and fill your entries in one Workspace, across every sport. $1 for 5 days.