Heat–Jazz carries a 228.5 total, and the Heat share the slate's top implied total, 118.5, with the Knicks. The Heat are 8.5-point favorites over the Jazz. The Knicks are 15.5-point favorites over a Bucks team that sits at the slate's lowest implied total, 103.0. Five games lock Tuesday at 7:30 PM ET. The Celtics are 1.5-point favorites over the 76ers, the Suns are 3.5-point favorites over the Clippers, and the Magic are 6-point favorites over the Kings.
The injury news centers on the Jazz and the Magic. The Jazz are without Keyonte George and Jaren Jackson Jr., and the Magic are without Jalen Suggs and Paolo Banchero. The Jazz absences open minutes for Isaiah Collier (DK $4,400) and Brice Sensabaugh (DK $3,500). Giannis Antetokounmpo (DK $11,400) is probable, while Lauri Markkanen (DK $7,500), Tyler Herro (DK $6,900) and Domantas Sabonis (DK $9,400) are questionable, and every status can move before lock.
Injury Watch
- Paolo Banchero (Magic, out)
- Keyonte George (Jazz, out)
- Jaren Jackson Jr. (Jazz, out)
- Jalen Suggs (Magic, out)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo (DK $11,400) (Heat, probable)
- Domantas Sabonis (DK $9,400) (Kings, questionable)
- Lauri Markkanen (DK $7,500) (Jazz, questionable)
- Tyler Herro (DK $6,900) (Bucks, questionable)
Point Guard
Isaiah Collier (DK $4,400)
Keyonte George and Jaren Jackson Jr. are out, and Collier projects to start at point guard for the Jazz against the Heat. He projects for 20 minutes after playing 16 against the Timberwolves on November 8. His props line sits at 6.4 assists.
The field piles onto him as the cheap answer at point guard. His 6.22 value is the top mark at the position, and he pairs it with a 51.3 ceiling and a 34.3% optimal rate.
Anthony Black (DK $6,900)
Black projects to start at point guard for the Magic against the Kings, with Jalen Suggs and Paolo Banchero out and a 22.5% usage rate on his line. He put up 51.0 DK points against the Warriors on November 7 and carries a 39.6 average over his last three. The crowd has found him, and his optimal rate sits at 19.3%.
Brayden Burries (DK $4,800)
Burries takes a 32.8 DK average over his last three into a game against the Knicks, and he lands at a 19.2% optimal rate. He projects for 29 minutes as a starter, and his 5.20 value is second at point guard. He is one of the field's favorite cheap guards.
Shooting Guard
Brice Sensabaugh (DK $3,500)
The Jazz absences push Sensabaugh to a 20-minute projection against the Heat, up from 13 against the Timberwolves on November 8. He carries a 24.8% usage rate into those minutes.
His 37.9 ceiling carries the pick at the bottom of the price range. His 17.7% optimal rate is tied for third at shooting guard.
Tyler Herro (DK $6,900)
Herro carries a 27.6% usage rate for the Bucks against the Knicks. He is 12.1% owned with a 17.7% optimal rate, a leverage of 5.6, which makes him a play to let Build & Sim size.
Klay Thompson (DK $4,900)
Thompson starts for the Heat against the Jazz and lands at a 17.5% optimal rate. He put up 39.0 against the Kings on November 8 with a 34.6 average over his last three, and his props line sits at 3.3 made threes. He is a crowd favorite at this tag.
Small Forward
Jayson Tatum (DK $10,100)
Tatum takes a 33.5% usage rate into a game against the 76ers, and his optimal rate sits at 18.3%. His props line sits at 25.6 points and 6.5 assists.
The form backs the role: 41.0 against the Bucks on November 8 and a 47.7 average over his last three. His 74.1 ceiling is the top mark at small forward.
Paul George (DK $7,400)
George carries a 1.7-steal line and a 2.8 made-threes line against the 76ers. He is 15.3% owned with a 16.3% optimal rate.
Desmond Bane (DK $7,200)
Bane faces the Kings with a 34-minute projection, a 19.9-point line and a 15.7% optimal rate. He missed Saturday's game against the Warriors with an illness, which makes him a late-swap check before Magic–Kings tips at 10:00 PM ET. The field has made him a popular play.
Power Forward
Giannis Antetokounmpo (DK $11,400)
The Heat are 8.5-point favorites over the Jazz, and Antetokounmpo comes into the game at a 22.9% optimal rate. He put up 58.0 against the Kings on November 8, and his usage rate sits at 33.6%.
Books set him at 29 points and 12.1 rebounds. His 56.7 Hero Projection is the top mark at power forward, with an 85.4 ceiling.
Lauri Markkanen (DK $7,500)
Markkanen draws the Heat in a game with a 228.5 total, and his props line sits at 22.4 points and 3.2 made threes. He sat out Sunday against the Timberwolves with a right wrist sprain and is questionable for a game that tips after lock. Late swap re-solves the open spots if he sits. The field has made him a popular play, with a 20.5% optimal rate, second at power forward.
Miles Bridges (DK $7,100)
Bridges brings a 54.7 ceiling into a Suns game against the Clippers, and his DK average over his last three sits at 35.2. He is 13.5% owned with a 14.7% optimal rate.
Center
Bam Adebayo (DK $8,200)
Adebayo draws a 1-9 Jazz team with 33 projected minutes for the Heat. He put up 40.0 against the Kings on November 8 and carries a 44.3 average over his last three.
His rebounding carries the price, with an 8.8-rebound line beside 18.5 points. He is 16.6% owned with a 17.1% optimal rate, the top mark among centers.
Joel Embiid (DK $8,400)
Embiid played through a foot issue that had him probable against the Bulls on November 8 and put up 42.5 DK points, and his 15.3% optimal rate is second among centers. He faces the Celtics with a 28.3% usage rate and a 19.1-point line. He is a popular play.
Karl-Anthony Towns (DK $8,900)
Towns brings a 12.2-rebound line to a Knicks frontcourt facing the Bucks, with an 11.4% optimal rate beside it. He put up 56.3 against the Cavaliers on November 7 and carries a 44.1 average over his last three.
What The Market Is Saying
The market builds around Heat–Jazz, with Giannis Antetokounmpo (DK $11,400) as the default spend, Klay Thompson (DK $4,900) beside him, and Brook Lopez (DK $5,000) and Brayden Burries (DK $4,800) as its value pieces. It splits on Jayson Tatum (DK $10,100) and watches the statuses of Tyler Herro (DK $6,900) and Domantas Sabonis (DK $9,400), with Sabonis tied to the role of Darius Acuff Jr. (DK $8,600). DFS Hero has Tatum at an 18.3% optimal rate. DFS Hero has Herro at a 17.7% optimal rate. DFS Hero backs Antetokounmpo with a 22.9% optimal rate and pushes back on Acuff, whose 13.1% optimal rate sits below his 20.3% ownership.
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The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.
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