Lakers–Hawks carries the slate's highest total at 237.6. The Hawks are 1.5-point favorites, and their 119.3 implied total is the top team number of the night. Grizzlies–Raptors at 229.0 and Spurs–Suns at 227.5 hold the next two totals, with the Spurs 8.5-point favorites behind a 118.0 implied total. The seven-game slate locks Monday at 7:00 PM ET. Cavaliers–Hornets sits at 215.1, the lowest total, and the Pistons are 10.5-point favorites over the Wizards.
The injury news runs through the Hornets, who are without Brandon Miller, Kon Knueppel and Dennis Schroder against the Cavaliers. Tyrese Haliburton is out for the Pacers, Kawhi Leonard for the Raptors and Jalen Duren for the Pistons. Luka Doncic (DK $12,000), Nikola Jokic (DK $11,800), Scottie Barnes (DK $8,800) and Anthony Davis (DK $8,600) are questionable in the latest report. Jokic's Nuggets–Rockets game tips at 8:30 PM ET, after lock, which makes him a late-swap spot.
Injury Watch
- Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers, out)
- Brandon Miller (Hornets, out)
- Kawhi Leonard (Raptors, out)
- Jalen Duren (Pistons, out)
- Luka Doncic (DK $12,000) (Lakers, questionable)
- Nikola Jokic (DK $11,800) (Nuggets, questionable)
- Scottie Barnes (DK $8,800) (Raptors, questionable)
- Anthony Davis (DK $8,600) (Wizards, questionable)
Point Guard
Walter Clayton Jr. (DK $3,300)
Clayton has turned short minutes into steady production for the Mavericks. He averages 23.0 DK over his last three games against a 17.6 season mark. He scored 22.5 against the Nets on November 8 and draws an 18-minute projection against the Pacers.
His 6.90 value is the top mark at point guard, on a 22.8 projection with a 41.3 ceiling. The field likes him, and he carries a 23.4% optimal rate.
Scottie Barnes (DK $8,800)
Barnes runs the Raptors' offense at a 31.9% usage rate against the Grizzlies, and Kawhi Leonard is out. His props line sits at 22.6 points, and his 15.4% optimal rate is second at point guard. He is questionable and tips at 7:30 PM ET, after lock, so he is a late-swap check.
Luka Doncic (DK $12,000)
Lakers–Hawks is the slate's best game, and Doncic drives it against the Hawks with a 40.3% usage rate and a 15.0% optimal rate. His 58.6 projection and 92.9 ceiling are the top marks at point guard, and his props line sits at 32.6 points. He is questionable in the latest report.
Shooting Guard
Grayson Allen (DK $5,200)
With Brandon Miller, Kon Knueppel and Dennis Schroder all out, Allen starts on the Hornets' wing against the Cavaliers on a 27-minute projection. His props line sits at 16.2 points and 3.1 made threes.
He carries a 48.6 ceiling on a 27.9 projection. He is a play the field has found, and his 16.8% optimal rate is first at shooting guard.
Aaron Nesmith (DK $4,400)
Nesmith starts for the Pacers against the Mavericks with Tyrese Haliburton out, and he carries a 15.9% optimal rate. He carries a 23.1% usage rate, and his props line sits at 12.2 points with 2 made threes.
Daniss Jenkins (DK $4,300)
Jenkins hit eight threes for 48.8 DK against the Lakers on November 8, and his last three games average 24.1. Jalen Duren is out, and Jenkins draws a 25-minute projection against the Wizards with a 14.8% optimal rate.
Small Forward
Kevin Huerter (DK $4,100)
Huerter plays for the Pistons, 10.5-point favorites over the Wizards with a 114.3 implied total. He scored 53.3 DK against the Lakers on November 8, and his last three games average 28.6.
A 24-minute projection carries a 41.6 ceiling. He is 11.8% owned with a 14.3% optimal rate.
Naji Marshall (DK $5,200)
Marshall gets a 25-minute projection off the Mavericks' bench against the Pacers. He is 5.0% owned with a 13.3% optimal rate, and his leverage of 8.3 is first at small forward.
Dyson Daniels (DK $6,500)
Daniels has filled the box score for the Hawks, with a 43.6 DK average over his last three games. He plays in Lakers–Hawks, the slate's highest total, against the Lakers. His props line sits at 2.2 steals, and his 13.1% optimal rate rides a 31-minute projection.
Power Forward
Alperen Sengun (DK $9,000)
The Rockets are 9-point favorites over the Nuggets, and Sengun runs their offense at a 26.3% usage rate. His props line sits at 20.2 points, 8.8 rebounds and 6.6 assists.
His last three games average 48.6 DK, the same as his season mark, and his 76.0 ceiling is the top at power forward. He is a favorite of the field with a 20.3% optimal rate.
Pascal Siakam (DK $8,000)
Siakam carries a 27.9% usage rate for the Pacers against the Mavericks, and his props line sits at 19.8 points. He is 14.6% owned with a 15.2% optimal rate, second at power forward.
Anthony Davis (DK $8,600)
Davis anchors the Wizards against the Pistons with a 29.6% usage rate and a 13.9% optimal rate. His props line sits at 20 points and 9.3 rebounds. His status is questionable.
Center
Walker Kessler (DK $7,700)
Kessler scored 45.5 DK against the Pistons on November 8 and averages 40.5 over his last three games. He plays in Lakers–Hawks, the slate's highest total, against the Hawks, and his props line sits at 10.1 rebounds.
He is 2.0% owned with an 11.3% optimal rate, and his leverage of 9.3 is first at center. He is a leverage play to let Build & Sim size.
Victor Wembanyama (DK $11,300)
Wembanyama powers the Spurs against the Suns with a 36.2% usage rate and an 11.2% optimal rate. His 82.6 ceiling is the top at center, and his last three games average 69.9 DK. His props line sits at 3.2 blocks.
Zach Edey (DK $5,300)
Edey starts at center for the Grizzlies against the Raptors in the slate's second-highest total, with a 48.0 ceiling. He is 3.8% owned with a 10.8% optimal rate, a leverage of 7.0.
What The Market Is Saying
The market builds around Lakers–Hawks. It treats Victor Wembanyama (DK $11,300) as its pay-up center and Cade Cunningham (DK $9,500) as a common anchor, while Kyshawn George (DK $6,400) and Walter Clayton Jr. (DK $3,300) fill its value spots. The market is split on Donovan Mitchell (DK $8,400) and on the status of Luka Doncic (DK $12,000), and it watches the injury news on Nikola Jokic (DK $11,800) and Scottie Barnes (DK $8,800). DFS Hero has Doncic at a 15.0% optimal rate and Barnes at 15.4%. A minority of the market looks at Walker Kessler (DK $7,700) at center and Stephon Castle (DK $6,500). DFS Hero agrees on Clayton, whose 23.4% optimal rate is first at point guard, and on George, with a leverage of 7.9. It pushes back on Cunningham, whose 12.9% optimal rate sits below his 23.9% ownership.
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The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.
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