Moving off the chalk has always been a guide to success in DFS. Let’s explore what the simulation and projected ownership say about where we can pivot from the public and gain an edge on the field.
Quarterbacks
DraftKings
Good Chalk: Murray, Richardson
Bad Chalk: Penix, Allen, Burrow
Pivots: Darnold, Geno, Williams
Value: Maye, Rodgers, Young
Fanduel
Good Chalk: Richardson, Baker, Hurts
Bad Chalk: Allen, Burrow, Penix
Pivots: Daniels, Rodger, Geno, Rodgers
Value: Williams, Rush, Stafford
I can’t get behind Rookies in their first starts, I can’t get behind DTR. Allen has no reason to push like he has in the past few weeks, and I don’t think Burrow has a reason to blow up either, but I don’t blame you if you want in on him and Chase. Geno and Rodgers face awful pass defenses and Caleb is in my favorite game target on the day.
Running Backs
DraftKings
Good Chalk: Gibbs, Conner, Bijan
Bad Chalk: Hubbard, Brown, Achane, Davis, Reynolds
Pivots: Kyren, Jones, Cook
Value: Ford, Stevenson, Spears, Abdullah
Fanduel
Good Chalk: Gibbs, Conner, Bijan
Bad Chalk: Hubbard, Brown, Achane, Davis, Reynolds
Pivots: Kyren, Jones, Cook, Barkley
Value: Ford, Stevenson, ETN
I hate the flyer RBs today with so much value in guys like Ford, Abdullah or Mattison, P Taylor. Take guys with roles.
Wide Receivers
Draftkings
Good Chalk: Chase, Thomas, Meyers, Allen, Nacua
Bad Chalk: Nabers, DJ Moore, Jennings, Metcalf
Pivots: AJ Brown, Hill, St. Brown, Thielen, Shakir, JSN
Value: David Moore, Shakir, Ridley, Smith, Downs, Coker, Douglas
Fanduel
Good Chalk: Puka, Jennings, St. Brown
Bad Chalk: DJ Moore, Chase, Williams, Ridley, Thielen
Pivots: Lamb, Adams, Allen, Thomas, Higgins
Value: Meyers, Shakir, Addison, Downs Coker
I got JSN Locked, Meyers Locked, and really loving the midrange priced guys this week. I’m balancing the lineups without a ton of top end.
Tight Ends
Draftkings
Good Chalk: McBride, Strange, Ertz, Smith
Bad Chalk: Njoku, LaPorta, Kincaid
Pivots: Bowers, Kittle, Henry, Hockenson
Value: Gesicki, Okonkwo, Conklin
Fanduel
Good Chalk: McBride, Strange, Hockenson,
Bad Chalk: Ertz, Henry, LaPorta, Kincaid, Njoku
Pivots: Ferguson, Bowers, Kittle, Smith
Value: Kmet, Okonkwo, Fant
I will be Strange or McBride in nearly 100%
Defenses
Truly nothing sticks out. I’m going cheap with LV, NYJ, SF, or punting to CHI. Target new and bad QBs where you can though.
The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.
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