49ers–Cowboys carries this slate. Its 55.6 total is the highest on the board, and the 49ers' 29.8 implied total is the highest of any team, with the Cowboys at 25.8 behind them. That game kicks off at 4:25 PM ET indoors at AT&T Stadium, one of three afternoon games on a 10-game main slate that locks Sunday, November 15 at 1:00 PM ET.
Bills–Jets has the second-highest total at 51.1, with the Bills implied for 29.3 and 78% to win. Panthers–Saints sits third at 49.1 inside the Caesars Superdome, and the Jaguars carry the third-highest team total at 28.5 against the Titans. At the other end, Dolphins–Colts has the lowest total at 37.6, and the Cardinals' 15.0 implied total is the lowest of any team. Light rain is in the forecast at Huntington Bank Field for Texans–Browns, the one forecast to check before lock.
Injury Watch
- Mike Evans (49ers, out)
- T.J. Hockenson (Vikings, out): Gavin Bartholomew (DK $2,500) is next up at tight end.
- Jake Ferguson (Cowboys, out): Brevyn Spann-Ford (DK $3,200) is next up at tight end.
- Jauan Jennings (Vikings, out)
- Kenneth Walker III (DK $9,200) (Chiefs, questionable)
- Garrett Wilson (DK $6,500) (Jets, questionable)
- Josh Jacobs (Packers, out): Kaleb Johnson (DK $4,600) is next up at running back.
- Sam Darnold (Seahawks, out): Drew Lock (DK $5,000) is next up at quarterback.
Top Stacks
SF vs DAL (DK $22,300)
Players: Brock Purdy (DK $7,000); George Kittle (DK $6,500); CeeDee Lamb (DK $8,800)
The 49ers stack projects 63.7 points with 16.2% average ownership, a 16.7% optimal rate and 2.87 value, and it is Stack IQ's top stack. Purdy and Kittle work off a 29.8 implied total: Purdy's props line sits at 260.5 passing yards and two passing touchdowns, and Kittle's targets are up to 8.3 a game over his last three. Lamb brings it back in the 55.6-point game with an 89.5 receiving-yards line and 7.5 receptions.
NO vs CAR (DK $19,300)
Players: Tyler Shough (DK $5,600); Chris Olave (DK $7,000); Tetairoa McMillan (DK $6,700)
The Saints stack projects 57.6 points with 16.8% average ownership, an 11.1% optimal rate and 3.05 value. Shough's props line sits at 251 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, and Olave's sits at 74.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions. McMillan brings it back from the Panthers' 23.3 implied total in a 49.1-point game, with a 65-yard receiving line and a 42% anytime touchdown chance.
GB vs MIN (DK $20,600)
Players: Jordan Love (DK $6,500); Matthew Golden (DK $7,300); Justin Jefferson (DK $6,800)
The Packers stack projects 56.0 points with 15.4% average ownership, a 9.9% optimal rate and 2.73 value. Love carries a 26.6 DK average over his last three, up on his 22.7 season average. Golden's targets are up to 11.7 a game over that stretch, with a 22.1 DK average of his own. Jefferson brings it back from the Vikings' 19.5 implied total in a 42.0-point game, on a 6.5-reception line and a 42% anytime touchdown chance.
Quarterback
Tyler Shough (DK $5,600)
Shough runs the Saints' offense against the Panthers in a 49.1-point game, the third-highest total on the slate, with the Saints implied for 25.8. His props line calls for 35.5 pass attempts, and he has a 20.5 DK average over his last three.
Shough ran for 51 yards against the Browns on November 8 and scored 19.7. His 4.01 value is the best at quarterback, paired with a 10.4% optimal rate on a popular play.
Brock Purdy (DK $7,000)
Purdy draws the Cowboys, who allow the seventh-most DK points per game to quarterbacks, and he carries an 8.1% optimal rate. He scored 26.3 with a rushing touchdown against the Raiders on November 8, and he carries a 19.2 DK average over his last three.
Josh Allen (DK $7,500)
Allen's props line carries a 63% anytime touchdown chance on top of his passing, and he carries a 7.5% optimal rate. The Bills are implied for 29.3 against the Jets, and his 24.5 Hero Projection is the top mark at quarterback.
Running Back
Bijan Robinson (DK $8,200)
Robinson carries the Falcons' backfield against the Chiefs, with 23.0 touches a game over his last three, level with his season. His props line sits at 19.5 carries and 85.5 rushing yards, with a 69% anytime touchdown chance.
Robinson scored 29.7 against the Bengals on November 8, with an 18.2 DK average over his last three. His 24.6% optimal rate leads the running backs, on a 23.6 projection.
Chuba Hubbard (DK $7,200)
Hubbard draws the Saints, who allow the most DK points per game to running backs. He has 20.0 touches a game over his last three, and his props line sits at 18.5 carries and 80.5 rushing yards, behind a 15.1% optimal rate.
Christian McCaffrey (DK $8,500)
McCaffrey's workload is climbing into the Cowboys game, with 19.3 touches a game over his last three, up on his season, and a 13.7% optimal rate. He carries a 25.5 DK average over those three games and a 73% anytime touchdown chance.
Wide Receiver
Justin Jefferson (DK $6,800)
T.J. Hockenson and Jauan Jennings are both out for the Vikings, and Hockenson's absence opens a role in the passing game for Jefferson against the Packers. His targets are up to 9.0 a game over his last three, and the Packers allow the sixth-most DK points per game to receivers.
Jefferson drew 11 targets against the Bills on November 9, and his props line sits at 82.5 receiving yards. His 21.5% optimal rate is the top mark at receiver, with 2.94 value.
CeeDee Lamb (DK $8,800)
Lamb has a 24.9 DK average over his last three on 13.0 targets a game and an 18.4% optimal rate, and Jake Ferguson's absence opens a role in the Cowboys' passing game against the 49ers. His 23.1 projection tops the receivers.
Chris Olave (DK $7,000)
Olave is the Saints' top receiver against the Panthers, on an 18.0% optimal rate. He scored 16.8 against the Browns on November 8, and he carries a 44% anytime touchdown chance on an 18.7 projection.
Tight End
Tyler Warren (DK $4,400)
The Colts traded away two wide receivers at the November 10 deadline, and Warren's targets were already up to 8.7 a game over his last three. He faces the Dolphins, who allow the fourth-most DK points per game to tight ends.
Warren's props line sits at 5.5 receptions and 46.5 receiving yards. His 10.3% optimal rate tops the tight ends, with 3.21 value on a popular play.
Colby Parkinson (DK $3,000)
Parkinson was cleared on November 13 after a rib issue limited him in practice, and he faces the Cardinals with a 9.1% optimal rate. His 3.34 value is the best at tight end, on a 9.7 DK average over his last three and a 31.5 receiving-yards line.
George Kittle (DK $6,500)
Mike Evans is out for the 49ers, which opens a role in the passing game for Kittle against the Cowboys, and he carries a 7.3% optimal rate. He carries a 14.5 DK average over his last three, and his props line sits at 62.5 receiving yards with a 47% anytime touchdown chance.
Defense
Rams (DK $3,800)
The Rams face a Cardinals offense implied for 15.0, the lowest team total on the slate, and they are 79% to win. Carson Beck (DK $4,200) carries a 175.5 passing-yards line and 0.5 passing touchdowns for the Cardinals.
The Rams scored 12.0 against the Commanders on November 8, with an 8.0 DK average over their last three. Their 10.5% optimal rate is the top mark at the position, on a 9.9 projection.
Texans (DK $3,400)
The Texans face the Browns at Huntington Bank Field with a 9.3% optimal rate. Their 2.66 value is the best among defenses, and they scored 12.0 against the Chargers on November 8, with a 5.3 DK average over their last three.
Seahawks (DK $3,300)
The Raiders carry the third-lowest team total on the slate, and the Seahawks draw them with a 7.6% optimal rate. Fernando Mendoza (DK $4,600) carries a 180.5 passing-yards line, and the Seahawks scored 10.0 against the Cardinals on November 8, with a 7.3 DK average over their last three.
What The Market Is Saying
The market builds around 49ers–Cowboys, with Brock Purdy (DK $7,000), Christian McCaffrey (DK $8,500) and George Kittle (DK $6,500) at the center and CeeDee Lamb (DK $8,800) as the Cowboys piece, and Stack IQ agrees: its top stack comes from that game. The consensus value quarterback is Tyler Shough (DK $5,600) paired with Chris Olave (DK $7,000), with a Jaguars stack of Trevor Lawrence (DK $6,600) and Parker Washington (DK $6,200) as the second option. The market is split on Bijan Robinson (DK $8,200) and on how popular McCaffrey gets. DFS Hero has Robinson at a 24.6% optimal rate and McCaffrey at a 13.7% optimal rate. On the news side, the crowd watches reports that George Pickens (DK $6,300) is trending toward a return for the Cowboys.
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The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.
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