Flyers–Sabres carries this slate. It has a 6.0 total, with the Sabres implied for 3.5 goals and a 65% win chance. Panthers–Senators is a 50% coin flip at a 5.6 total, and each side is implied for 2.8. The Panthers play without Aleksander Barkov and Brad Marchand, and the Senators play without Thomas Chabot. The two-game Main slate locks Wednesday, October 21 at 7:30 PM ET, and both games start at lock.
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (DK $8,200) is the projected Sabres goalie against Dan Vladar (DK $7,200) of the Flyers. Luukkonen's 11.4 projection is the top mark at the position. In the other game, Linus Ullmark (DK $7,600) projects in net for the Senators, and Akira Schmid (DK $7,800) projects for the Panthers.
Injury Watch
- Aleksander Barkov (Panthers, out)
- Thomas Chabot (Senators, out)
- Brad Marchand (Panthers, out)
- William Eklund (Senators, out)
- Owen Tippett (Flyers, out)
- Travis Konecny (Flyers, out)
- Cam York (Flyers, out)
- Tyson Foerster (DK $3,400) (Flyers, day-to-day)
Top Stacks
BUF PP1 vs PHI (DK $27,000)
Players: Tage Thompson (DK $7,600); Rasmus Dahlin (DK $6,400); Jack Quinn (DK $5,500); Zach Benson (DK $4,000); Noah Ostlund (DK $3,500)
The Sabres PP1 stack projects 47.6 points with 32.4% average ownership, a 27.9% optimal rate and 1.78 value. It is Stack IQ's top stack, and it comes from a Sabres side implied for 3.5 goals. Thompson and Dahlin also play on line 1. Benson scored 12.8 against the Canadiens on October 17 and carries a 12.2 DK average over his last three, and the unit has a 111.7 ceiling.
FLA PP1 vs OTT (DK $33,800)
Players: Brady Tkachuk (DK $7,700); Matthew Tkachuk (DK $7,500); Sam Reinhart (DK $7,000); Carter Verhaeghe (DK $6,600); Seth Jones (DK $5,000)
The Panthers PP1 stack projects 49.0 points with 22.0% average ownership, a 32.6% optimal rate and 1.46 value. The field under-owns it, with a leverage of 10.6 and a 121.9 ceiling. Matthew Tkachuk scored 24.0 against the Kraken on October 17 and averages 20.0 DK over his last three. Verhaeghe scored 42.0 in that same game and carries a 23.8 DK average over his last three, while Reinhart averages 24.9 over his last three.
OTT PP1 vs FLA (DK $24,900)
Players: Tim Stuetzle (DK $6,800); Jake Sanderson (DK $6,200); Drake Batherson (DK $5,300); Carter Yakemchuk (DK $3,500); Stephen Halliday (DK $3,100)
The Senators PP1 stack projects 41.8 points with 21.8% average ownership, a 15.2% optimal rate and 1.70 value. The Senators are implied for 2.8 goals, and Stuetzle and Sanderson both play on line 1 as well as this unit. Batherson scored 15.8 against the Flyers on October 17 and carries an 8.4 DK average over his last three. The five skaters carry a 104.4 ceiling.
Center
Tim Stuetzle (DK $6,800)
Stuetzle plays on line 1 and PP1 for the Senators against the Panthers, in a game where each side is implied for 2.8 goals. His 36.1% optimal rate leads the position, and he projects for 10.6.
His upside shows in a 24.9 ceiling, second at center behind Sam Reinhart (DK $7,000) at 25.5. Stuetzle is the most popular center on the slate.
Dylan Cozens (DK $4,200)
Line 2 and PP2 put Cozens in the Senators' attack against the Panthers. His 31.6% optimal rate is second at center, and he pairs an 8.5 projection with 2.03 value. The field likes him as a salary saver.
Shane Pinto (DK $3,600)
Pinto is the leverage center against the Panthers. He is 23.4% owned with a 26.1% optimal rate, and his leverage of 2.7 is the top mark at the position. He plays on line 3 and PP2 for the Senators at 2.22 value.
Wing
Tage Thompson (DK $7,600)
Thompson draws the Flyers on line 1 and PP1 for the Sabres. He scored 20.3 against the Canadiens on October 17. His 13.0 projection leads all wings, with a 30.3 ceiling.
The Sabres carry 3.5 implied goals and a 65% win chance. Thompson is 41.4% owned with a 47.4% optimal rate, and his leverage of 6.0 is the top mark at wing.
Brady Tkachuk (DK $7,700)
Tkachuk brings a 36.5 DK average over his last three into the Senators game. The newest of those games was 23.5 against the Kraken on October 17. He plays on line 1 and PP1 and is 27.5% owned with a 31.5% optimal rate, second at wing.
Jack Quinn (DK $5,500)
Quinn plays on line 2 and PP1 for the Sabres against the Flyers. He scored 13.5 against the Canadiens on October 17 and carries an 18.0 DK average over his last three. His 26.8% optimal rate is third at wing, and the field likes him as a cheaper way into the Sabres' PP1.
Defense
Rasmus Dahlin (DK $6,400)
The Sabres are implied for 3.5 goals against the Flyers, and Dahlin skates on their line 1 and PP1. His 11.4 projection leads the position, with a 26.9 ceiling.
He is 40.4% owned with a 41.7% optimal rate, the top optimal rate at defense. His 1.79 value comes with a 5.1 floor.
Jake Sanderson (DK $6,200)
Sanderson skates on line 1 and PP1 for the Senators against the Panthers. His 35.5% optimal rate ranks second at defense, with a 10.4 projection and a 23.7 ceiling. He is one of the field's favorite defensemen.
Seth Jones (DK $5,000)
The Panthers–Senators coin flip puts Jones on line 2 and PP1 for the Panthers. He scored 13.4 against the Kraken on October 17 and carries a 21.3 DK average over his last three. His 22.8% optimal rate ranks third at defense, with an 8.4 projection, and the field backs him as a mid-priced defenseman.
Goalie
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (DK $8,200)
A 65% win chance against the Flyers backs Luukkonen as the projected goalie for the Sabres. His 11.4 projection and 31.4% optimal rate both top the position.
He scored 9.0 against the Canadiens on October 17 and carries a 12.7 DK average over his last three. He is the crowd's goalie, and his 26.7 ceiling sits second at the position.
What The Market Is Saying
The market builds around the Sabres against the Flyers, with Tage Thompson (DK $7,600) as its default skater and Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (DK $8,200) as its chalk goalie. It splits on Panthers–Senators: one camp backs the Panthers' shot attempts, and the other backs Linus Ullmark (DK $7,600) in net. It also splits on whether Flyers–Sabres goes over or under its total. A minority of the market looks at Noah Ostlund (DK $3,500) and Carter Yakemchuk (DK $3,500), and the market watches news that Jake Sanderson (DK $6,200) returns to the Senators' lineup. DFS Hero has Sanderson at a 35.5% optimal rate. DFS Hero agrees with the market on Thompson, with a 47.4% optimal rate against 41.4% ownership, and Stack IQ gives the Panthers PP1 stack in the split game a 32.6% optimal rate and a leverage of 10.6.
Take these reads into the DFS Hero Workspace: shape the player pool, then Build & Sim builds your lineups and simulates every one against your contest's real payouts in one click. Stack IQ, late swap and Hero Chat sit in the same screen. Get Full Access for $1: $1 for 5 days, cancel anytime.
The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.
More NHL DFS Analysis
The DFS engine that never stops working.
Build, simulate, and fill your entries in one Workspace, across every sport. $1 for 5 days.