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NHL DraftKings Picks: Thursday Main Slate (October 22)

By DFS Hero Team

The Devils carry 3.8 implied goals against the Ducks, the highest team total on the board. The Red Wings and the Mammoth sit at 3.6, and Rangers–Maple Leafs owns the highest game total at 6.6. Twelve games make up the slate, which locks at 7:00 PM ET, and six of them carry a 6.5 total. The Jets sit at 2.3 implied goals against the Stars, the lowest on the slate.

All goalies are projected. Devon Levi (DK $7,500) is in net for the Oilers against the Hurricanes, with a 10.9% optimal rate. Yaroslav Askarov (DK $6,900) faces the Senators with a 10.6% optimal rate, and Joel Hofer (DK $7,400) draws the Golden Knights at a 10.1% optimal rate. Jesper Wallstedt (DK $8,200) is the Wild's projected goalie against the Flames, and Ville Husso (DK $7,000) is projected for the Ducks against the Devils.

Injury Watch

  • Seth Jarvis (DK $7,000) (Hurricanes, day-to-day)
  • Aleksander Barkov (Panthers, out)
  • Josh Morrissey (Jets, out)
  • John Tavares (Maple Leafs, out)
  • Bryan Rust (Penguins, out)
  • Mathew Barzal (Islanders, out)
  • Thomas Chabot (Senators, out)
  • Brad Marchand (Panthers, out)

Top Stacks

NJD PP1 vs ANA (DK $29,500)

Players: Jack Hughes (DK $8,200); Nico Hischier (DK $5,500); Jesper Bratt (DK $6,200); Luke Hughes (DK $4,400); Luke Evangelista (DK $5,200)

The Devils PP1 stack projects 55.0 points with 10.2% average ownership, a 7.0% optimal rate and 1.88 value. It is Stack IQ's top stack, and the Devils carry 3.8 implied goals with a 66% win chance. Evangelista scored 26.8 against the Avalanche on October 20 on a goal, an assist and six shots, with a 10.9 average over his last three. The stack carries a 125.6 ceiling.

MIN PP1 vs CGY (DK $31,800)

Players: Matt Boldy (DK $8,000); Kirill Kaprizov (DK $8,500); Quinn Hughes (DK $6,500); Joel Eriksson Ek (DK $5,800); Max Shabanov (DK $3,000)

The Wild PP1 stack projects 59.2 points with 16.1% average ownership, an 11.7% optimal rate and 1.90 value. The Wild carry 3.5 implied goals with a 65% win chance. Kaprizov posted 18.0 against the Oilers on October 20 and averages 23.0 over his last three. The stack carries a 131.6 ceiling.

DET PP1 vs VAN (DK $31,500)

Players: Alex DeBrincat (DK $7,800); Dylan Larkin (DK $6,000); Moritz Seider (DK $6,200); Lucas Raymond (DK $5,500); Viktor Arvidsson (DK $6,000)

The Red Wings PP1 stack projects 57.4 points with 11.8% average ownership, an 8.9% optimal rate and 1.82 value. The Red Wings carry 3.6 implied goals, tied with the Mammoth for second on the slate, and a 60% win chance. Raymond posted 19.5 against the Kraken on October 20 on a goal and an assist, with a 9.9 average over his last three. The unit carries a 128.6 ceiling.

Center

Dylan Larkin (DK $6,000)

The Red Wings carry 3.6 implied goals against the Canucks, and Larkin is on their line 2 and PP1. He posted 23.3 against the Kraken on October 20 on two power-play assists. That game lifted him to an 11.4 average over his last three.

Larkin is a popular center with the numbers behind it. His 13.3% optimal rate ties Sidney Crosby (DK $5,900) for the top mark at center. He projects 11.8 points for 1.97 value.

Sidney Crosby (DK $5,900)

Crosby is on line 1 and PP1 for the Penguins against the Panthers, and Panthers–Penguins carries a 6.5 total. He is 12.6% owned with a 13.3% optimal rate.

Joel Eriksson Ek (DK $5,800)

Eriksson Ek put up 23.5 against the Oilers on October 20 with a goal and eight shots, and he averages 15.3 over his last three. He plays line 1 and PP1 for the Wild against the Flames, with a 13.1% optimal rate. He is a popular center.

Wing

Matt Boldy (DK $8,000)

Boldy's newest game was 14.5 against the Oilers on October 20, and he averages 26.0 over his last three. He is on line 1 and PP1 for the Wild, who carry 3.5 implied goals against the Flames.

Ceiling is the case at this price. Boldy pairs a 31.1 ceiling with a 14.7 projection, close to Kirill Kaprizov (DK $8,500) at 14.5. His 19.7% optimal rate is the top mark at wing, and the crowd has found him.

David Pastrnak (DK $7,600)

Pastrnak draws the Bruins' 3.3 implied goals against the Predators from line 1 and PP1. He is 14.3% owned with a 14.3% optimal rate. He carries a 31.5 ceiling.

Alex DeBrincat (DK $7,800)

DeBrincat reached 300 career goals on October 20, scoring 24.0 against the Kraken on a goal and an assist. He averages 14.7 over his last three and plays line 1 and PP1 against the Canucks. His 13.8% optimal rate is the third-best at wing, and he is a wing the field likes.

Defense

Luke Hughes (DK $4,400)

Hughes plays line 1 and PP1 for the Devils, whose 3.8 implied goals against the Ducks are the highest on the slate. His newest game was 7.3 against the Avalanche on October 20. He averages 13.9 over his last three.

Hughes sits on the Devils PP1 that Stack IQ ranks as its top stack. He is 18.5% owned with a 20.2% optimal rate. He carries a leverage of 1.7 and 2.22 value.

Quinn Hughes (DK $6,500)

The Wild's 65% win chance against the Flames backs Hughes, who plays line 1 and PP1. His 12.8 projection is the second-best at defense. He pairs it with a 16.1% optimal rate and is a common pick.

Erik Karlsson (DK $5,100)

Karlsson scored a power-play goal and added a power-play assist for 21.9 against the Mammoth on October 19, with a 12.6 average over his last three. He plays line 1 and PP1 for the Penguins against the Panthers. He is 11.8% owned with a 13.3% optimal rate, the third-best at defense.

Goalie

Devon Levi (DK $7,500)

Levi was named the Oilers' starter against the Hurricanes on October 22. He comes off a 27-save win over the Wild on October 20 that scored 14.4. He averages 16.9 over his last three.

The crowd has landed on Levi in net, and his 10.9% optimal rate is the top mark at goalie. He projects 12.1 points for 1.61 value.

Yaroslav Askarov (DK $6,900)

Askarov is the Sharks' goalie against the Senators: he took the starter's crease at Thursday's morning skate and was named the starter on October 22. He posted 13.3 against the Maple Leafs on October 19. He is 10.0% owned with a 10.6% optimal rate, the second-best at goalie.

Joel Hofer (DK $7,400)

Hofer turned away 32 of 33 shots for 24.9 in a win over the Jets on October 20, and he averages 13.3 over his last three. He was named the Blues' starter against the Golden Knights on October 22. His 10.1% optimal rate is the third-best at goalie.

What The Market Is Saying

The market builds around Sharks–Senators, with Macklin Celebrini (DK $8,600) as its play on reports that the Senators' top goalie is on injured reserve. It treats the Wild as a stack to build around against the Flames, makes the Red Wings the default chalk against the Canucks and expects ownership to spread out elsewhere. The market splits on which star to pay for in cash games among Auston Matthews (DK $8,500), Kirill Kaprizov (DK $8,500) and Connor McDavid (DK $9,500), and on whether to spend up or save at goalie. A minority of the market looks to the Predators' top line with Roman Josi (DK $6,400) and to the Devils as a stack. DFS Hero has Celebrini at a 4.7% optimal rate against 5.1% ownership, and Stack IQ ranks the Devils PP1 as its top stack.

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The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.

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