The Panthers carry the highest implied total on the slate at 3.6 against the Blackhawks. The Sabres sit second at 3.4 against the Senators, in the only game with a 6.5 total, and the Kings are third at 3.3 against the Sharks. The four-game slate locks Wednesday, November 4 at 7:30 PM ET. Flames–Kraken and Sharks–Kings start at 10 PM ET.
Every goalie on the slate is a projection until his team confirms him. Joey Daccord (DK $8,000) projects to start for the Kraken against the Flames with a 55% win chance and a 12.2 projection, the top mark at the position. Jacob Markstrom (DK $8,500) projects for the Panthers against the Blackhawks with a 69% win chance. Colten Ellis (DK $7,900) projects for the Sabres against the Senators at a 54% win chance.
Injury Watch
- Adrian Kempe (DK $6,200) (Kings, day-to-day)
- Aleksander Barkov (Panthers, out)
- Jared McCann (Kraken, out)
- Brad Marchand (Panthers, out)
- Patrick Kane (Blackhawks, out)
- William Eklund (Senators, out)
- Mats Zuccarello (Kings, out)
- Tyler Kleven (Senators, out)
Top Stacks
FLA PP1 vs CHI (DK $33,900)
Players: Brady Tkachuk (DK $7,700); Matthew Tkachuk (DK $7,300); Sam Reinhart (DK $7,200); Carter Verhaeghe (DK $6,300); Seth Jones (DK $5,400)
The Panthers stack projects 58.4 points with 18.6% average ownership, a 27.8% optimal rate and 1.73 value. It is Stack IQ's top stack, and the Panthers carry a 3.6 implied total. Verhaeghe brings a 13.4 DK average over his last three games, and Jones sits at 18.3 over his last three. The unit carries a leverage of 9.2 and a 141.6 ceiling.
BUF PP1 vs OTT (DK $29,100)
Players: Tage Thompson (DK $8,100); Rasmus Dahlin (DK $6,300); Jack Quinn (DK $5,600); Zach Benson (DK $5,200); Noah Ostlund (DK $3,900)
The Sabres stack projects 53.2 points with 16.6% average ownership, a 16.7% optimal rate and 1.84 value. The Sabres carry a 3.4 implied total, second on the slate, in a game with a 6.5 total. Benson comes in with a 21.6 DK average over his last three games, and Quinn sits at 11.8 over his last three. Thompson and Benson also share line 1.
LAK PP1 vs SJS (DK $26,800)
Players: Artemi Panarin (DK $7,200); Adrian Kempe (DK $6,200); Alex Laferriere (DK $5,500); Quinton Byfield (DK $4,600); Erik Gustafsson (DK $3,300)
The Kings stack projects 53.9 points with 25.2% average ownership, a 19.1% optimal rate and 2.02 value. The Kings hold a 3.3 implied total, third highest on the slate, and Byfield brings a 12.0 DK average over his last three games. Kempe is day-to-day, and Sharks–Kings starts at 10 PM ET, after lock, so his spot is a late-swap check. Panarin, Kempe and Laferriere share line 1 as well as the unit.
Center
Macklin Celebrini (DK $9,200)
Celebrini skates on the Sharks' line 1 and PP1 against the Kings, and his 34.4 ceiling is the top mark at center. The Hero Projection has him at 14.6.
The field under-owns him: he is 20.7% owned with a 22.8% optimal rate, a leverage of 2.1. That optimal rate is the top mark at the position.
Sam Reinhart (DK $7,200)
Reinhart scored against the Red Wings on November 2 and goes into the Blackhawks game with a 14.7 DK average over his last three and a 17.6% optimal rate. He plays on the Panthers' second line and PP1, and his 30.6 ceiling ranks second at center. The crowd likes him too.
Alex Laferriere (DK $5,500)
Laferriere is on the Kings' line 1 and PP1 against the Sharks, with a 14.8% optimal rate. His 9.9 DK average over his last three games tops his 9.3 season mark. He brings a 1.97 value as one of the crowd's most-used centers.
Wing
Tage Thompson (DK $8,100)
Thompson goes into the Senators game in top form: 47.5 DK points with a hat trick against the Ducks on October 29, then 33.3 with two goals against the Kings on October 31. His 33.5 average over his last three games sits behind a 14.1 projection, the top mark at wing.
He plays on the Sabres' line 1 and PP1 for a team at a 3.4 implied total. He is 20.1% owned with a 20.7% optimal rate and a 33.5 ceiling, the top ceiling at wing.
Artemi Panarin (DK $7,200)
Panarin draws the Sharks on the Kings' line 1 and PP1. His 32.5 ceiling ranks second at wing, and he carries a 20.0% optimal rate with a 1.91 value. The field has found him, and he is one of its favorite wings.
Brady Tkachuk (DK $7,700)
The Panthers sit at a 3.6 implied total against the Blackhawks, and Tkachuk is on their line 1 and PP1. His 14.3 DK average over his last three games sits above his 13.7 season mark. His 17.9% optimal rate is third at wing.
Defense
Rasmus Dahlin (DK $6,300)
Dahlin draws the Senators on the Sabres' line 1 and PP1, and he carries an 18.2% optimal rate. He posted 16.0 DK points with two assists against the Ducks on October 29, then 14.3 with two power-play assists against the Kings on October 31.
The Sabres carry a 3.4 implied total in a 6.5-total game. His 12.3 projection is the top mark on the blue line, with a 27.9 ceiling. The field piles onto him.
Brandon Montour (DK $5,700)
Montour plays on the Kraken's second line and PP2 against the Flames, for a team at a 3.2 implied total, and carries an 11.9% optimal rate. His 10.2 projection is third among defensemen, with a 23.4 ceiling. He is a well-liked blue-line piece.
Vince Dunn (DK $5,100)
Dunn holds PP1 time on the Kraken's line 1 against the Flames, with a 10.8% optimal rate. His 9.6 projection comes at a 1.88 value with a 23.1 ceiling. The crowd has caught on to him.
Goalie
Joey Daccord (DK $8,000)
Daccord projects as the Kraken's starter against the Flames, and the Kraken carry a 55% win chance. His 12.2 projection is the top mark among goalies, with a 1.52 value.
On Wednesday he looked likely to start, and Flames–Kraken drops the puck at 10 PM ET, after lock, so his crease is a late-swap check in the Workspace. His 15.5% optimal rate leads the position, with a 28.4 ceiling, and he is the crowd's goalie of choice.
Jacob Markstrom (DK $8,500)
Markstrom drew Wednesday's start against the Blackhawks, and he carries a 12.5% optimal rate with the Panthers at a 69% win chance. His 11.2 projection is second among goalies, with a 26.5 ceiling. Plenty of the field is on him.
Colten Ellis (DK $7,900)
Ellis is set to start against the Senators after working in the starter's net at Tuesday's practice, and he carries an 11.6% optimal rate. He carries a 9.8 DK average over his last three games, above his 9.0 season mark. The Sabres hold a 54% win chance.
What The Market Is Saying
The market builds around the Panthers, heavy favorites against the Blackhawks in a game the crowd leans to the over. It names Seth Jones (DK $5,400) as its default Panthers piece. It reads Flames–Kraken as a high-scoring game and leans to the Kraken, keying on their rest edge over a Flames team playing its fourth game in six days. The market splits on Senators–Sabres and on Sharks–Kings. A contrarian view backs Macklin Celebrini (DK $9,200) as due for goals and Sam Reinhart (DK $7,200) as a goal scorer. Stack IQ agrees on the Panthers, with FLA PP1 as its top stack, and DFS Hero has Celebrini at a 22.8% optimal rate.
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The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.
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