Canucks–Oilers carries the slate's highest total at 7.0, and the Oilers' 4.4 implied goals are the highest of any team, with a 75% win chance. The Hurricanes sit second at 4.3 implied goals against the Blackhawks, who carry the lowest at 2.2. The Avalanche are third at 3.8 against the Red Wings. Six more games sit at 6.5, tied for the second-highest total. Nine games lock at 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 7.
Every goalie below is a projected starter. Ilya Sorokin (DK $7,000) projects 11.9 for the Islanders against Jake Allen (DK $8,300) in Devils–Islanders. MacKenzie Blackwood (DK $8,000) projects for an Avalanche team at a 66% win chance, opposite Daniil Tarasov (DK $7,300). Sergei Bobrovsky (DK $7,200) projects for the Maple Leafs against Jacob Fowler (DK $8,200) in Canadiens–Maple Leafs. Jake Oettinger (DK $8,100) and Alex Nedeljkovic (DK $7,100) meet in Sharks–Stars. Calvin Pickard (DK $7,900) projects for the Wild in Lightning–Wild.
Injury Watch
- Zach Hyman (Oilers, out)
- Dylan Larkin (Red Wings, out)
- Miro Heiskanen (Stars, out)
- Mathew Barzal (Islanders, out)
- Patrick Kane (Blackhawks, out)
- Matt Duchene (Stars, out)
- Ivan Demidov (Canadiens, out)
- Brock Faber (Wild, out)
Top Stacks
EDM PP1 vs VAN (DK $35,700)
Players: Connor McDavid (DK $9,400); Leon Draisaitl (DK $9,100); Evan Bouchard (DK $7,700); Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (DK $5,700); Kasperi Kapanen (DK $3,800)
The Oilers' PP1 stack projects 75.8 points with 21.0% average ownership, a 29.1% optimal rate and 2.11 value. It is Stack IQ's top stack, and it sits behind the Oilers' 4.4 implied goals in the 7.0-total game. McDavid, Draisaitl and Bouchard all play line 1 and PP1, while Nugent-Hopkins and Kapanen skate line 2 and PP1. Kapanen scored for 13.0 against the Ducks on November 5, and the stack carries a leverage of 8.1.
COL PP1 vs DET (DK $31,000)
Players: Nathan MacKinnon (DK $9,200); Cale Makar (DK $7,000); Martin Necas (DK $6,600); Nazem Kadri (DK $4,800); T.J. Hughes (DK $3,400)
The Avalanche PP1 stack projects 60.3 points with 7.4% average ownership, an 8.5% optimal rate and 2.00 value. The Avalanche carry 3.8 implied goals and a 66% win chance, and its leverage of 1.1 makes it a stack to let Build & Sim size. MacKinnon, Makar and Necas all play line 1. Kadri brings a 12.5 average over his last three from line 3, and Hughes put up 12.0 on six shots against the Predators on November 5.
DAL PP1 vs SJS (DK $29,400)
Players: Jason Robertson (DK $7,100); Wyatt Johnston (DK $6,300); Mikko Rantanen (DK $6,200); Thomas Harley (DK $5,100); Roope Hintz (DK $4,700)
The Stars' PP1 stack projects 66.6 points with 18.8% average ownership, a 16.4% optimal rate and 2.28 value. The Stars carry 3.7 implied goals and a 72% win chance against a Sharks team at 2.3, the second-lowest implied total on the slate. Hintz plays line 1 with a 2.37 value, and Rantanen brings an 11.0 average over his last three from line 2. The five skaters add up to a 158.0 ceiling.
Center
Connor McDavid (DK $9,400)
Canucks–Oilers carries the top total on the slate, and McDavid centers the Oilers' line 1 and PP1 against the Canucks. He projects 20.9 with a 14.8% optimal rate.
McDavid was in on every Oilers goal in the loss to the Ducks on November 5, a 33.0-point night, and his last three games average 23.0. He is a popular play with a 37.2 ceiling, second among centers.
Nathan MacKinnon (DK $9,200)
MacKinnon centers the Avalanche's line 1 and PP1 against the Red Wings, behind 3.8 implied goals. His 37.8 ceiling leads the centers, and he is 9.3% owned with an 11.0% optimal rate.
Wyatt Johnston (DK $6,300)
The Stars are 72% to beat the Sharks, and Johnston plays line 2 and PP1 for them. His 10.7% optimal rate is third at center, and his last three games average 11.5.
Wing
Jason Robertson (DK $7,100)
The Stars face a Sharks team implied for 2.3 goals, and Robertson skates line 1 and PP1 for them. His 12.4% optimal rate leads the wings, and his 36.6 ceiling sits beside Kirill Kaprizov (DK $8,300) at 36.4.
A hat trick drove Robertson's 47.0 against the Capitals on November 3, and he followed with 4.5 against the Blue Jackets on November 5. He is a popular play, and his last three games average 19.8.
Leon Draisaitl (DK $9,100)
Draisaitl skates on the Oilers' line 1 and PP1 against the Canucks in the slate's highest-total game. His last three games average 19.3, his 19.3 projection leads the wings, and he carries an 11.3% optimal rate.
Kirill Kaprizov (DK $8,300)
Kaprizov comes off 32.3 against the Sharks on November 6, a power-play goal included, and he plays line 1 and PP1 for the Wild against the Lightning. His last three games average 16.8, and he is 6.3% owned with a 9.3% optimal rate.
Defense
Thomas Harley (DK $5,100)
Harley plays the Stars' line 1 and PP1 against the Sharks. His 10.1% optimal rate leads the defensemen at a 2.47 value.
Harley's last three games average 17.1, up from a 10.5 season average. He put up 21.0 against the Capitals on November 3 and 17.4 against the Blue Jackets on November 5.
Matthew Schaefer (DK $7,100)
Schaefer's 30.8 ceiling tops the defensemen, from the Islanders' line 1 and PP1 against the Devils. He is 7.9% owned with a 9.2% optimal rate, and his last three games average 16.9.
Evan Bouchard (DK $7,700)
Bouchard plays line 1 and PP1 for the Oilers against the Canucks, and he carries an 8.5% optimal rate. He is a popular play, his 16.2 projection leads the defensemen, and his last three games average 20.1.
Goalie
Ilya Sorokin (DK $7,000)
Sorokin was in line to start for the Islanders against the Devils as of November 7. He projects 11.9, in a near tie with Jake Allen (DK $8,300) at the top of the position, with a 30.1 ceiling.
Sorokin's 1.70 value is the best at goalie. He is a popular play in net with an 11.2% optimal rate.
Sergei Bobrovsky (DK $7,200)
Bobrovsky took the starter's net at the Maple Leafs' morning skate on November 7, on track to face the Canadiens, and he carries a 6.6% optimal rate. He made 33 saves on 36 shots against the Mammoth on November 3 for 12.6, and he carries a 26.3 ceiling.
MacKenzie Blackwood (DK $8,000)
Blackwood is the Avalanche's projected goalie against the Red Wings, with his team 66% to win, and he carries a 5.8% optimal rate. His 11.6 projection sits close behind Ilya Sorokin (DK $7,000) and Jake Allen (DK $8,300), and his 1.46 value is second at the position.
What The Market Is Saying
The market builds around Canucks–Oilers, with Connor McDavid (DK $9,400), Leon Draisaitl (DK $9,100) and Evan Bouchard (DK $7,700) at the center of its default stack, and it points to the Canucks allowing an NHL-worst 4.61 goals per game. It also backs the Hurricanes against the Blackhawks and the Avalanche against the Red Wings, and it splits on Canadiens–Maple Leafs and on Lightning–Wild. The market is split on Ilya Sorokin (DK $7,000), and a minority of the market turns to a cheap Hurricanes third line. DFS Hero has Sorokin at an 11.2% optimal rate. Stack IQ agrees on the Oilers with their PP1 as its top stack, and it puts the Stars' PP1, a stack the market passes over, at a 16.4% optimal rate.
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The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.
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