The Wild are 70% favorites against the Sharks with a 3.9 implied total, and that game sets the tone for Friday. All three games on this three-game slate carry a 6.5 total. The Sabres sit at 3.6 implied goals against the Blue Jackets and the Flames at 3.5 against the Ducks. The slate locks at 7:00 PM ET on Friday, November 6, with Blue Jackets–Sabres starting at lock and Ducks–Flames and Sharks–Wild at 8:00 PM ET.
In net, Jesper Wallstedt (DK $8,400) projects to start for the Wild and carries the top Hero Projection among goalies at 12.2. Dustin Wolf (DK $7,800) projects for the Flames against the Ducks with the top optimal rate at the position, 18.5%. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (DK $8,100) projects for the Sabres against the Blue Jackets with an 11.4 projection. All three play for favored teams: the Flames hold a 57% win chance and the Sabres 61%.
Injury Watch
- Troy Terry (Ducks, out)
- Brock Faber (Wild, out)
- Jared Spurgeon (Wild, out)
- Alexander Wennberg (Sharks, out)
- Isac Lundestrom (Blue Jackets, out)
- Connor Zary (Flames, out)
- Logan Couture (Sharks, out)
- Jonathan Huberdeau (Flames, out)
Top Stacks
MIN PP1 vs SJS (DK $32,500)
Players: Kirill Kaprizov (DK $8,300); Matt Boldy (DK $7,800); Quinn Hughes (DK $6,800); Joel Eriksson Ek (DK $6,300); Max Shabanov (DK $3,300)
The Wild stack projects 69.9 points with 33.4% average ownership, a 45.4% optimal rate and 2.17 value. It is Stack IQ's top stack, and it rides the Wild's 3.9 implied total. Kaprizov, Boldy, Eriksson Ek and Hughes play together on line 1 as well as PP1, and Shabanov joins the unit from line 3. The five carry a 159.7 ceiling.
BUF PP1 vs CBJ (DK $30,400)
Players: Tage Thompson (DK $8,400); Rasmus Dahlin (DK $6,600); Jack Quinn (DK $5,900); Zach Benson (DK $5,400); Noah Ostlund (DK $4,100)
The Sabres stack projects 58.4 points with 20.1% average ownership, a 20.3% optimal rate and 1.93 value. The Sabres carry a 3.6 implied total and a 61% win chance. Thompson, Dahlin and Benson play on line 1, Quinn and Ostlund on line 2, and all five share PP1. Benson posted 10.8 against the Senators on November 4 and carries an 18.9 DK average over his last three.
CGY PP1 vs ANA (DK $22,400)
Players: Joel Farabee (DK $5,500); Matt Coronato (DK $5,000); Matvei Gridin (DK $4,500); Morgan Frost (DK $4,000); Zayne Parekh (DK $3,400)
The Flames stack projects 48.2 points with 17.6% average ownership, a 7.3% optimal rate and 2.17 value. That value matches the Wild stack's at a lower price, and the Flames carry a 3.5 implied total. Farabee and Coronato play on line 1, Frost on line 2, and Gridin and Parekh on line 3, with all five on PP1. Farabee carries an 8.9 DK average over his last three.
Center
Joel Eriksson Ek (DK $6,300)
Eriksson Ek centers the Wild's top line and plays on PP1 against the Sharks, behind the Wild's 3.9 implied total. His 23.6% optimal rate is the top mark among centers, with a 13.2 Hero Projection and a 30.1 ceiling.
Eriksson Ek scored a goal for 17.1 against the Flyers on November 3 and has a 14.4 DK average over his last three. The lowest of his last five games is 11.5, and the crowd is on him.
Morgan Frost (DK $4,000)
The Flames carry a 3.5 implied total against the Ducks, and Frost plays on their second line and PP1 with a 12.9% optimal rate. He picked up an assist for 8.0 against the Kraken on November 4. His 2.18 value draws heavy field interest.
Noah Ostlund (DK $4,100)
Ostlund gets PP1 time with the Sabres from the second line against the Blue Jackets. He posted 7.3 against the Senators on November 4 and has a 10.7 DK average over his last three. A popular pick, he carries a 12.0% optimal rate and a 22.3 ceiling.
Wing
Kirill Kaprizov (DK $8,300)
Kaprizov plays on the Wild's top line and PP1 against the Sharks. He carries the top Hero Projection at wing at 17.9, with a 41.6 ceiling.
He averages 16.7 DK over 17 games this season, with a 9.2 average over his last three. His 33.0% optimal rate is the highest at wing, and the field builds around him.
Matt Boldy (DK $7,800)
Boldy had a goal and an assist for 19.5 against the Flyers on November 3, with a 14.5 DK average over his last three and a 30.0% optimal rate. He plays with Kirill Kaprizov (DK $8,300) on the Wild's top line and PP1 against the Sharks. He carries the second-best Hero Projection at wing at 17.0, and plenty of the field is on board.
Tage Thompson (DK $8,400)
Thompson has a 29.6 DK average over his last three games. He scored twice against the Kings on October 31, including the power-play winner, then added an assist against the Senators on November 4. He plays on the Sabres' top line and PP1 against the Blue Jackets and is 22.4% owned with a 25.6% optimal rate.
Defense
Quinn Hughes (DK $6,800)
Hughes posted 13.4 against the Flyers on November 3, the lowest of his last five games, and he has a 16.2 DK average over his last three. He faces the Sharks with a 14.2 Hero Projection.
He plays on the Wild's top line and PP1, with a 25.0% optimal rate and a 30.0 ceiling. He is a chalk defenseman behind the Wild's 3.9 implied total.
Rasmus Dahlin (DK $6,600)
Dahlin faces the Blue Jackets on the Sabres' top line and PP1, and the Sabres carry a 61% win chance. Widely rostered, he has the second-best optimal rate among defensemen at 21.1%, with a 10.6 DK average over his last three and an 11.1 season average.
Simon Nemec (DK $3,800)
Nemec plays on the Flames' top line and PP2 against the Ducks, with a 9.8% optimal rate. He posted 12.9 against the Kraken on November 4 and has a 6.7 DK average over his last three. He is a well-backed value with a 20.6 ceiling.
Goalie
Dustin Wolf (DK $7,800)
The Flames named Wolf their starter against the Ducks, and they carry a 57% win chance. His 18.5% optimal rate is the top mark among goalies, with a 10.8 Hero Projection and a 27.2 ceiling.
He stopped 27 of 29 shots for 13.9 against the Kraken on November 4. His last three starts carry a 16.1 DK average.
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (DK $8,100)
Luukkonen is in line to start for the Sabres against the Blue Jackets, with a 17.1% optimal rate. He has a 10.8 DK average over his last three and the second-best Hero Projection among goalies at 11.4, with the Sabres at a 61% win chance.
Jesper Wallstedt (DK $8,400)
The Wild are 70% favorites against the Sharks, and Wallstedt is set to start with a 16.3% optimal rate. He picked up a win against the Flyers on November 3 with 15.1, and he carries the top Hero Projection among goalies at 12.2.
What The Market Is Saying
The market builds around the Wild's top line against the Sharks. Kirill Kaprizov (DK $8,300), Matt Boldy (DK $7,800), Joel Eriksson Ek (DK $6,300) and Quinn Hughes (DK $6,800) form its core, and Jesper Wallstedt (DK $8,400) is its default goalie. Ducks–Flames is the market's second target, and Tage Thompson (DK $8,400) is its chalk on the Sabres side. The crowd splits on the Blue Jackets–Sabres scoring environment and on which side of Ducks–Flames to stack. It keys on Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (DK $8,100) returning to the Sabres' net, Dustin Wolf (DK $7,800) keeping the Flames' start, and the Blue Jackets playing the second night of a back-to-back. Stack IQ agrees on the Wild and ranks their PP1 its top stack with a 45.4% optimal rate. DFS Hero has Thompson at a 25.6% optimal rate against 22.4% projected ownership, and it has Wolf at an 18.5% optimal rate.
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The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.
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