The Avalanche carry the top implied total on the slate at 3.6 against the Maple Leafs, with a 60% win chance. The Devils sit second at 3.5 against the Jets, and the Wild follow at 3.4 against the Canadiens. All three of those games sit at 6.5, tied for the second-highest total. Seven games lock Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET.
Those three offenses draw projected goalies Sergei Bobrovsky (DK $7,000) for the Maple Leafs, Nico Daws (DK $7,100) for the Jets and Jacob Fowler (DK $7,500) for the Canadiens. The goalie reads come from other games. Logan Thompson (DK $7,400) is projected for the Capitals against the Senators with an 8.6% optimal rate. Darcy Kuemper (DK $8,100) carries a leverage of 5.7 for the Kings against the Predators in the 10:00 PM ET game. Cam Talbot (DK $7,600) is projected for the Blue Jackets against the Panthers.
Injury Watch
- Kirill Marchenko (Maple Leafs, out)
- Aleksander Barkov (Panthers, out)
- Dylan Larkin (Red Wings, out)
- Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs, out)
- Mats Zuccarello (Kings, out)
- Brock Faber (Wild, out)
- Mike Matheson (Canadiens, out)
- Erik Gustafsson (DK $3,600) (Kings, day-to-day)
Top Stacks
MIN PP1 vs MTL (DK $31,800)
Players: Kirill Kaprizov (DK $8,100); Matt Boldy (DK $7,600); Quinn Hughes (DK $6,600); Joel Eriksson Ek (DK $6,100); Max Shabanov (DK $3,400)
The Wild PP1 stack projects 62.0 points with 14.6% average ownership, a 15.8% optimal rate and 1.96 value. It is Stack IQ's top stack, and the Wild are implied for 3.4 goals. Kaprizov, Boldy and Eriksson Ek play line 1 together, and Eriksson Ek carries an 11.5 DK average over his last three. Shabanov joins the unit from line 3. He scored two goals for 21.5 against the Lightning on November 7 and has a 12.4 average over his last three.
COL PP1 vs TOR (DK $31,300)
Players: Nathan MacKinnon (DK $9,000); Cale Makar (DK $7,200); Martin Necas (DK $6,500); Nazem Kadri (DK $4,700); T.J. Hughes (DK $3,900)
The Avalanche PP1 stack projects 58.5 points with 10.7% average ownership, a 13.0% optimal rate and 1.90 value. It carries a leverage of 2.3 on the team with the slate's top implied total. MacKinnon, Makar and Necas play line 1. Necas had two goals and two assists for 35.6 against the Red Wings on November 7, beside a 16.0 average over his last three. T.J. Hughes brings an 8.7 average over his last three from line 2.
NJD PP1 vs WPG (DK $28,800)
Players: Jack Hughes (DK $8,500); Nico Hischier (DK $5,600); Jesper Bratt (DK $6,200); Luke Hughes (DK $5,200); Connor Brown (DK $3,300)
The Devils PP1 stack projects 53.5 points with 8.9% average ownership, an 8.2% optimal rate and 1.87 value. The Devils are implied for 3.5 goals with a 57% win chance, and they face Nico Daws (DK $7,100) as the Jets' projected goalie. Hischier scored 17.0 against the Islanders on November 7, then 17.6 against the Maple Leafs on November 8, and he holds a 13.4 average over his last three. Bratt carries a 14.9 average over his last three.
Center
Jack Hughes (DK $8,500)
Hughes had multiple points in five straight games through November 8, and he plays line 2 and PP1 for the Devils against the Jets. He carries a 17.4 DK season average over 18 games. He has a 20.2 average over his last three.
His 16.7% optimal rate is the top mark at center. He is 16.4% owned with a 35.5 ceiling, and his 16.4 projection ties Nathan MacKinnon (DK $9,000).
Nathan MacKinnon (DK $9,000)
The Avalanche top the slate's implied totals, and MacKinnon plays their line 1 and PP1 against the Maple Leafs. He projects 16.4, level with Jack Hughes (DK $8,500), and his 35.3 ceiling sits beside Hughes's 35.5. The field backs him heavily, and he carries a 14.2% optimal rate.
Auston Matthews (DK $8,300)
Matthews plays line 1 and PP1 for the Maple Leafs against the Avalanche, in one of three games at 6.5. His 15.7 projection is third at center, with a 32.3 ceiling. He is a popular play with a 12.8% optimal rate.
Wing
Kirill Kaprizov (DK $8,100)
Kaprizov had a four-point night against the Sharks on November 6 for 32.3 DK points, then 15.5 against the Lightning on November 7. He carries an 18.1 average over his last three, on line 1 and PP1 for the Wild against the Canadiens.
His 15.6 projection is the top mark at wing. He adds a 31.9 ceiling and a 13.3% optimal rate, and the field is on him.
Matt Boldy (DK $7,600)
Boldy plays line 1 and PP1 beside Kirill Kaprizov (DK $8,100) for the Wild against the Canadiens, an offense implied for 3.4 goals. His 14.7 projection is second at wing, behind Kaprizov. He has a 31.1 ceiling and a 12.8% optimal rate, and he is one of the slate's chalk wings.
Viktor Arvidsson (DK $5,400)
The field leaves Arvidsson light on line 1 and PP1 for the Red Wings against the Blues. He is 9.4% owned with a 12.7% optimal rate, a leverage of 3.3, and he has a 27.2 ceiling. He is a leverage play to let Build & Sim size.
Defense
Cale Makar (DK $7,200)
Makar left Sunday's practice on November 8 with a lower-body issue and was cleared to play the Maple Leafs on Tuesday. He scored 24.5 DK points against the Red Wings on November 7. He carries a 17.5 average over his last three on line 1 and PP1 for the Avalanche.
Makar is cleared and in the lineup, and his 11.5% optimal rate is the top mark at defense. He pairs a 27.7 ceiling with a 13.1 projection on the team implied for 3.6 goals. The field backs him in numbers.
Jakob Chychrun (DK $6,200)
Chychrun has a 15.5 DK average over his last three, and he plays line 1 and PP1 for the Capitals against the Senators. He is 6.5% owned with an 8.2% optimal rate, the third-best mark at defense, and he carries a leverage of 1.7.
Quinn Hughes (DK $6,600)
Hughes scored 9.1 DK points against the Lightning on November 7, and he carries a 7.3% optimal rate. He plays line 1 and PP1 for the Wild against the Canadiens. He carries a 15.7 average over his last three and an 8.0 floor, and he is a well-backed play.
Goalie
Logan Thompson (DK $7,400)
Thompson stopped 27 shots in a win over the Panthers on November 7, a 14.4 DK score. He is the Capitals' projected starter against the Senators.
He is 8.4% owned with an 8.6% optimal rate and a 26.4 ceiling. The Capitals carry a 50% win chance.
Darcy Kuemper (DK $8,100)
The Kings are 55% favorites against the Predators, and Kuemper is their projected goalie in the slate's last game. He is 2.9% owned with an 8.6% optimal rate. His leverage of 5.7 is the top mark among goalies.
Cam Talbot (DK $7,600)
Talbot was named the Blue Jackets' starter against the Panthers for Tuesday, and he carries an 18.1 DK average over his last three. He is 6.6% owned with a 7.6% optimal rate, a leverage of 1.0.
What The Market Is Saying
The market builds around Avalanche–Maple Leafs with Nathan MacKinnon (DK $9,000) as its default top skater. It treats Devils–Jets as the shootout, with Jack Hughes (DK $8,500) as a core piece. Its third pillar is the Wild's top group of Kirill Kaprizov (DK $8,100), Joel Eriksson Ek (DK $6,100), Matt Boldy (DK $7,600) and Quinn Hughes (DK $6,600). The market splits on who wins Avalanche–Maple Leafs, on Jacob Fowler (DK $7,500) in the Canadiens' net and on the over and under in Red Wings–Blues, and it watches the Jets' starter. DFS Hero agrees on Jack Hughes with a 16.7% optimal rate against 16.4% ownership, has MacKinnon at a 14.2% optimal rate, and puts the Wild PP1 at the top of Stack IQ.
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The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.
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