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NHL DraftKings Picks: Wednesday Main Slate (November 11)

By DFS Hero Team

The Ducks and the Oilers tie for the top implied total at 3.5 goals, and the Lightning, the Golden Knights and the Penguins sit tied just behind them at 3.4. Wednesday's main slate runs six games and locks at 7:00 PM ET, and four of those games carry a 6.5 total. The Oilers bring a 13-3-3 record into their game against the Flyers and have the slate's biggest win chance at 65%. Every Stack IQ stack on the slate is a power-play unit from one of the two top implied totals or from the Lightning.

Every goalie on the slate is projected, and none is confirmed. Devin Cooley (DK $7,200) projects to start for the Flames against Joonas Korpisalo (DK $8,200) and the Rangers, with an 11.2% optimal rate, second at the position. Tristan Jarry (DK $8,400) projects for the Oilers with a 28.1 ceiling, and Sergei Murashov (DK $8,000) projects for the Penguins against the Sharks with a 27.0 ceiling. Justus Annunen (DK $7,300) projects for the Predators against the Ducks.

Injury Watch

  • Brayden Point (Lightning, out)
  • Dylan Guenther (DK $6,200) (Mammoth, day-to-day)
  • Bryan Rust (Penguins, out)
  • Troy Terry (Ducks, out)
  • Jonathan Marchessault (DK $3,600) (Predators, day-to-day)
  • Noah Hanifin (Golden Knights, out)
  • Ville Koivunen (DK $2,800) (Penguins, day-to-day)
  • Louis Crevier (DK $2,600) (Sabres, day-to-day)

Top Stacks

ANA PP1 vs NSH (DK $32,300)

Players: Cutter Gauthier (DK $8,000); Beckett Sennecke (DK $6,900); Leo Carlsson (DK $6,500); Jackson LaCombe (DK $5,700); Mikael Granlund (DK $5,200)

The Ducks PP1 stack projects 65.5 points with 20.6% average ownership, a 24.6% optimal rate and 2.02 value. It is Stack IQ's top stack, and the Ducks tie the Oilers for the top implied total at 3.5 goals. Gauthier, Sennecke and Granlund also play together on line 2, and Carlsson and LaCombe skate on line 1. Sennecke carries an 18.3 DK average over his last three games.

EDM PP1 vs PHI (DK $38,300)

Players: Connor McDavid (DK $9,800); Leon Draisaitl (DK $9,000); Evan Bouchard (DK $7,900); Zach Hyman (DK $6,000); Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (DK $5,600)

The Oilers PP1 stack projects 65.5 points with 14.8% average ownership, a 23.9% optimal rate and 1.70 value. The Oilers are implied for 3.5 goals with a 65% win chance, and this unit carries a leverage of 9.1. McDavid, Draisaitl and Bouchard play together on line 1 as well. Draisaitl averages 31.2 DK points over his last three games.

TBL PP1 vs BUF (DK $31,300)

Players: Nikita Kucherov (DK $8,300); Brandon Hagel (DK $7,200); Jake Guentzel (DK $6,800); John Carlson (DK $4,900); Charle-Edouard D'Astous (DK $4,100)

The Lightning PP1 stack projects 56.7 points with 8.4% average ownership, a 13.2% optimal rate and 1.79 value. The Lightning are implied for 3.4 goals with a 54% win chance, and the stack carries a leverage of 4.8. Kucherov's 15.6 projection is second at wing, and Guentzel averages 15.5 DK points over his last three games. Carlson plays on line 1 and PP1 with a leverage of 4.4.

Center

Connor McDavid (DK $9,800)

The Oilers share the top implied total at 3.5 goals against the Flyers, and McDavid plays on line 1 and PP1. His 17.9 Hero Projection is the top mark at center, and he carries a 36.2 ceiling.

He scored in a win over the Rangers on November 9, a 15.8-point night, and averages 24.2 DK points over his last three games. He is a popular play with a 16.9% optimal rate, second at center.

Mikael Granlund (DK $5,200)

Granlund put up 33.6 DK points against the Penguins on November 8 and averages 18.1 over his last three games. He plays on line 2 and PP1 for the Ducks against the Predators, and the field likes him at a 14.8% optimal rate, third at center.

Leo Carlsson (DK $6,500)

Carlsson plays on line 1 and PP1 for the Ducks, whose 3.5 implied goals against the Predators tie the Oilers for the slate's top total. His 13.2 projection is third at center. The crowd is on him too, and his 2.03 value comes with a 13.0% optimal rate.

Wing

Cutter Gauthier (DK $8,000)

Gauthier put up 48.5 DK points against the Penguins on November 8 and averages 27.4 over his last three games. He draws the Predators with the Ducks implied for 3.5 goals, and his 25.1% optimal rate is the top mark at wing.

He plays on line 2 and PP1 with Beckett Sennecke (DK $6,900) and Mikael Granlund (DK $5,200), and his 40.6 ceiling is the top mark at wing. He is a popular play with a 17.1 projection and 2.14 value.

Brandon Hagel (DK $7,200)

Hagel scored a goal against the Jets on November 8, a 13.0-point game, and he plays on line 2 and PP1 for the Lightning against the Sabres. His 15.2% optimal rate is second at wing, and he is 10.0% owned with a leverage of 5.2.

Logan Cooley (DK $5,000)

Cooley plays on line 2 and PP1 for the Mammoth against the Golden Knights, and he averages 18.5 DK points over his last three games. He is 4.5% owned with a 13.7% optimal rate. His leverage of 9.2 is the top mark at wing.

Defense

Evan Bouchard (DK $7,900)

Bouchard's Oilers carry a 65% win chance against the Flyers, and he skates on line 1 and PP1. His 13.7 projection is the top mark at defense, with a 29.8 ceiling.

He shares the Oilers' top power-play unit with Connor McDavid (DK $9,800). Bouchard is a popular play with a 14.4% optimal rate, the top mark on the blue line.

Jackson LaCombe (DK $5,700)

LaCombe scored 29.0 DK points against the Penguins on November 8 and averages 17.2 over his last three games. He plays on line 1 and PP1 for the Ducks against the Predators, and much of the field has him at a 12.1% optimal rate, second at defense.

Roman Josi (DK $6,600)

The Predators draw the Ducks with Josi on line 1 and PP1, and his 12.6 projection is second at defense. He carries a 7.0 floor and a 25.4 ceiling, and his 11.3% optimal rate ties for third at defense.

Goalie

Devin Cooley (DK $7,200)

Cooley is set to start for the Flames against the Rangers. He stopped 32 of 35 shots in an overtime win over the Flyers on November 8, a 17.9-point game, and averages 12.4 DK points over his last three.

His 11.2% optimal rate is second among goalies, and he is a popular play at the position. He carries a 27.0 ceiling, and his last five games peaked at 30.7.

Tristan Jarry (DK $8,400)

Jarry projects to start for the Oilers against the Flyers after he was cleared from an illness on November 7, and he carries a 9.9% optimal rate. He scored 13.2 DK points against the Devils on November 3 and averages 20.9 over his last three games. He is 8.0% owned with a leverage of 1.9.

Sergei Murashov (DK $8,000)

Murashov earned his first win of the season against the Kings on November 7, a 17.2-point game, and he carries a 9.0% optimal rate. The Penguins carry a 55% win chance against the Sharks. He is the leverage play for Build & Sim to size, at 3.0% owned with a leverage of 6.0, the top mark among goalies.

What The Market Is Saying

The market builds around the Oilers against the Flyers, pairs Connor McDavid (DK $9,800) with Leon Draisaitl (DK $9,000), and prefers the Golden Knights in what it rates the slate's best game. It splits on Predators–Ducks and on Macklin Celebrini (DK $8,800), while a contrarian view takes Erik Karlsson (DK $5,600) against the Sharks. The news it keys on is Brayden Point on injured reserve and reports that Joonas Korpisalo (DK $8,200) starts for the Rangers, with every starting goalie unconfirmed. DFS Hero backs the Oilers lean: their PP1 stack carries a 23.9% optimal rate and a leverage of 9.1. DFS Hero has Cutter Gauthier (DK $8,000) at a 25.1% optimal rate.

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The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.

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