Cowboys–Colts carries the slate's highest total at 51.6, with Raiders–49ers right behind at 51.5. The 49ers' 30.5 implied points are the top team total of the day, and the Cowboys and the Chiefs share the second-highest team total at 28.3. Lions–Dolphins rounds out the top three totals at 49.5. The 11-game main slate locks Sunday, November 8 at 1:00 PM ET, and Texans–Chargers, Raiders–49ers, Packers–Patriots and Cardinals–Seahawks kick off after lock.
Giants–Eagles sits at the bottom with a 38.6 total, below Cardinals–Seahawks at 39.5 and Texans–Chargers at 40.6. Sam Darnold is out for the Seahawks, with Drew Lock (DK $4,000) next up, and the 49ers play without two of their top receivers. Injury news, lines and ownership can still move before Sunday, so read every status below as the latest report.
Injury Watch
- Mike Evans (49ers, out)
- Deebo Samuel Sr. (49ers, out)
- Amon-Ra St. Brown (DK $8,100) (Lions, questionable)
- DeVonta Smith (Eagles, out)
- George Pickens (DK $6,300) (Cowboys, questionable)
- A.J. Brown (Patriots, out)
- Sam Darnold (Seahawks, out): Drew Lock (DK $4,000) is next up at quarterback.
- Cam Skattebo (Giants, doubtful): Devin Singletary (DK $4,600) is next up at running back.
Top Stacks
WAS vs LAR (DK $20,400)
Players: Jayden Daniels (DK $6,000); Stefon Diggs (DK $5,600); Puka Nacua (DK $8,800)
The Commanders stack projects 58.5 points with 13.3% average ownership, a 16.5% optimal rate and 2.87 value. Stack IQ puts it first on the slate. Daniels averages 24.7 DK points over his last three, and Diggs pairs with him on a 24% projected target share and a 46.5-yard receiving prop, in an offense carrying 21.5 implied points. Nacua brings the game back from a 47.5 total with a 92.5-yard receiving prop.
SF vs LV (DK $18,200)
Players: Brock Purdy (DK $6,800); George Kittle (DK $6,000); Tre Tucker (DK $5,400)
The 49ers stack projects 51.3 points with 13.9% average ownership, a 7.1% optimal rate and 2.77 value. Purdy and Kittle lead the 49ers' 30.5 implied points, the top team total on the slate. Their props sit at 247.5 passing yards for Purdy and 70.5 receiving yards for Kittle. Tucker brings it back from a 51.5 total with a 17.0 average over his last three and 6.7 targets a game in that span, up on his season.
DAL vs IND (DK $19,700)
Players: Dak Prescott (DK $6,500); CeeDee Lamb (DK $8,300); Keenan Allen (DK $4,900)
The Cowboys stack projects 52.6 points with 11.1% average ownership, a 7.0% optimal rate and 2.65 value. Prescott carries a 263.5-yard passing prop, and Lamb has drawn 13.7 targets a game over his last three with a 32% projected target share, in an offense with 28.3 implied points. Allen brings it back from the slate's highest total, 51.6. He has a 22% projected target share.
Quarterback
Jayden Daniels (DK $6,000)
Daniels brings a rushing role into his game against the Rams. He holds a 24% projected carry share, and his props set him at 38 rushing yards with a 30% anytime touchdown chance.
The field underplays him at the position. He is 5.5% owned with an 8.2% optimal rate, the top optimal rate at quarterback, for a leverage of 2.7. That gap is one to let Build & Sim size across a lineup set.
Patrick Mahomes (DK $6,100)
Mahomes leads a Chiefs offense with 28.3 implied points against the Jets. He scored 28.4 against the Broncos on November 1, with a 15.6 average over his last three. He carries a 7.8% optimal rate.
Brock Purdy (DK $6,800)
Purdy draws a Raiders defense that allows the fifth-most DK points per game to quarterbacks, and he carries a 6.0% optimal rate. His 22.1 Hero Projection and a 2.5 passing-touchdown prop back the matchup, and he is the quarterback the field leans on most.
Running Back
Christian McCaffrey (DK $8,000)
McCaffrey practiced Friday through a hamstring issue and carries no injury designation against the Raiders. That matchup favors him: the Raiders allow the sixth-most DK points per game to running backs. He averages 23.7 DK points over his last three with a 23% projected target share.
McCaffrey is a scoring threat on his props, with a 76% anytime touchdown chance and 5.5 receptions. His 27.7% optimal rate is the top mark at running back.
Jahmyr Gibbs (DK $10,000)
Gibbs holds a 75% projected carry share against the Dolphins, with an 18.4% optimal rate. He scored 27.8 against the Vikings on November 1 and averages 29.9 over his last three, and he is one of the field's most-played backs.
Jonah Coleman (DK $5,300)
Coleman faces a Panthers defense that allows the second-most DK points per game to running backs. He scored 20.4 against the Chiefs on November 1, with a 14.7 average over his last three. He is 15.8% owned with a 16.1% optimal rate.
Wide Receiver
Puka Nacua (DK $8,800)
Nacua owns a 35% projected target share against the Commanders, and his props set him at 7.5 receptions. He scored 25.0 against the Chargers on November 1 and averages 20.3 over his last three.
The Rams carry 26.0 implied points as 4.5-point favorites, and Nacua sits at the center of that offense. His 19.5% optimal rate is the top mark at receiver, with a 46.3 ceiling.
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DK $8,100)
St. Brown carries a 32% projected target share against the Dolphins, in a Lions offense with 28.0 implied points. He is questionable with a ribs injury after limited practices this week. His 14.9% optimal rate is second at receiver.
Antonio Williams (DK $4,100)
Treylon Burks is out, and Williams carries a 23% projected target share for the Commanders against the Rams. His 3.16 value is the top mark at receiver, and he is 11.1% owned with a 13.6% optimal rate. At this price he lets a build pay up at running back.
Tight End
George Kittle (DK $6,000)
Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel Sr. and Christian Kirk are all out, and Evans's absence opens the lead receiving role in the 49ers' passing game against the Raiders. Kittle has a 26% projected target share and drew 8.0 targets a game over his last three, up on his season. The Raiders allow the fourth-most DK points per game to tight ends.
He drew 10 targets for 15.8 points against the Falcons on October 25, with a 13.7 average over his last three. His 21.9% optimal rate is the top at tight end.
Brock Bowers (DK $7,900)
Bowers faces the 49ers in a game with a 51.5 total, the second-highest on the slate, and he carries a 9.3% optimal rate. He scored 28.2 against the Jets on November 1 and averages 17.5 over his last three.
Travis Kelce (DK $4,900)
Kelce's targets are climbing: he drew 6.7 a game over his last three, up on his season, and he holds a 20% projected target share against the Jets. He practiced fully this week after a limited session with an ankle issue, and his props set him at 48.5 receiving yards. His 7.6% optimal rate is third at tight end.
Defense
Eagles (DK $2,500)
The Eagles face the Giants in the slate's lowest-total game at 38.6, and the Giants carry 20.8 implied points. The Eagles carry a 2.99 value.
The defense brings a 16% anytime touchdown chance and a 16.6 ceiling at the cheapest tag of the top defensive plays. Its 9.3% optimal rate is the top at the position.
Saints (DK $2,900)
The Saints face a Browns offense with 19.5 implied points at the Superdome, and they carry an 8.5% optimal rate. They average 9.7 DK points over their last three, and their 17.7 ceiling is second at defense.
Packers (DK $2,400)
The Packers face the Patriots with a defense that allows the sixth-fewest DK points per game to quarterbacks. They average 8.7 DK points over their last three and are 5.0% owned with a 6.4% optimal rate, a leverage of 1.4.
What The Market Is Saying
The market builds around the slate's three highest totals, Cowboys–Colts, Raiders–49ers and Lions–Dolphins, with Raiders–49ers as its default stack: Brock Purdy (DK $6,800) at quarterback, with Christian McCaffrey (DK $8,000) and George Kittle (DK $6,000) heavily owned beside him. It splits on Cowboys–Colts as chalk or a contrarian stack, splits on Jaxon Smith-Njigba (DK $9,300), and is split on the Broncos–Panthers backfield and Jonah Coleman (DK $5,300). The news it keys on is Sam Darnold's absence, which puts Drew Lock (DK $4,000) in line at quarterback for the Seahawks, and it watches McCaffrey's status. DFS Hero has McCaffrey at a 27.7% optimal rate, and Coleman at a 16.1% optimal rate. Stack IQ pushes back on the default, ranking the Rams–Commanders stack first, ahead of the 49ers stack the market builds around.
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The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.
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