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NFL DraftKings Showdown Picks: MNF DAL @ PHI (October 26)

By DFS Hero Team

The Eagles play Monday night without their top two receivers, and the Cowboys are 4.5-point favorites with a 66% win chance at Lincoln Financial Field. The game total sits at 44.5 for this single-game showdown, which locks at 8:15 PM ET. Tanner McKee (DK $8,600) starts at quarterback for the Eagles, and the receivers behind the injuries are cheap.

CeeDee Lamb (DK $16,500) is the Captain to start from, with Saquon Barkley (DK $14,400) and George Pickens (DK $13,500) as the other two Captain cases. Dak Prescott (DK $10,400) leads the base seats, and Makai Lemon (DK $3,800) and Darius Cooper (DK $3,200) make an expensive Captain fit.

Captain

CeeDee Lamb (DK $11,000)

Lamb carries a 29% projected target share against an Eagles defense that allows the fifth-most DK points per game to receivers. He drew 18 targets against the Packers on October 18 and averages 14.7 targets a game over his last three, up on his season.

His 20.4% captain optimal rate sits above his 14.5% captain ownership. His 40.1 ceiling is the top mark at receiver, and his Captain price is $16,500.

Saquon Barkley (DK $9,600)

Barkley is questionable with a hamstring strain, trended toward playing on October 26, and carries a 69% projected carry share against the Cowboys. His 14.6% captain optimal rate sits above his 10.0% captain ownership, and his 34.8 ceiling is the top mark at running back. At Captain he costs $14,400.

George Pickens (DK $9,000)

Pickens practiced in full on October 23 with a shoulder issue and gets a 20% projected target share against the Eagles. His 12.6% captain optimal rate tops his 7.4% captain ownership, and his ceiling is 33.9. At Captain he costs $13,500.

Core Plays

Dak Prescott (DK $10,400)

Prescott runs the favorite's offense against the Eagles, and his passing yards line sits at 265.5. He threw for 258 yards and a touchdown against the Packers on October 18. That left him with a 17.3 DK average over his last three.

He is 58.6% owned with a 73.7% optimal rate, a leverage of 15.1. His 33.4 ceiling comes with 99% projected snaps.

Tanner McKee (DK $8,600)

McKee draws a Cowboys defense that allows the fifth-most DK points per game to quarterbacks. He threw for 215 yards and a touchdown against the Panthers on October 18. He is 45.5% owned with a 48.4% optimal rate.

Dallas Goedert (DK $6,400)

DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks are out, and Smith's absence opens targets for Goedert, who carries a 24% projected target share against the Cowboys. He drew eight targets for 61 yards against the Panthers on October 18 and practiced in full on Saturday with no injury designation. A popular tight end, he holds the top optimal rate at the position at 47.6%.

Value Plays

Makai Lemon (DK $3,800)

With the Eagles' top two receivers out, Lemon steps into a 17% projected target share against the Cowboys. He averages 6.3 targets a game over his last three, up on his season. His receiving yards line sits at 39.5.

His 2.68 value fits under CeeDee Lamb (DK $16,500) at Captain. He is 36.0% owned with a 39.4% optimal rate and a ceiling of 24.5.

Darius Cooper (DK $3,200)

Cooper was named one of the Eagles' top two receivers for Monday against the Cowboys on October 24, and he averages 11.8 DK points over his last three games. He is 31.2% owned with a 38.5% optimal rate. He carries a leverage of 7.3, a play to let Build & Sim size.

Correlation

CeeDee Lamb (DK $16,500) at Captain pairs with Dak Prescott (DK $10,400) and Ryan Flournoy (DK $5,000). Flournoy carries a 15% projected target share and a 12.2 DK average over his last three. Build & Sim runs each version of this build against the contest's real payouts. Dallas Goedert (DK $6,400) is the bring-back, with a 30.4 ceiling, the top mark at tight end.

Saquon Barkley (DK $14,400) at Captain builds the Eagles side through the run game, with the Eagles defense and Brandon Aubrey (DK $5,400) from the Cowboys. Aubrey projects for 8.4 with a 16.8 ceiling, and the Eagles defense carries a 14.6 ceiling.

What The Market Is Saying

The market builds around Dak Prescott (DK $10,400) and CeeDee Lamb (DK $11,000) as the default pairing and takes its Eagles exposure through Dallas Goedert (DK $6,400) and the backfield. It splits on the Captain seat among Prescott, Javonte Williams (DK $10,600) and Saquon Barkley (DK $9,600), and on the script, with part of it calling for an Eagles upset; it keys on Barkley's hamstring and expects him to play. A minority of the market pitches Darius Cooper (DK $3,200) as the top value on the slate. DFS Hero backs the core: Prescott's 73.7% optimal rate sits above his 58.6% ownership, and Williams carries a 38.6% optimal rate against 52.3% ownership. DFS Hero has Barkley at a 48.9% optimal rate.

Take these reads into the DFS Hero Workspace: shape the player pool, then Build & Sim builds your lineups and simulates every one against your contest's real payouts in one click. Stack IQ, late swap and Hero Chat sit in the same screen. Get Full Access for $1: $1 for 5 days, cancel anytime.

The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.

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