The Seahawks are 3-point favorites over the Bears at Lumen Field, with a 46.5 total and a 61% win chance to the Bears' 39%. Monday Night Football is a one-game showdown that locks Monday, November 2 at 8:15 PM ET.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (DK $18,000) at Captain is the read, with the top projection at receiver at 25.7. D'Andre Swift (DK $14,700) at Captain is the Bears' answer, carrying the top projection at running back at 17.1 and a 53% anytime TD chance. Caleb Williams (DK $10,200) and Sam Darnold (DK $9,400) both belong in the core at quarterback.
Captain
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (DK $12,000)
Rashid Shaheed is out, and Smith-Njigba carries a 40% projected target share against the Bears with a props line of 99.5 receiving yards. He scored 34.3 against the Chiefs on October 25, and his last three games average 29.5 DK points.
The field puts him at Captain 27.9% of the time against a 33.7% captain optimal rate. His 46.1 ceiling is the top mark at receiver, and the Captain seat costs $18,000.
D'Andre Swift (DK $9,800)
Swift holds a 54% projected carry share against the Seahawks with Kyle Monangai out. He is a popular Captain with a 13.9% captain optimal rate, and his 35.5 ceiling, the top mark at running back, comes at a $14,700 Captain price.
Core Plays
Caleb Williams (DK $10,200)
Williams scored 25.1 DK points with two touchdown passes against the Patriots on October 22. Against the Seahawks he adds a 15% projected carry share and a props line of 23.5 rushing yards.
His passing props line sits at 227.5 yards, and his ceiling reaches 32.1. He is 56.3% owned with a 56.8% optimal rate.
Sam Darnold (DK $9,400)
The Bears allow the 4th-most DK points per game to quarterbacks, and Darnold carries a props line of 237.5 passing yards into that matchup. He is 52.9% owned with a 54.3% optimal rate, and his ceiling sits at 29.9.
Zach Charbonnet (DK $7,000)
Charbonnet is set to play against the Bears, cleared on October 31 after he practiced on a limited basis with a knee issue the day before. He holds a 24% projected carry share and a 43% anytime TD chance, and his 32.2% optimal rate is the second-best at running back.
Value Plays
Tory Horton (DK $2,800)
Horton carries a props line of 22.5 receiving yards and a 21% anytime TD chance against the Bears, on a 9% projected target share.
His 2.13 value sits close to the top mark at receiver. Under Jaxon Smith-Njigba (DK $18,000) at Captain, Horton is a leverage play for Build & Sim to size: 15.8% owned with a 22.8% optimal rate and a leverage of 7.0.
Kalif Raymond (DK $3,600)
Raymond draws a 12% projected target share against the Seahawks. He is 17.1% owned with a 21.5% optimal rate, and his leverage of 4.4 is the second-best at receiver.
Correlation
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (DK $18,000) at Captain pairs with Sam Darnold (DK $9,400) and AJ Barner (DK $4,600). Barner's 31.6% optimal rate is the top mark at tight end, and his props line sits at 29.5 receiving yards. Cooper Kupp (DK $4,800) adds a 13% projected target share. Luther Burden III (DK $9,000) is the bring-back, with a 21% projected target share and a 29.8 ceiling.
D'Andre Swift (DK $14,700) at Captain runs with the Bears defense, which carries a leverage of 3.9, and Colston Loveland (DK $7,800), whose projected target share is 20%. Jason Myers (DK $5,400) is the Seahawks' piece, with a 28.0% optimal rate and a 16.8 ceiling. Build & Sim runs both builds against the contest's real payouts.
What The Market Is Saying
The market builds around Jaxon Smith-Njigba (DK $12,000) and D'Andre Swift (DK $9,800), with Jason Myers (DK $5,400), AJ Barner (DK $4,600) and Tory Horton (DK $2,800) as its cheaper pieces. It keys on Rashid Shaheed and Kyle Monangai being out. The market splits on the quarterbacks, Caleb Williams (DK $10,200) and Sam Darnold (DK $9,400). It also splits on Zach Charbonnet (DK $7,000) and Colston Loveland (DK $7,800). DFS Hero has Williams at a 56.8% optimal rate and Darnold at a 54.3% optimal rate, and DFS Hero has Charbonnet at a 32.2% optimal rate. On Smith-Njigba the numbers agree with the field: he is 75.2% owned with a 76.3% optimal rate, while a contrarian view looks to Cairo Santos (DK $5,000) and Emanuel Wilson (DK $7,400).
Take these reads into the DFS Hero Workspace: shape the player pool, then Build & Sim builds your lineups and simulates every one against your contest's real payouts in one click. Stack IQ, late swap and Hero Chat sit in the same screen. Get Full Access for $1: $1 for 5 days, cancel anytime.
The content in our articles is based on data available at the time of publishing. Always double-check your lineups before locking in your players.
More NFL DFS Analysis
The DFS engine that never stops working.
Build, simulate, and fill your entries in one Workspace, across every sport. $1 for 5 days.