FREE 11/13 NBA Cheat Sheet: Top DFS Plays

Tonight’s 3-game slate kicks off at 7:00 PM ET with TOR at CLE, wrapping up by 9:00 PM ET with IND at PHX. The TOR-CLE matchup leads with a 238.5 total, setting up a solid environment for points, while IND-PHX follows at 233.5. These two games stand out for their scoring potential, which should influence how we build stacks.

With only three games, the focus narrows to pace and implied totals to find edges. The early start gives some late-swap flexibility, but the high totals in those key spots mean prioritizing volume players from TOR-CLE and IND-PHX could pay off. It’s a straightforward slate, but getting the rotations right will separate the cash from the chalk.

Game Environment Analysis

TOR @ CLE (O/U: 238.5, Spread: -7.5)

• Pace: TOR (10th) vs CLE (5th)
• Off Eff: TOR (8th) vs CLE (10th)
• Def Eff: TOR (16th) vs CLE (12th)

IND @ PHX (O/U: 233.5, Spread: -4.5)

• Pace: IND (9th) vs PHX (24th) 🏃 (Pace mismatch)
• Off Eff: IND (30th) vs PHX (13th)
• Def Eff: IND (20th) vs PHX (13th)

ATL @ UTA (O/U: 233.5, Spread: 1.5)

• Pace: ATL (11th) vs UTA (16th)
• Off Eff: ATL (21st) vs UTA (23rd)
• Def Eff: ATL (3rd) vs UTA (24th)

Legend:

🏃 = Significant pace mismatch

🔥 = Strong offense vs weak defense

🎯 = Poor defensive team

⚠️ = Blowout risk

Bold = Favored team

PG - Devin Booker ($9,300)

Devin Booker averages 28.2 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 7.0 assists per game this season, shooting 49.6% from the field and 37.9% from three-point range. His 31.16% usage rate and 20.76 PER highlight his role as Phoenix’s primary scoring option, especially with 36.5 projected minutes against Indiana. The Pacers’ perimeter defense struggles against high-volume guards, allowing Booker to exploit drives and pull-up jumpers for multi-category production.

Booker projects for 48.1 DK points at 5.17x value, boasting a 24.0% boom rate and 34.4% optimal lineup inclusion as the top PG. Despite a slight recent dip to 38.3 points over his last three games, his season-long 45.4 average signals a strong bounce-back in this favorable spot, making him the clear top pick at the position.

More PG Plays:

• Dyson Daniels ($7,300)
• Andrew Nembhard ($6,600)

SG - Donovan Mitchell ($9,500)

Donovan Mitchell faces a Toronto defense that ranks in the bottom half against shooting guards, conceding 25+ points to the position in six of their last eight games. Cleveland’s matchup carries solid implied totals, and Mitchell’s 51.0% field goal efficiency combined with 40.4% from deep positions him to capitalize on transition opportunities and spot-up shots. His 31.03% usage and 25.67 PER underscore his efficiency as the Cavs’ go-to scorer with 33.0 projected minutes.

Mitchell projects for 45.5 DK points at 4.79x value, with a 15.0% boom rate and 23.9% optimal rate as the second overall hero. He sustains 53.7 points over his last three games and 56.7 across five, aligning with his 48.6 season average, which cements his status as the premier SG selection on this slate.

More SG Plays:

• RJ Barrett ($7,100)
• Nickeil Alexander-Walker ($6,000)

SF - Grayson Allen ($6,800)

Grayson Allen delivers consistent scoring with 19.0 points, 3.3 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per game, hitting 45.5% from the field and an elite 44.6% from three-point range. Phoenix’s system boosts his volume in a matchup against Indiana, where the Pacers allow the fourth-most three-point makes to wings, and Allen’s 21.08% usage thrives in 32.5 projected minutes alongside Booker’s gravity.

Allen projects for 32.1 DK points at 4.72x value, featuring a 12.0% boom rate and 22.8% optimal inclusion at Hero Rank 19 for SG/SF. His steady 41.8 points over the last three games and 39.6 across five exceed his 34.9 season mark, offering undervalued production that locks him in as the top choice at his hybrid position.

More SF Plays:

• Royce O’Neale ($5,400)
• Brandon Ingram ($7,700)

PF - Jalen Johnson ($8,300)

Jalen Johnson posts 20.5 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 5.5 assists per game on 58.6% field goal shooting, excelling in Atlanta’s fast-paced offense during road games. Utah’s frontcourt defense yields high rebounding rates to power forwards, and Johnson’s 24.49% usage rate with a 22.56 PER positions him for double-doubles and transition finishes in 33.5 projected minutes at altitude.

Johnson projects for 44.9 DK points at 5.41x value, with a standout 31.0% boom rate and 39.8% optimal rate as the fourth overall hero. He maintains 44.6 points over his last three games and 43.1 across five, matching his robust 42.5 season average, which establishes him as the dominant PF pick for this slate.

More PF Plays:

• Evan Mobley ($8,600)
• Lauri Markkanen ($8,100)

C - Onyeka Okongwu ($6,200)

Onyeka Okongwu anchors Atlanta’s frontcourt against Utah, averaging 13.4 points, 7.9 rebounds, and 2.3 assists on 49.2% field goal efficiency in favorable road environments. The Jazz’s interior defense ranks poorly against efficient bigs, allowing Okongwu’s 19.17% usage and 15.78 PER to shine through put-backs, rolls, and defensive stats in 31.5 projected minutes.

Okongwu projects for 36.2 DK points at an elite 5.84x value, delivering a 31.0% boom rate and 32.9% optimal inclusion at Hero Rank 8 for centers. His recent 29.3 points over three games builds on a 28.3 five-game average, surpassing his 30.2 season norm and confirming his role as the top C selection with massive upside.

More C Plays:

• Jarrett Allen ($6,400)
• Jusuf Nurkic ($6,500)

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