FREE 11/11 NBA Cheat Sheet: Top DFS Plays

Tonight’s 5-game slate kicks off at 7:30 PM ET with MEM at NYK and wraps up at 9:00 PM ET with IND at UTA. The high totals stand out right away—MEM-NYK at 232.5 and IND-UTA at 233.5—which should mean solid scoring chances in those spots. Pace looks decent across the board, but these two games give you the best shot at stacking for upside without too much risk in slower matchups.

For DFS, focus on those elevated totals to build around, especially with the early start allowing some late swaps if needed. The shorter slate keeps things straightforward, so targeting value in the high-pace environments could separate you from the field. Let’s see how it plays out.

Game Environment Analysis

TOR @ BKN (O/U: 231.5, Spread: 9.5)

• Pace: TOR (10th) vs BKN (23rd) 🏃 (Pace mismatch)
• Off Eff: TOR (13th) vs BKN (25th)
• Def Eff: TOR (18th) vs BKN (30th) 🎯

MEM @ NYK (O/U: 232.5, Spread: -10.5)

• Pace: MEM (6th) vs NYK (26th) 🏃 (Pace mismatch)
• Off Eff: MEM (24th) vs NYK (2nd) 🔥
• Def Eff: MEM (21st) vs NYK (14th)

BOS @ PHI (O/U: 231.5, Spread: 1.5)

• Pace: BOS (29th) vs PHI (13th)
• Off Eff: BOS (16th) vs PHI (7th)
• Def Eff: BOS (9th) vs PHI (19th)

GSW @ OKC (O/U: 227.5, Spread: -7.5)

• Pace: GSW (18th) vs OKC (22nd)
• Off Eff: GSW (19th) vs OKC (6th)
• Def Eff: GSW (7th) vs OKC (1st)

IND @ UTA (O/U: 233.5, Spread: 2.5)

• Pace: IND (8th) vs UTA (20th) 🏃 (Pace mismatch)
• Off Eff: IND (30th) vs UTA (26th)
• Def Eff: IND (13th) vs UTA (24th)

Legend:

🏃 = Significant pace mismatch

🔥 = Strong offense vs weak defense

🎯 = Poor defensive team

⚠️ = Blowout risk

Bold = Favored team

PG - Immanuel Quickley ($6,400)

Immanuel Quickley surges with 38.6 DK points across his last three games, elevating his production well above his season average of 32.3. He racks up 14.4 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 6.3 assists per game on 40.5% field goal shooting, while his 20.03% usage rate ensures steady involvement in Toronto’s offense. Quickley’s projected 31.0 minutes and 1.09 fantasy points per minute position him for another strong outing, especially with his 33.9-point projection delivering 5.30x value at just $6,400.

The matchup against Brooklyn favors Quickley’s playmaking, as the Nets struggle to contain quick guards who facilitate and score from mid-range. His recent trend of 30.3 DK points over five games highlights his reliability, and with a 23.0% boom rate plus 20.9% optimal lineup inclusion, Quickley anchors point guard builds despite 27.2% projected ownership.

More PG Plays:

• Ja Morant ($8,300)
• Derrick White ($7,200)

SG - Payton Pritchard ($6,100)

Payton Pritchard faces Philadelphia’s defense in a high-pace environment where Boston thrives on the road. He maintains consistent output with 28.1 DK points over his last three games and 27.6 across five, aligning closely with his season average of 30.3. Pritchard contributes 15.5 points, 3.9 rebounds, and 5.1 assists on efficient 43.2% shooting, leveraging his 21.23% usage to create scoring chances off the bench or in expanded roles.

At $6,100, Pritchard’s 31.4-point projection yields 5.15x value, bolstered by 33.0 projected minutes and a 0.95 fantasy points per minute clip. His 21.0% boom rate and 20.0% optimal lineup rate make him a dependable PG/SG option, particularly as his steady form projects to 21.5% ownership against the field average.

More SG Plays:

• Keyonte George ($7,100)
• RJ Barrett ($7,200)

SF - Michael Porter Jr. ($7,400)

Michael Porter Jr. delivers exceptional value in this salary range, posting 25 points with four threes in his latest outing and a double-double of 32 points plus 11 rebounds before that. He averages strong scoring bursts, including a 34.5 DK point performance in a recent 42-minute stint where he shot 5-of-6 from deep. Porter’s 1.25 fantasy points per minute across 32.0 projected minutes supports his 39.9-point projection, crushing the 5.39x value at $7,400.

The matchup versus Toronto opens lanes for Porter’s outside shooting, as the Raptors rank middling against small forwards who stretch the floor. His hot streak of at least four triples in four of five games, combined with a 25.0% boom rate and 25.9% optimal inclusion, cements his status as a top SF play amid 30.1% projected ownership.

More SF Plays:

• Jaylen Brown ($8,500)
• OG Anunoby ($6,500)

PF - Kyle Filipowski ($4,000)

Kyle Filipowski has averaged 18.6 DK points over his last five games, showing steady growth in a rookie role that maximizes his skill set. He produces 6.9 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 2.3 assists per game on 36.9% field goal efficiency, with his 17.58% usage rate climbing as Utah integrates him deeper into the rotation. Filipowski’s 1.04 fantasy points per minute in 24.0 projected minutes fuels a 24.9-point projection that explodes to 6.24x value on his $4,000 salary.

Utah’s game against Indiana features a fast tempo that suits Filipowski’s versatile big-man game, allowing him to exploit mismatches on the glass and in transition. His 31.0% boom rate and 31.9% optimal lineup rate highlight upside potential, making him a salary-saver gem at PF/C with 30.8% projected ownership.

More PF Plays:

• Karl-Anthony Towns ($9,000)
• Scottie Barnes ($8,400)

C - Jusuf Nurkic ($6,100)

Jusuf Nurkic operates in Utah’s frontcourt alongside a pace-up spot against Indiana, where rebounding battles favor his physical style. He sustains 28.1 DK points across his last three games and 27.6 over five, exceeding his season average of 25.3 with 6.8 points, 8.9 rebounds, and 3.0 assists per contest. Nurkic’s 20.59% usage and 1.27 fantasy points per minute in 28.0 projected minutes drive reliable double-digit rebounding floors.

At $6,100, Nurkic’s 35.5-point projection generates 5.82x value, amplified by his 32.0% boom rate in games with high implied totals. His consistent trend of 25.9 DK points over seven games, paired with 27.4% optimal inclusion and 32.2% ownership, positions him as the premier center target for balanced builds.

More C Plays:

• Andre Drummond ($5,300)
• Neemias Queta ($4,800)

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